Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries: What Have We Learned from the Forerunners?
Estimation and simulation of sustainable real exchange rates in some of the new EU accession countries point to potential difficulties in sustaining the ERM2 regime if entered too soon and with weak policies. According to the estimates, the Czech, Hungarian, and Polish currencies were overvalued in...
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2005
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 05/27 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Estimation and simulation of sustainable real exchange rates in some of the new EU accession countries point to potential difficulties in sustaining the ERM2 regime if entered too soon and with weak policies. According to the estimates, the Czech, Hungarian, and Polish currencies were overvalued in 2003. Simulations, conditional on large-model macroeconomic projections, suggest that under current policies those currencies would be unlikely to stay within the ERM2 stability corridor during 2004-10. In-sample simulations for Greece, Portugal, and Spain indicate both a much smaller misalignment of national currencies prior to ERM2, and a more stable path of real exchange rates over the medium term than can be expected for the new accession countries |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (38 p) |
ISBN: | 1451860463 9781451860467 |
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illustrated | Not Illustrated |
index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:23Z |
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publisher | International Monetary Fund |
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spelling | Smídková, Katerina Verfasser aut Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? Smídková, Katerina Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2005 1 Online-Ressource (38 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 05/27 Estimation and simulation of sustainable real exchange rates in some of the new EU accession countries point to potential difficulties in sustaining the ERM2 regime if entered too soon and with weak policies. According to the estimates, the Czech, Hungarian, and Polish currencies were overvalued in 2003. Simulations, conditional on large-model macroeconomic projections, suggest that under current policies those currencies would be unlikely to stay within the ERM2 stability corridor during 2004-10. In-sample simulations for Greece, Portugal, and Spain indicate both a much smaller misalignment of national currencies prior to ERM2, and a more stable path of real exchange rates over the medium term than can be expected for the new accession countries Online-Ausg Bulir, Ales Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02208-9781451860467/02208-9781451860467/02208-9781451860467.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Smídková, Katerina Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? |
title | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? |
title_auth | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? |
title_exact_search | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? |
title_exact_search_txtP | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? |
title_full | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? Smídková, Katerina |
title_fullStr | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? Smídková, Katerina |
title_full_unstemmed | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? Smídková, Katerina |
title_short | Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries |
title_sort | exchange rates in the new eu accession countries what have we learned from the forerunners |
title_sub | What Have We Learned from the Forerunners? |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02208-9781451860467/02208-9781451860467/02208-9781451860467.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT smidkovakaterina exchangeratesintheneweuaccessioncountrieswhathavewelearnedfromtheforerunners AT bulirales exchangeratesintheneweuaccessioncountrieswhathavewelearnedfromtheforerunners |