Verfügbarkeit: Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers

Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers:

This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated with lower growth than expected, with the relation being particularly strong, both st...

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1. Verfasser:	Blanchard, Olivier J. (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2013
Schriftenreihe:	IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 13/1
Online-Zugang:	UBW01 UEI01 LCO01 SBR01 UER01 SBG01 UBG01 FAN01 UBT01 FKE01 UBY01 UBA01 FLA01 UBM01 UPA01 UBR01 FHA01 FNU01 BSB01 TUM01 Volltext
Zusammenfassung:	This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated with lower growth than expected, with the relation being particularly strong, both statistically and economically, early in the crisis. A natural interpretation is that fiscal multipliers were substantially higher than implicitly assumed by forecasters. The weaker relation in more recent years may reflect in part learning by forecasters and in part smaller multipliers than in the early years of the crisis
Beschreibung:	1 Online-Ressource (43 p)
ISBN:	1475576447 9781475576443

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spelling	Blanchard, Olivier J. Verfasser aut Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers Blanchard, Olivier J Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2013 1 Online-Ressource (43 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 13/1 This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated with lower growth than expected, with the relation being particularly strong, both statistically and economically, early in the crisis. A natural interpretation is that fiscal multipliers were substantially higher than implicitly assumed by forecasters. The weaker relation in more recent years may reflect in part learning by forecasters and in part smaller multipliers than in the early years of the crisis Online-Ausg Leigh, Daniel Sonstige oth http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/20181-9781475576443/20181-9781475576443/20181-9781475576443.xml Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle	Blanchard, Olivier J. Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
title	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
title_auth	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
title_exact_search	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
title_exact_search_txtP	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
title_full	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers Blanchard, Olivier J
title_fullStr	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers Blanchard, Olivier J
title_full_unstemmed	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers Blanchard, Olivier J
title_short	Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
title_sort	growth forecast errors and fiscal multipliers
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