Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth: Lessons From Jordan
This paper extends the long-run growth model of Esfahani et al. (2009) to a labor exporting country that receives large inflows of external income?the sum of remittances, FDI and general government transfers?from major oil-exporting economies. The theoretical model predicts real oil prices to be one...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2011
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 11/291 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper extends the long-run growth model of Esfahani et al. (2009) to a labor exporting country that receives large inflows of external income?the sum of remittances, FDI and general government transfers?from major oil-exporting economies. The theoretical model predicts real oil prices to be one of the main long-run drivers of real output. Using quarterly data between 1979 and 2009 on core macroeconomic variables for Jordan and a number of key foreign variables, we identify two long-run relationships: an output equation as predicted by theory and an equation linking foreign and domestic inflation rates. It is shown that real output in the long run is shaped by: (i) oil prices through their impact on external income and in turn on capital accumulation, and (ii) technological transfers through foreign output. The empirical analysis of the paper confirms the hypothesis that a large share of Jordan''s output volatility can be associated with fluctuations in net income received from abroad. External factors, however, cannot be relied upon to provide similar growth stimuli in the future, and therefore it will be important to diversify the sources of growth in order to achieve a high and sustained level of income |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (34 p) |
ISBN: | 1463927258 9781463927257 |
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record_format | marc |
series2 | IMF Working Papers |
spelling | Raissi, Mehdi Verfasser aut Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan Raissi, Mehdi Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2011 1 Online-Ressource (34 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 11/291 This paper extends the long-run growth model of Esfahani et al. (2009) to a labor exporting country that receives large inflows of external income?the sum of remittances, FDI and general government transfers?from major oil-exporting economies. The theoretical model predicts real oil prices to be one of the main long-run drivers of real output. Using quarterly data between 1979 and 2009 on core macroeconomic variables for Jordan and a number of key foreign variables, we identify two long-run relationships: an output equation as predicted by theory and an equation linking foreign and domestic inflation rates. It is shown that real output in the long run is shaped by: (i) oil prices through their impact on external income and in turn on capital accumulation, and (ii) technological transfers through foreign output. The empirical analysis of the paper confirms the hypothesis that a large share of Jordan''s output volatility can be associated with fluctuations in net income received from abroad. External factors, however, cannot be relied upon to provide similar growth stimuli in the future, and therefore it will be important to diversify the sources of growth in order to achieve a high and sustained level of income Online-Ausg Mohaddes, Kamiar Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12358-9781463927257/12358-9781463927257/12358-9781463927257.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Raissi, Mehdi Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan |
title | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan |
title_auth | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan |
title_exact_search | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan |
title_exact_search_txtP | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan |
title_full | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan Raissi, Mehdi |
title_fullStr | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan Raissi, Mehdi |
title_full_unstemmed | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth Lessons From Jordan Raissi, Mehdi |
title_short | Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth |
title_sort | oil prices external income and growth lessons from jordan |
title_sub | Lessons From Jordan |
url | http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12358-9781463927257/12358-9781463927257/12358-9781463927257.xml |
work_keys_str_mv | AT raissimehdi oilpricesexternalincomeandgrowthlessonsfromjordan AT mohaddeskamiar oilpricesexternalincomeandgrowthlessonsfromjordan |