Verfügbarkeit: Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices

Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices:

Crude oil prices have been on a run-up spree in recent years. Their dynamics were characterized by high volatility, high intensity jumps, and strong upward drift, indicating that oil markets were constantly out-of-equilibrium. An explanation of the oil price process in terms of the underlying fundam...

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1. Verfasser:	Krichene, Noureddine (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2006
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 06/299
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Zusammenfassung:	Crude oil prices have been on a run-up spree in recent years. Their dynamics were characterized by high volatility, high intensity jumps, and strong upward drift, indicating that oil markets were constantly out-of-equilibrium. An explanation of the oil price process in terms of the underlying fundamentals of oil markets and world economy was provided, viewing pressure on oil prices mainly as a result of rigid crude oil supply and an expanding world demand for crude oil. A change in the oil price process parameters would require a change in the underlying fundamentals. Market expectations, extracted from call and put option prices, anticipated no change, in the short term, in the underlying fundamentals. Markets expected oil prices to remain volatile and jumpy, and with higher probabilities, to rise, rather than fall, above the expected mean
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (28 p)
ISBN:	1451865597 9781451865592

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spelling	Krichene, Noureddine Verfasser aut Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices Krichene, Noureddine Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2006 1 Online-Ressource (28 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 06/299 Crude oil prices have been on a run-up spree in recent years. Their dynamics were characterized by high volatility, high intensity jumps, and strong upward drift, indicating that oil markets were constantly out-of-equilibrium. An explanation of the oil price process in terms of the underlying fundamentals of oil markets and world economy was provided, viewing pressure on oil prices mainly as a result of rigid crude oil supply and an expanding world demand for crude oil. A change in the oil price process parameters would require a change in the underlying fundamentals. Market expectations, extracted from call and put option prices, anticipated no change, in the short term, in the underlying fundamentals. Markets expected oil prices to remain volatile and jumpy, and with higher probabilities, to rise, rather than fall, above the expected mean Online-Ausg http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05574-9781451865592/05574-9781451865592/05574-9781451865592.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Krichene, Noureddine Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices
title	Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices
title_auth	Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices
title_exact_search	Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices
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title_full_unstemmed	Recent Dynamics of Crude Oil Prices Krichene, Noureddine
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