Spreading Currency Crises: The Role of Economic Interdependence
We analyze in this paper how the mutual dependence of private sector expectations in different countries on one another influences the stability of fixed exchange rate regimes. The crisis probabilities of countries trading with one another are interdependent because wage setters react to an imminent...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2002
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 02/144 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | We analyze in this paper how the mutual dependence of private sector expectations in different countries on one another influences the stability of fixed exchange rate regimes. The crisis probabilities of countries trading with one another are interdependent because wage setters react to an imminent loss of international competitiveness stemming from an increase in the crisis probability of a trading partner. If a currency crisis in one country is perceived to be increasingly likely, the probability of devaluation of its trading partners' currencies to restore their international competitiveness rises as well. Thus, not only actual devaluations but also an increasing crisis probability may trigger currency crises elsewhere. We show that not only fundamental weaknesses but also spontaneous shifts in market sentiment may play a role in precipitating currency crises |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (20 p) |
ISBN: | 1451856458 9781451856453 |
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spelling | Berger, Wolfram Verfasser aut Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence Berger, Wolfram Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2002 1 Online-Ressource (20 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 02/144 We analyze in this paper how the mutual dependence of private sector expectations in different countries on one another influences the stability of fixed exchange rate regimes. The crisis probabilities of countries trading with one another are interdependent because wage setters react to an imminent loss of international competitiveness stemming from an increase in the crisis probability of a trading partner. If a currency crisis in one country is perceived to be increasingly likely, the probability of devaluation of its trading partners' currencies to restore their international competitiveness rises as well. Thus, not only actual devaluations but also an increasing crisis probability may trigger currency crises elsewhere. We show that not only fundamental weaknesses but also spontaneous shifts in market sentiment may play a role in precipitating currency crises Online-Ausg Wagner, Helmut Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06411-9781451856453/06411-9781451856453/06411-9781451856453.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Berger, Wolfram Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence |
title | Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence |
title_auth | Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence |
title_exact_search | Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence |
title_exact_search_txtP | Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence |
title_full | Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence Berger, Wolfram |
title_fullStr | Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence Berger, Wolfram |
title_full_unstemmed | Spreading Currency Crises The Role of Economic Interdependence Berger, Wolfram |
title_short | Spreading Currency Crises |
title_sort | spreading currency crises the role of economic interdependence |
title_sub | The Role of Economic Interdependence |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06411-9781451856453/06411-9781451856453/06411-9781451856453.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT bergerwolfram spreadingcurrencycrisestheroleofeconomicinterdependence AT wagnerhelmut spreadingcurrencycrisestheroleofeconomicinterdependence |