Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary: Results from a Large Bayesian VAR
We document the transmission of monetary policy and risk-premium shocks in Hungary, by applying recent advances in the Bayesian estimation of large VAR models. The method allows extracting information from over 100 series, opening the ""black box"" of the transmission mechanism t...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2011
|
| Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 11/259 |
| Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | We document the transmission of monetary policy and risk-premium shocks in Hungary, by applying recent advances in the Bayesian estimation of large VAR models. The method allows extracting information from over 100 series, opening the ""black box"" of the transmission mechanism to provide the most comprehensive description to date of the impact of these two shocks on the economy under the inflation-targeting regime. We find novel evidence that most of the channels of transmission are operational in Hungary, in spite of large liability euroization and high foreign ownership of banks and corporations. Due to financial stability concerns, monetary policy responds procyclically to risk-premium shocks. We also find that the use of such a large panel of data improves inflation forecasting performance over smaller models and renders this model suitable for policy purposes |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (49 p) |
| ISBN: | 1463923988 9781463923983 |
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:13:19Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:35:27Z |
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| spelling | Popescu, Adina Verfasser aut Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR Popescu, Adina Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2011 1 Online-Ressource (49 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 11/259 We document the transmission of monetary policy and risk-premium shocks in Hungary, by applying recent advances in the Bayesian estimation of large VAR models. The method allows extracting information from over 100 series, opening the ""black box"" of the transmission mechanism to provide the most comprehensive description to date of the impact of these two shocks on the economy under the inflation-targeting regime. We find novel evidence that most of the channels of transmission are operational in Hungary, in spite of large liability euroization and high foreign ownership of banks and corporations. Due to financial stability concerns, monetary policy responds procyclically to risk-premium shocks. We also find that the use of such a large panel of data improves inflation forecasting performance over smaller models and renders this model suitable for policy purposes Online-Ausg Carare, Alina Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12274-9781463923983/12274-9781463923983/12274-9781463923983.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Popescu, Adina Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR |
| title | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR |
| title_auth | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR |
| title_exact_search | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR |
| title_full | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR Popescu, Adina |
| title_fullStr | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR Popescu, Adina |
| title_full_unstemmed | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary Results from a Large Bayesian VAR Popescu, Adina |
| title_short | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary |
| title_sort | monetary policy and risk premium shocks in hungary results from a large bayesian var |
| title_sub | Results from a Large Bayesian VAR |
| url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12274-9781463923983/12274-9781463923983/12274-9781463923983.xml |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT popescuadina monetarypolicyandriskpremiumshocksinhungaryresultsfromalargebayesianvar AT cararealina monetarypolicyandriskpremiumshocksinhungaryresultsfromalargebayesianvar |