Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy: The Case of Venezuela
This paper analyzes the fiscal policy in Venezuela during 1991-2003, by using a number of statistical approaches to analyze trends and cycles of economic output and fiscal outcomes. The business cycle features a strong dominance of short-term cyclical components-each cycle having an average duration...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2005
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 05/237 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper analyzes the fiscal policy in Venezuela during 1991-2003, by using a number of statistical approaches to analyze trends and cycles of economic output and fiscal outcomes. The business cycle features a strong dominance of short-term cyclical components-each cycle having an average duration of about two to three years. However, the cyclical volatility of non-oil sector GDP is more than two times as large as the volatility of oil sector GDP. On the fiscal side, while oil revenues are independent of the business cycle, all the other main fiscal variables exhibit strong procyclicality. In particular, fiscal procyclicality is higher during good times than bad times, which could be related to the existence of ""voracity effects."" The discretionary component of fiscal policy is as volatile as the component induced by the business cycle |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (44 p) |
ISBN: | 1451862563 9781451862560 |
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spelling | Baldini, Alfredo Verfasser aut Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela Baldini, Alfredo Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2005 1 Online-Ressource (44 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 05/237 This paper analyzes the fiscal policy in Venezuela during 1991-2003, by using a number of statistical approaches to analyze trends and cycles of economic output and fiscal outcomes. The business cycle features a strong dominance of short-term cyclical components-each cycle having an average duration of about two to three years. However, the cyclical volatility of non-oil sector GDP is more than two times as large as the volatility of oil sector GDP. On the fiscal side, while oil revenues are independent of the business cycle, all the other main fiscal variables exhibit strong procyclicality. In particular, fiscal procyclicality is higher during good times than bad times, which could be related to the existence of ""voracity effects."" The discretionary component of fiscal policy is as volatile as the component induced by the business cycle Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02498-9781451862560/02498-9781451862560/02498-9781451862560.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Baldini, Alfredo Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela |
title | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela |
title_auth | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela |
title_exact_search | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela |
title_exact_search_txtP | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela |
title_full | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela Baldini, Alfredo |
title_fullStr | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela Baldini, Alfredo |
title_full_unstemmed | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy The Case of Venezuela Baldini, Alfredo |
title_short | Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy |
title_sort | fiscal policy and business cycles in an oil producing economy the case of venezuela |
title_sub | The Case of Venezuela |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02498-9781451862560/02498-9781451862560/02498-9781451862560.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT baldinialfredo fiscalpolicyandbusinesscyclesinanoilproducingeconomythecaseofvenezuela |