Vacation Over: Implications for the Caribbean of Opening U.S.-Cuba tourism

An opening of Cuba to U.S. tourism would represent a seismic shift in the Caribbean''s tourism industry. This study models the impact of such a potential opening by estimating a counterfactual that captures the current bilateral restriction on tourism between the two countries. After contr...

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1. Verfasser: Romeu, Rafael (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2008
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 08/162
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Zusammenfassung:An opening of Cuba to U.S. tourism would represent a seismic shift in the Caribbean''s tourism industry. This study models the impact of such a potential opening by estimating a counterfactual that captures the current bilateral restriction on tourism between the two countries. After controlling for natural disasters, trade agreements, and other factors, the results show that a hypothetical liberalization of Cuba-U.S. tourism would increase long-term regional arrivals. Neighboring destinations would lose the implicit protection the current restriction affords them, and Cuba would gain market share, but this would be partially offset in the short-run by the redistribution of non-U.S. tourists currently in Cuba. The results also suggest that Caribbean countries have in general not lowered their dependency on U.S. tourists, leaving them vulnerable to this potential change
Beschreibung:Includes bibliographical references
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (62 p)
ISBN:1451870205
9781451870206

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