Today Versus tomorrow: The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income
This paper applies the Permanent Income Model to the non-oil current accounts of the major oil exporters to assess the extent to which national consumption decisions in these countries are made on the basis of permanent versus current income. A test of whether the return on oil wealth and oil balanc...
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2009
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 09/248 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper applies the Permanent Income Model to the non-oil current accounts of the major oil exporters to assess the extent to which national consumption decisions in these countries are made on the basis of permanent versus current income. A test of whether the return on oil wealth and oil balance coefficients sum to unity is accepted for all specifications that adjust the return on wealth for future population changes. For oil-exporting countries outside Africa, around half of the fluctuations in the private sector non-oil balance are driven by considerations of changes in permanent income (the return on oil wealth) rather than current income. By contrast, for the public sector and African countries permanent income has little or no effect |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (17 p) |
ISBN: | 1451873956 9781451873955 |
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spelling | Thomas, Alun H. Verfasser aut Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income Thomas, Alun H Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2009 1 Online-Ressource (17 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 09/248 This paper applies the Permanent Income Model to the non-oil current accounts of the major oil exporters to assess the extent to which national consumption decisions in these countries are made on the basis of permanent versus current income. A test of whether the return on oil wealth and oil balance coefficients sum to unity is accepted for all specifications that adjust the return on wealth for future population changes. For oil-exporting countries outside Africa, around half of the fluctuations in the private sector non-oil balance are driven by considerations of changes in permanent income (the return on oil wealth) rather than current income. By contrast, for the public sector and African countries permanent income has little or no effect Online-Ausg Bayoumi, Tamim Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/10547-9781451873955/10547-9781451873955/10547-9781451873955.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Thomas, Alun H. Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income |
title | Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income |
title_auth | Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income |
title_exact_search | Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income |
title_exact_search_txtP | Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income |
title_full | Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income Thomas, Alun H |
title_fullStr | Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income Thomas, Alun H |
title_full_unstemmed | Today Versus tomorrow The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income Thomas, Alun H |
title_short | Today Versus tomorrow |
title_sort | today versus tomorrow the sensitivity of the non oil current account balance to permanent and current income |
title_sub | The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/10547-9781451873955/10547-9781451873955/10547-9781451873955.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT thomasalunh todayversustomorrowthesensitivityofthenonoilcurrentaccountbalancetopermanentandcurrentincome AT bayoumitamim todayversustomorrowthesensitivityofthenonoilcurrentaccountbalancetopermanentandcurrentincome |