Verfügbarkeit: Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia

Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia: A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis

This paper investigates whether Indonesia's recent currency crisis was due to domestic fundamentals, common external shocks ("monsoons"), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switching models attribute speculative pressure on Indonesia's currency to domestic political...

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1. Verfasser:	Saxena, Sweta Chaman (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2000
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 00/60
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext
Zusammenfassung:	This paper investigates whether Indonesia's recent currency crisis was due to domestic fundamentals, common external shocks ("monsoons"), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switching models attribute speculative pressure on Indonesia's currency to domestic political and financial factors and contagion from speculative pressures in Thailand and Korea. In particular, the results from a time-varying transition probability Markov-switching model (which overcomes some drawbacks of previous methods) show that inclusion of exchange rate pressures from Thailand and Korea in the transition probabilities improves the conditional probabilities of crisis in Indonesia. There is also evidence of contagion in the stock market
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (26 p)
ISBN:	1451848048 9781451848045

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spelling	Saxena, Sweta Chaman Verfasser aut Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis Saxena, Sweta Chaman Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2000 1 Online-Ressource (26 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 00/60 This paper investigates whether Indonesia's recent currency crisis was due to domestic fundamentals, common external shocks ("monsoons"), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switching models attribute speculative pressure on Indonesia's currency to domestic political and financial factors and contagion from speculative pressures in Thailand and Korea. In particular, the results from a time-varying transition probability Markov-switching model (which overcomes some drawbacks of previous methods) show that inclusion of exchange rate pressures from Thailand and Korea in the transition probabilities improves the conditional probabilities of crisis in Indonesia. There is also evidence of contagion in the stock market Online-Ausg Cerra, Valerie Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/01354-9781451848045/01354-9781451848045/01354-9781451848045.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Saxena, Sweta Chaman Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
title	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
title_auth	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
title_exact_search	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
title_exact_search_txtP	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
title_full	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis Saxena, Sweta Chaman
title_fullStr	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis Saxena, Sweta Chaman
title_full_unstemmed	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis Saxena, Sweta Chaman
title_short	Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia
title_sort	contagion monsoons and domestic turmoil in indonesia a case study in the asian currency crisis
title_sub	A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
url	http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/01354-9781451848045/01354-9781451848045/01354-9781451848045.xml
work_keys_str_mv	AT saxenaswetachaman contagionmonsoonsanddomesticturmoilinindonesiaacasestudyintheasiancurrencycrisis AT cerravalerie contagionmonsoonsanddomesticturmoilinindonesiaacasestudyintheasiancurrencycrisis

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