The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules: How Precisely Can We Estimate them?
This paper draws attention to inconsistencies in estimating simple monetary policy rules and their implications for policy advice. We simulate a macroeconomic model with a backward reaction function similar to Taylor (1993). We estimate different versions of a policy rule, using these simulated data...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2005
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 05/148 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper draws attention to inconsistencies in estimating simple monetary policy rules and their implications for policy advice. We simulate a macroeconomic model with a backward reaction function similar to Taylor (1993). We estimate different versions of a policy rule, using these simulated data. Under certain circumstances, estimations document an illusionary presence of a lagged interest rate, or of forward-looking behavior. Our results are consistent with the fact that several authors found very different versions of monetary policy rules, all fitting the U.S. data well. We also survey the literature, providing a list of issues complicating practical use of Taylor rules |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (30 p) |
ISBN: | 1451861672 9781451861679 |
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spelling | Tchaidze, Robert Verfasser aut The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? Tchaidze, Robert Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2005 1 Online-Ressource (30 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 05/148 This paper draws attention to inconsistencies in estimating simple monetary policy rules and their implications for policy advice. We simulate a macroeconomic model with a backward reaction function similar to Taylor (1993). We estimate different versions of a policy rule, using these simulated data. Under certain circumstances, estimations document an illusionary presence of a lagged interest rate, or of forward-looking behavior. Our results are consistent with the fact that several authors found very different versions of monetary policy rules, all fitting the U.S. data well. We also survey the literature, providing a list of issues complicating practical use of Taylor rules Online-Ausg Carare, Alina Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07369-9781451861679/07369-9781451861679/07369-9781451861679.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Tchaidze, Robert The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? |
title | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? |
title_auth | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? |
title_exact_search | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? |
title_exact_search_txtP | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? |
title_full | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? Tchaidze, Robert |
title_fullStr | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? Tchaidze, Robert |
title_full_unstemmed | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules How Precisely Can We Estimate them? Tchaidze, Robert |
title_short | The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules |
title_sort | the use and abuse of taylor rules how precisely can we estimate them |
title_sub | How Precisely Can We Estimate them? |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07369-9781451861679/07369-9781451861679/07369-9781451861679.xml |
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