Novoj Rossii - 30 let: dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis)
Новой России - 30 лет достижения и упущения : (социально-экономический анализ)
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | Russian |
Veröffentlicht: |
Orel
Orlovskij filial RANChiGS
2021
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract Abstract |
Beschreibung: | 100 Seiten |
ISBN: | 9785931796864 |
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245 | 1 | 0 | |6 880-03 |a Novoj Rossii - 30 let |b dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) |c Aganbenjan Abel Gesevič |
246 | 1 | 1 | |a The new Russia 30 years later |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | СОДЕРЖАНИЕ Введение.................................................................................................. 4 1. Трансформационный кризис (1991-1998/1999 гг.)................. 8 2. Восстановительный подъем экономики и социальной сферы (1999-2008 гг.).................................................................25 3. Период кризисов и стагнации(2009-2021 гг.)...........................40 4. Перспективы социально-экономического развития России (2023-2024 гг.).................................................................... 78 Резюме.................................................................................................... 95 The new Russia 30 years later. Achievements and shortcomings (A socioeconomic analysis) (by Abel Aganbegian) 97 Список книг автора, использованных в тексте.................................. 99
УДК 947(075.8) ББК 63.3 А 23 Аганбегян Абел Гезевич д 23 Новой России - 30 лет. Достижения и упущения (социальноэкономический анализ). - Орел: Издательство Среднерусского института управления - филиала РАНХиГС, 2021. - 102 с. ISBN 978-5-93179-686-4 Научная работа отражает результаты исследований,
прово дившихся на протяжении двух десятилетий XXI столетия и посвя щенных вопросам периодизации социально-экономического разви тия Российской Федерации в период ее суверенизации и движения к демократическому правовому государству и рыночной экономике. Рассмотрены практические аспекты кризисных
явлений и стагнации в российском народном хозяйстве на различных этапах построения рыночной экономической системы, выявлены их причины и харак тер, выделены актуальные методы и подходы к государственному регулированию различных сфер экономики постсоветской России. Проанализированы особенности
социально-экономического разви тия Российской Федерации, определены экономическая специализа ция и перспективные направления стабилизации и подъема россий ской экономики с учетом влияния на нее политико-экономического, демографического, социального, сырьевого, инвестиционного фак торов.
Определены ключевые проблемы и направления устойчивого развития рыночной экономики с учетом российской специфики. Для преподавателей, научных работников, а также аспирантов и студентов. УДК 947(075.8) ББК 63.3 © Аганбегян А.Г., 2021 © Среднерусский институт управления филиал РАНХиГС, 2021 ISBN
978-5-93179-686-4
Новой России - ЗО лет. Достижения и упущения 99 THE NEW RUSSIA 30 YEARS LATER. ACHIEVEMENTS AND SHORTCOMINGS (A SOCIOECONOMIC ANALYSIS) (BY ABEL AGANBEGIAN) In its 30 years of socioeconomic development Russia has gone through 3 stages: a period of transformation crisis (1991-1998/1999), a recovery boom (1999-2008) and a third period of crisis and stagnation (20092020/21) still in process. The crisis of the New Russia is a continuation of the shortages and external debt crisis of the two last years of the Soviet Union’s existence. It ended with a two year long financial, economic and social crisis of 1998՜ 1999. The recovery boom began thanks to a four-time depreciation of the rouble against the dollar, which led to a decrease of import and the growth of import-substitution industries. Further growth was supported by considerable yearly increase in prices for oil and natural gas which comprise70%of our exports. Russia’s GDP increased 1,9 times and real disposable household income - 2,3 times during this period. In 2010-2012 major socioeconomic markers have recovered to pre crisis levels. From 2013 a seven year long stagnation began in Russia, with recession in social markers in 2015. The stagnation snowballed into a deep structural crisis of 2020-2021, due to the global corona virus pandemic as well as the oil and gas crisis. The beginning of the new, fourth period in Russia’s development is possible only in the end of2021, when 60-70 mln people will have been vaccinated (according to virologists). But that presupposes a sharp increase (2-3 times) of anti-crisis measures
financing. Without it recovery to 2019 levels, not to mention 2012-2013 levels, will take not 2 years but 4-5 or more. A new bout of stagnation awaits the country, and unlike a crisis it doesn’t have a built-in “rebound” mechanism - the post crisis growth. Russia has the financial resources for a large-scale anti-crisis program, that would insure a switch to accelerated socioeconomic growth. F or one,
100 Аганбегян Абел Гезевич it’s the bank system assets, which grow by 12-14% (more than GDP). For two, it’s the volume of gold and foreign currency reserves. For three, the possibilities to interest major business, companies and organizations in investing in capital stock and human capital. For four, mass privatization of state-controlled companies and organizations. For five, raising bonded loans from citizens in need of improved housing conditions, a vehicle or a plot of land at a discount, on conditions mutually profitable for the state, the business and the populace. For six, fund raising via increasing national debt. Increasing the populace’s living standards and preserving the people of Russia is of vital importance. This program should include the following measures: a) increase of minimal wage and unemployment pay in 20 21 airea dy b) pension valorization c) reducing the populace’s debt under credit d) creating conditions to improve living standards of rural and small town population - the most numerous relatively poor population group e) income tax reform. The stepped up increase of investment into capital stock and human capital («knowledge economy») and the rise of residential development will allow to overcome the crisis in a short time frame (in 2022), surpass 2019 levels and resume 3 percent socioeconomic growth starting from 2023. In order to remove the obstacles in the way of investment and socioeconomic growth, create a friendly environment here - a number of structural reforms needs to take place, including property reform (doing away with excessive state
control, undertake mass privatization, declaring private property the basis of national economy) as well as finance and tax systems reform. The solution is in switching to national economic planning, in creating the first five-year plan for Russia spanning 2021-2025 with key results set up to 2030.
