Verfügbarkeit: Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises

Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises: The Mexican Experience

This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundame...

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1. Verfasser:	Ötker, Inci (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 1995
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 95/112
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext
Zusammenfassung:	This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundamentals appears to have generated high one-step-ahead probabilities for the regime changes during the sample period 1982-1994. Particularly, increases in inflation differentials, appreciations of the real exchange rate, foreign reserve losses, expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and increases in the share of short-term foreign currency debt appear to have contributed to the market pressures and regime changes in that period
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (38 p)
ISBN:	1451853548 9781451853544

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spelling	Ötker, Inci Verfasser aut Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience Ötker, Inci Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 1995 1 Online-Ressource (38 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 95/112 This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundamentals appears to have generated high one-step-ahead probabilities for the regime changes during the sample period 1982-1994. Particularly, increases in inflation differentials, appreciations of the real exchange rate, foreign reserve losses, expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and increases in the share of short-term foreign currency debt appear to have contributed to the market pressures and regime changes in that period Online-Ausg Pazarbasioglu, Ceyla Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06404-9781451853544/06404-9781451853544/06404-9781451853544.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Ötker, Inci Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience
title	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience
title_auth	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience
title_exact_search	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience
title_exact_search_txtP	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience
title_full	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience Ötker, Inci
title_fullStr	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience Ötker, Inci
title_full_unstemmed	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises The Mexican Experience Ötker, Inci
title_short	Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises
title_sort	speculative attacks and currency crises the mexican experience
title_sub	The Mexican Experience
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