The Dynamic Effect of Social and Political Instability on Output: The Role of Reforms

The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the magnitude o...

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1. Verfasser: Bernal-Verdugo, Lorenzo E. (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C International Monetary Fund 2013
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 13/91
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Zusammenfassung:The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the magnitude of the effect being a function of the intensity of political instability. The results also show that the recovery of output over the medium-term depends on the ability of the country to implement, in the aftermath of a social instability episode, reforms aimed at improving the level of governance. The results are robust to different checks and estimation strategies
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (41 p)
ISBN:1484381688
9781484381687

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