China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios:
In 2016, the People's Republic of China removed its support prices for maize and started destocking its large public reserves of maize. This paper investigates what would happen if China were to also eliminate its support prices for rice and wheat and reduce its public stocks of these two commo...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Weitere Verfasser: | |
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2020
|
| Schriftenreihe: | OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | In 2016, the People's Republic of China removed its support prices for maize and started destocking its large public reserves of maize. This paper investigates what would happen if China were to also eliminate its support prices for rice and wheat and reduce its public stocks of these two commodities. The analysis examines domestic and international market impacts over the next ten years by comparing a baseline (or business-as-usual scenario) with three scenarios that each assume support prices are eliminated but incorporate different assumptions about China's import policies. To account for the uncertainty about China's actual stock levels, the baseline and three scenarios are conducted under a minimum and maximum stock level assumption. The results show that the impacts will be most pronounced during the first years when temporary public stocks are depleted, with strong drops in domestic prices and reduced production. Over the medium term, domestic prices are projected to recover but will remain below baseline levels. The analysis also shows that even though the actual size of stocks has no significant impact over the medium term, its impact can be substantial during the first years a new policy is implemented, which underscores the importance of transparency when reporting on stock levels and stockholding policies |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (39 Seiten) |
| DOI: | 10.1787/f813ed01-en |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV047936770 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 007 | cr|uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 220413s2020 xx o|||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1787/f813ed01-en |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (ZDB-13-SOC)061248479 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)1312692666 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV047936770 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e aacr | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-384 |a DE-91 |a DE-473 |a DE-824 |a DE-29 |a DE-739 |a DE-355 |a DE-20 |a DE-1028 |a DE-1049 |a DE-188 |a DE-521 |a DE-861 |a DE-898 |a DE-92 |a DE-573 |a DE-19 | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Deuss, Annelies |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios |c Annelies Deuss and Marcel Adenauer |
| 264 | 1 | |a Paris |b OECD Publishing |c 2020 | |
| 300 | |a 1 Online-Ressource (39 Seiten) | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 0 | |a OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers | |
| 520 | |a In 2016, the People's Republic of China removed its support prices for maize and started destocking its large public reserves of maize. This paper investigates what would happen if China were to also eliminate its support prices for rice and wheat and reduce its public stocks of these two commodities. The analysis examines domestic and international market impacts over the next ten years by comparing a baseline (or business-as-usual scenario) with three scenarios that each assume support prices are eliminated but incorporate different assumptions about China's import policies. To account for the uncertainty about China's actual stock levels, the baseline and three scenarios are conducted under a minimum and maximum stock level assumption. The results show that the impacts will be most pronounced during the first years when temporary public stocks are depleted, with strong drops in domestic prices and reduced production. Over the medium term, domestic prices are projected to recover but will remain below baseline levels. The analysis also shows that even though the actual size of stocks has no significant impact over the medium term, its impact can be substantial during the first years a new policy is implemented, which underscores the importance of transparency when reporting on stock levels and stockholding policies | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Agriculture and Food | |
| 650 | 4 | |a China, People's Republic | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Adenauer, Marcel |4 ctb | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1787/f813ed01-en |x Verlag |z kostenfrei |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a ZDB-13-SOC | ||
| 943 | 1 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033318264 | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1818806114834186240 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | |
| adam_txt | |
| any_adam_object | |
| any_adam_object_boolean | |
| author | Deuss, Annelies |
| author2 | Adenauer, Marcel |
| author2_role | ctb |
| author2_variant | m a ma |
| author_facet | Deuss, Annelies Adenauer, Marcel |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Deuss, Annelies |
| author_variant | a d ad |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV047936770 |
| collection | ZDB-13-SOC |
| ctrlnum | (ZDB-13-SOC)061248479 (OCoLC)1312692666 (DE-599)BVBBV047936770 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| discipline_str_mv | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1787/f813ed01-en |
| format | Electronic eBook |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>00000nam a2200000zc 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV047936770</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr|uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">220413s2020 xx o|||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1787/f813ed01-en</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ZDB-13-SOC)061248479</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)1312692666</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV047936770</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">aacr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-384</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-91</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-473</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-824</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-29</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-739</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-355</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-20</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-1028</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-1049</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-188</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-521</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-861</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-898</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-92</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-573</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-19</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Deuss, Annelies</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios</subfield><subfield