Catching-up and Inflation in Europe: Balassa-Samuelson, Engel's Law and Other Culprits

This study analyses the impact of economic catching-up on annual inflation rates in the European Union with a special focus on the new member countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Using an array of estimation methods, we show that the Balassa-Samuelson effect is not an important driver of inflati...

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1. Verfasser: Égert, Balázs (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Paris OECD Publishing 2010
Schriftenreihe:OECD Economics Department Working Papers
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Zusammenfassung:This study analyses the impact of economic catching-up on annual inflation rates in the European Union with a special focus on the new member countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Using an array of estimation methods, we show that the Balassa-Samuelson effect is not an important driver of inflation rates. By contrast, we find that the initial price level and regulated prices strongly affect inflation outcomes in a nonlinear manner and that the extension of Engel's Law may hold during periods of very fast growth. We interpret these results as a sign that price level convergence comes from goods, market and non-market service prices. Furthermore, we find that the Phillips curve flattens with a decline in the inflation rate, that inflation persistence increases and that commodity prices have a stronger effect on inflation in a higher inflation environment
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (33 Seiten) 21 x 29.7cm
DOI:10.1787/5kmblscvdk7d-en

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