Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa:
The transparency of monetary policy in South Africa has increased substantially since the end of the 1990s; but little empirical work has been done to examine the economic benefits of the increased transparency. This paper shows that, in recent years, South African private sector forecasters have be...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2007
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 07/123 |
| Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | The transparency of monetary policy in South Africa has increased substantially since the end of the 1990s; but little empirical work has been done to examine the economic benefits of the increased transparency. This paper shows that, in recent years, South African private sector forecasters have become better able to forecast interest rates, are less surprised by reserve bank policy announcements, and are less diverse in the cross-sectional variety of their interest rate forecasts. In addition, there is some evidence that the accuracy of inflation forecasts has increased. The improvements in interest rate and inflation forecasts have exceeded those in real output forecasts, suggesting that increases in reserve bank transparency are likely to have played a role |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (25 p) |
| ISBN: | 1451866879 9781451866872 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:23Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:32Z |
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| spelling | Arora, Vivek B. Verfasser aut Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa Arora, Vivek B Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2007 1 Online-Ressource (25 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 07/123 The transparency of monetary policy in South Africa has increased substantially since the end of the 1990s; but little empirical work has been done to examine the economic benefits of the increased transparency. This paper shows that, in recent years, South African private sector forecasters have become better able to forecast interest rates, are less surprised by reserve bank policy announcements, and are less diverse in the cross-sectional variety of their interest rate forecasts. In addition, there is some evidence that the accuracy of inflation forecasts has increased. The improvements in interest rate and inflation forecasts have exceeded those in real output forecasts, suggesting that increases in reserve bank transparency are likely to have played a role Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/08435-9781451866872/08435-9781451866872/08435-9781451866872.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Arora, Vivek B. Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa |
| title | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa |
| title_auth | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa |
| title_exact_search | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa |
| title_full | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa Arora, Vivek B |
| title_fullStr | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa Arora, Vivek B |
| title_full_unstemmed | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa Arora, Vivek B |
| title_short | Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa |
| title_sort | monetary policy transparency and financial market forecasts in south africa |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/08435-9781451866872/08435-9781451866872/08435-9781451866872.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT aroravivekb monetarypolicytransparencyandfinancialmarketforecastsinsouthafrica |