Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty: A First Approximation
This paper examines trade reforms of uncertain duration undertaken in economies subject to real foreign and domestic shocks. These reforms induce consumption and import booms regardless of whether they succeed or fail and of the degree of intertemporal elasticity of substitution. If tariff revenue i...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
1994
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers
Working Paper No. 94/45 |
Online-Zugang: | UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | This paper examines trade reforms of uncertain duration undertaken in economies subject to real foreign and domestic shocks. These reforms induce consumption and import booms regardless of whether they succeed or fail and of the degree of intertemporal elasticity of substitution. If tariff revenue is rebated, a recession follows the boom, but without rebates a boom or a recession may follow depending on the outcome of the reform. Consumption fluctuations reflect imperfect credibility and real shocks, and the credibility component depends on the mean and risk of real asset returns. Thus, observed booms are a noisy signal of imperfect credibility. Quantitatively, lack of credibility produces sizable consumption cycles, but generally smaller than those induced by real disturbances |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (42 p) |
ISBN: | 1451974272 9781451974270 |
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spelling | Calvo, Guillermo Verfasser aut Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation Calvo, Guillermo Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 1994 1 Online-Ressource (42 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 94/45 This paper examines trade reforms of uncertain duration undertaken in economies subject to real foreign and domestic shocks. These reforms induce consumption and import booms regardless of whether they succeed or fail and of the degree of intertemporal elasticity of substitution. If tariff revenue is rebated, a recession follows the boom, but without rebates a boom or a recession may follow depending on the outcome of the reform. Consumption fluctuations reflect imperfect credibility and real shocks, and the credibility component depends on the mean and risk of real asset returns. Thus, observed booms are a noisy signal of imperfect credibility. Quantitatively, lack of credibility produces sizable consumption cycles, but generally smaller than those induced by real disturbances Online-Ausg Mendoza, Enrique G. Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/07480-9781451974270/07480-9781451974270/07480-9781451974270.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Calvo, Guillermo Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation |
title | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation |
title_auth | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation |
title_exact_search | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation |
title_exact_search_txtP | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation |
title_full | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation Calvo, Guillermo |
title_fullStr | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation Calvo, Guillermo |
title_full_unstemmed | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty A First Approximation Calvo, Guillermo |
title_short | Trade Reforms of Uncertain Duration and Real Uncertainty |
title_sort | trade reforms of uncertain duration and real uncertainty a first approximation |
title_sub | A First Approximation |
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