Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries:
This paper establishes that output volatility and the size of output drops have declined across all countries over the past three decades, but remain considerably higher in developing countries than in industrial countries. The paper employs a Bayesian latent dynamic factor model to decompose output...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2007
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 07/114 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper establishes that output volatility and the size of output drops have declined across all countries over the past three decades, but remain considerably higher in developing countries than in industrial countries. The paper employs a Bayesian latent dynamic factor model to decompose output growth into global, regional, and country-specific components. The favorable trends in output volatility and large output drops in developing countries are found to result from lower country-specific volatility and more benign country-specific events. Evidence from cross-section regressions over the 1970-2003 period suggest that discretionary fiscal spending volatility, and terms of trade volatility together with exchange rate flexibility are key determinants of volatility and large output drops |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (32 p) |
ISBN: | 145186678X 9781451866780 |
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spelling | Hakura, Dalia Verfasser aut Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries Hakura, Dalia Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2007 1 Online-Ressource (32 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 07/114 This paper establishes that output volatility and the size of output drops have declined across all countries over the past three decades, but remain considerably higher in developing countries than in industrial countries. The paper employs a Bayesian latent dynamic factor model to decompose output growth into global, regional, and country-specific components. The favorable trends in output volatility and large output drops in developing countries are found to result from lower country-specific volatility and more benign country-specific events. Evidence from cross-section regressions over the 1970-2003 period suggest that discretionary fiscal spending volatility, and terms of trade volatility together with exchange rate flexibility are key determinants of volatility and large output drops Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/08400-9781451866780/08400-9781451866780/08400-9781451866780.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Hakura, Dalia Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries |
title | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries |
title_auth | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries |
title_exact_search | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries |
title_exact_search_txtP | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries |
title_full | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries Hakura, Dalia |
title_fullStr | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries Hakura, Dalia |
title_full_unstemmed | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries Hakura, Dalia |
title_short | Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries |
title_sort | output volatility and large output drops in emerging market and developing countries |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/08400-9781451866780/08400-9781451866780/08400-9781451866780.xml |
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