Verfügbarkeit: Crude Oil Prices

Crude Oil Prices: Trends and Forecast

Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed...

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1. Verfasser:	Krichene, Noureddine (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2008
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 08/133
Schlagworte:	Petroleum products > Prices > Forecasting Electronic books
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext
Zusammenfassung:	Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed trends, as market fundamentals and underlying monetary policies were supportive of these trends. Market expectations derived from option prices anticipated further surge in oil prices and allowed significant probability for right tail events. Given explosive trends in other commodities prices, depreciating currencies, and weakening financial conditions, recent trends in oil prices might not persist further without triggering world economic recession, regressive oil supply, as oil producers became wary about inflation. Restoring stable oil markets, through restraining monetary policy, is essential for durable growth and price stability
Beschreibung:	Includes bibliographical references
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (23 p)
ISBN:	1451869924 9781451869927

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spelling	Krichene, Noureddine Verfasser aut Crude Oil Prices Trends and Forecast Krichene, Noureddine Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2008 1 Online-Ressource (23 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 08/133 Includes bibliographical references Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed trends, as market fundamentals and underlying monetary policies were supportive of these trends. Market expectations derived from option prices anticipated further surge in oil prices and allowed significant probability for right tail events. Given explosive trends in other commodities prices, depreciating currencies, and weakening financial conditions, recent trends in oil prices might not persist further without triggering world economic recession, regressive oil supply, as oil producers became wary about inflation. Restoring stable oil markets, through restraining monetary policy, is essential for durable growth and price stability Online-Ausg Petroleum products Prices Forecasting Electronic books http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/09279-9781451869927/09279-9781451869927/09279-9781451869927.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
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title_exact_search_txtP	Crude Oil Prices Trends and Forecast
title_full	Crude Oil Prices Trends and Forecast Krichene, Noureddine
title_fullStr	Crude Oil Prices Trends and Forecast Krichene, Noureddine
title_full_unstemmed	Crude Oil Prices Trends and Forecast Krichene, Noureddine
title_short	Crude Oil Prices
title_sort	crude oil prices trends and forecast
title_sub	Trends and Forecast
topic	Petroleum products Prices Forecasting
topic_facet	Petroleum products Prices Forecasting
url	http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/09279-9781451869927/09279-9781451869927/09279-9781451869927.xml
work_keys_str_mv	AT krichenenoureddine crudeoilpricestrendsandforecast

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