code="c">Annelies Deuss and Marcel Adenauer</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Paris</subfield><subfield code="b">OECD Publishing</subfield><subfield code="c">2020</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource (39 Seiten)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">In 2016, the People's Republic of China removed its support prices for maize and started destocking its large public reserves of maize. This paper investigates what would happen if China were to also eliminate its support prices for rice and wheat and reduce its public stocks of these two commodities. The analysis examines domestic and international market impacts over the next ten years by comparing a baseline (or business-as-usual scenario) with three scenarios that each assume support prices are eliminated but incorporate different assumptions about China's import policies. To account for the uncertainty about China's actual stock levels, the baseline and three scenarios are conducted under a minimum and maximum stock level assumption. The results show that the impacts will be most pronounced during the first years when temporary public stocks are depleted, with strong drops in domestic prices and reduced production. Over the medium term, domestic prices are projected to recover but will remain below baseline levels. The analysis also shows that even though the actual size of stocks has no significant impact over the medium term, its impact can be substantial during the first years a new policy is implemented, which underscores the importance of transparency when reporting on stock levels and stockholding policies</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Agriculture and Food</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">China, People's Republic</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Adenauer, Marcel</subfield><subfield code="4">ctb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1787/f813ed01-en</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="z">kostenfrei</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-13-SOC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="943" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033318264</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV047936770 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T19:35:06Z |
| indexdate | 2024-12-18T19:04:38Z |
| institution | BVB |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033318264 |
| oclc_num | 1312692666 |
| open_access_boolean | 1 |
| owner | DE-384 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-824 DE-29 DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-20 DE-1028 DE-1049 DE-188 DE-521 DE-861 DE-898 DE-BY-UBR DE-92 DE-573 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| owner_facet | DE-384 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-824 DE-29 DE-739 DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-20 DE-1028 DE-1049 DE-188 DE-521 DE-861 DE-898 DE-BY-UBR DE-92 DE-573 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (39 Seiten) |
| psigel | ZDB-13-SOC |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| publishDateSearch | 2020 |
| publishDateSort | 2020 |
| publisher | OECD Publishing |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers |
| spelling | Deuss, Annelies Verfasser aut China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios Annelies Deuss and Marcel Adenauer Paris OECD Publishing 2020 1 Online-Ressource (39 Seiten) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers In 2016, the People's Republic of China removed its support prices for maize and started destocking its large public reserves of maize. This paper investigates what would happen if China were to also eliminate its support prices for rice and wheat and reduce its public stocks of these two commodities. The analysis examines domestic and international market impacts over the next ten years by comparing a baseline (or business-as-usual scenario) with three scenarios that each assume support prices are eliminated but incorporate different assumptions about China's import policies. To account for the uncertainty about China's actual stock levels, the baseline and three scenarios are conducted under a minimum and maximum stock level assumption. The results show that the impacts will be most pronounced during the first years when temporary public stocks are depleted, with strong drops in domestic prices and reduced production. Over the medium term, domestic prices are projected to recover but will remain below baseline levels. The analysis also shows that even though the actual size of stocks has no significant impact over the medium term, its impact can be substantial during the first years a new policy is implemented, which underscores the importance of transparency when reporting on stock levels and stockholding policies Agriculture and Food China, People's Republic Adenauer, Marcel ctb https://doi.org/10.1787/f813ed01-en Verlag kostenfrei Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Deuss, Annelies China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios Agriculture and Food China, People's Republic |
| title | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios |
| title_auth | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios |
| title_exact_search | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios |
| title_exact_search_txtP | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios |
| title_full | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios Annelies Deuss and Marcel Adenauer |
| title_fullStr | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios Annelies Deuss and Marcel Adenauer |
| title_full_unstemmed | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios Annelies Deuss and Marcel Adenauer |
| title_short | China's grain reserves, price support and import policies: Examining the medium-term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios |
| title_sort | china s grain reserves price support and import policies examining the medium term market impacts of alternative policy scenarios |
| topic | Agriculture and Food China, People's Republic |
| topic_facet | Agriculture and Food China, People's Republic |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1787/f813ed01-en |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT deussannelies chinasgrainreservespricesupportandimportpoliciesexaminingthemediumtermmarketimpactsofalternativepolicyscenarios AT adenauermarcel chinasgrainreservespricesupportandimportpoliciesexaminingthemediumtermmarketimpactsofalternativepolicyscenarios |