Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle:
Using a large panel of OECD countries this paper studies the link between debt and macroeconomic stability by comparing the evolution of balance sheet aggregates and economic output in high- and lowdebt environments. While the relationship between debt and economic growth has been extensively studie...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
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Paris
OECD Publishing
2012
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Schriftenreihe: | OECD Economics Department Working Papers
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Online-Zugang: | kostenfrei |
Zusammenfassung: | Using a large panel of OECD countries this paper studies the link between debt and macroeconomic stability by comparing the evolution of balance sheet aggregates and economic output in high- and lowdebt environments. While the relationship between debt and economic growth has been extensively studied in the literature, only little attention has been paid to the impact of debt on volatility and higher moments of output growth distributions. This paper fills in this gap. Debt-fuelled expansions are found to typically last longer but to culminate in a more sizeable downturn. The greater amplitude of business cycles in high-debt environments reflects higher macroeconomic volatility but also higher tail risks and adverse asymmetries in output growth distributions. The induced welfare losses justify policy interventions aiming at preventing excessive build-ups in debt ex-ante |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (24 Seiten) 21 x 29.7cm |
DOI: | 10.1787/5k8xb7613x9s-en |
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spelling | Ziemann, Volker Verfasser aut Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle Volker Ziemann = Endettement et stabilité macroéconomique: L'endettement et le cycle économique / Volker Ziemann Endettement et stabilité macroéconomique: L'endettement et le cycle économique Paris OECD Publishing 2012 1 Online-Ressource (24 Seiten) 21 x 29.7cm txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier OECD Economics Department Working Papers Using a large panel of OECD countries this paper studies the link between debt and macroeconomic stability by comparing the evolution of balance sheet aggregates and economic output in high- and lowdebt environments. While the relationship between debt and economic growth has been extensively studied in the literature, only little attention has been paid to the impact of debt on volatility and higher moments of output growth distributions. This paper fills in this gap. Debt-fuelled expansions are found to typically last longer but to culminate in a more sizeable downturn. The greater amplitude of business cycles in high-debt environments reflects higher macroeconomic volatility but also higher tail risks and adverse asymmetries in output growth distributions. The induced welfare losses justify policy interventions aiming at preventing excessive build-ups in debt ex-ante Economics https://doi.org/10.1787/5k8xb7613x9s-en Verlag kostenfrei Volltext |
spellingShingle | Ziemann, Volker Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle Economics |
title | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle |
title_alt | Endettement et stabilité macroéconomique: L'endettement et le cycle économique |
title_auth | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle |
title_exact_search | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle |
title_exact_search_txtP | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle |
title_full | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle Volker Ziemann = Endettement et stabilité macroéconomique: L'endettement et le cycle économique / Volker Ziemann |
title_fullStr | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle Volker Ziemann = Endettement et stabilité macroéconomique: L'endettement et le cycle économique / Volker Ziemann |
title_full_unstemmed | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle Volker Ziemann = Endettement et stabilité macroéconomique: L'endettement et le cycle économique / Volker Ziemann |
title_short | Debt and Macroeconomic Stability: Debt and the Business Cycle |
title_sort | debt and macroeconomic stability debt and the business cycle |
topic | Economics |
topic_facet | Economics |
url | https://doi.org/10.1787/5k8xb7613x9s-en |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ziemannvolker debtandmacroeconomicstabilitydebtandthebusinesscycle AT ziemannvolker endettementetstabilitemacroeconomiquelendettementetlecycleeconomique |