Verfügbarkeit: A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure

A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure:

This paper characterizes exchange market pressure as a nonlinear Markov-switching phenomenon, and examines its dynamics in response to money growth and inflation over three regimes. The empirical results identify episodes of exchange market pressure in the Kyrgyz Republic and confirm the statistical...

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1. Verfasser:	Kumah, Francis Y. (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2007
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 07/242
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 URL des Erstveröffentlichers
Zusammenfassung:	This paper characterizes exchange market pressure as a nonlinear Markov-switching phenomenon, and examines its dynamics in response to money growth and inflation over three regimes. The empirical results identify episodes of exchange market pressure in the Kyrgyz Republic and confirm the statistical superiority of the nonlinear regime-switching model over a linear VAR version in understanding exchange market pressure. The nonlinear empirical approach adequately characterizes the data generation process and yields results that are consistent with theoretical predictions, particularly the dampening effect of monetary contraction on depreciation pressure. During periods of appreciation pressure, however, the reverse policy option-monetary expansion-may not be efficient, particularly where PPP rather than UIP drives exchange rates. In addition, monetary expansion in such cases defeats the primary objective of monetary policy-price stability-and may exacerbate the instability
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (26 p)
ISBN:	1451868057 9781451868050

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spelling	Kumah, Francis Y. Verfasser aut A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure Kumah, Francis Y Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2007 1 Online-Ressource (26 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 07/242 This paper characterizes exchange market pressure as a nonlinear Markov-switching phenomenon, and examines its dynamics in response to money growth and inflation over three regimes. The empirical results identify episodes of exchange market pressure in the Kyrgyz Republic and confirm the statistical superiority of the nonlinear regime-switching model over a linear VAR version in understanding exchange market pressure. The nonlinear empirical approach adequately characterizes the data generation process and yields results that are consistent with theoretical predictions, particularly the dampening effect of monetary contraction on depreciation pressure. During periods of appreciation pressure, however, the reverse policy option-monetary expansion-may not be efficient, particularly where PPP rather than UIP drives exchange rates. In addition, monetary expansion in such cases defeats the primary objective of monetary policy-price stability-and may exacerbate the instability Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/08781-9781451868050/08781-9781451868050/08781-9781451868050.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Kumah, Francis Y. A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure
title	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure
title_auth	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure
title_exact_search	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure
title_exact_search_txtP	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure
title_full	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure Kumah, Francis Y
title_fullStr	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure Kumah, Francis Y
title_full_unstemmed	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure Kumah, Francis Y
title_short	A Markov-Switching Approach to Measuring Exchange Market Pressure
title_sort	a markov switching approach to measuring exchange market pressure
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