Verfügbarkeit: Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation

Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation:

This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves combining a short-term model, which attempts to distill the fore...

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1. Verfasser:	Sun, Tao (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2004
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 04/90
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 URL des Erstveröffentlichers
Zusammenfassung:	This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves combining a short-term model, which attempts to distill the forecasting power of a variety of monthly indicators purely on goodness-of-fit criteria, with an equilibrium-correction model that pins down the convergence of core inflation to its longer-run structural determinants. The result is a promising model for forecasting Thai core inflation over horizons up to 10, 24, and 55 months, based on a root mean-squared error criterion as well as a mean absolute error criterion
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (28 p)
ISBN:	1451851421 9781451851427

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spelling	Sun, Tao Verfasser aut Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation Sun, Tao Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2004 1 Online-Ressource (28 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 04/90 This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves combining a short-term model, which attempts to distill the forecasting power of a variety of monthly indicators purely on goodness-of-fit criteria, with an equilibrium-correction model that pins down the convergence of core inflation to its longer-run structural determinants. The result is a promising model for forecasting Thai core inflation over horizons up to 10, 24, and 55 months, based on a root mean-squared error criterion as well as a mean absolute error criterion Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02572-9781451851427/02572-9781451851427/02572-9781451851427.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Sun, Tao Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation
title	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation
title_auth	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation
title_exact_search	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation
title_exact_search_txtP	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation
title_full	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation Sun, Tao
title_fullStr	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation Sun, Tao
title_full_unstemmed	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation Sun, Tao
title_short	Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation
title_sort	forecasting thailand s core inflation
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