|
adam_txt |
СОДЕРЖАНИЕ Введение. 4 1. Трансформационный кризис (1991-1998/1999 гг.). 8 2. Восстановительный подъем экономики и социальной сферы (1999-2008 гг.).25 3. Период кризисов и стагнации(2009-2021 гг.).40 4. Перспективы социально-экономического развития России (2023-2024 гг.). 78 Резюме. 95 The new Russia 30 years later. Achievements and shortcomings (A socioeconomic analysis) (by Abel Aganbegian) 97 Список книг автора, использованных в тексте. 99
УДК 947(075.8) ББК 63.3 А 23 Аганбегян Абел Гезевич д 23 Новой России - 30 лет. Достижения и упущения (социальноэкономический анализ). - Орел: Издательство Среднерусского института управления - филиала РАНХиГС, 2021. - 102 с. ISBN 978-5-93179-686-4 Научная работа отражает результаты исследований,
прово дившихся на протяжении двух десятилетий XXI столетия и посвя щенных вопросам периодизации социально-экономического разви тия Российской Федерации в период ее суверенизации и движения к демократическому правовому государству и рыночной экономике. Рассмотрены практические аспекты кризисных
явлений и стагнации в российском народном хозяйстве на различных этапах построения рыночной экономической системы, выявлены их причины и харак тер, выделены актуальные методы и подходы к государственному регулированию различных сфер экономики постсоветской России. Проанализированы особенности
социально-экономического разви тия Российской Федерации, определены экономическая специализа ция и перспективные направления стабилизации и подъема россий ской экономики с учетом влияния на нее политико-экономического, демографического, социального, сырьевого, инвестиционного фак торов.
Определены ключевые проблемы и направления устойчивого развития рыночной экономики с учетом российской специфики. Для преподавателей, научных работников, а также аспирантов и студентов. УДК 947(075.8) ББК 63.3 © Аганбегян А.Г., 2021 © Среднерусский институт управления филиал РАНХиГС, 2021 ISBN
978-5-93179-686-4
Новой России - ЗО лет. Достижения и упущения 99 THE NEW RUSSIA 30 YEARS LATER. ACHIEVEMENTS AND SHORTCOMINGS (A SOCIOECONOMIC ANALYSIS) (BY ABEL AGANBEGIAN) In its 30 years of socioeconomic development Russia has gone through 3 stages: a period of transformation crisis (1991-1998/1999), a recovery boom (1999-2008) and a third period of crisis and stagnation (20092020/21) still in process. The crisis of the New Russia is a continuation of the shortages and external debt crisis of the two last years of the Soviet Union’s existence. It ended with a two year long financial, economic and social crisis of 1998՜ 1999. The recovery boom began thanks to a four-time depreciation of the rouble against the dollar, which led to a decrease of import and the growth of import-substitution industries. Further growth was supported by considerable yearly increase in prices for oil and natural gas which comprise70%of our exports. Russia’s GDP increased 1,9 times and real disposable household income - 2,3 times during this period. In 2010-2012 major socioeconomic markers have recovered to pre crisis levels. From 2013 a seven year long stagnation began in Russia, with recession in social markers in 2015. The stagnation snowballed into a deep structural crisis of 2020-2021, due to the global corona virus pandemic as well as the oil and gas crisis. The beginning of the new, fourth period in Russia’s development is possible only in the end of2021, when 60-70 mln people will have been vaccinated (according to virologists). But that presupposes a sharp increase (2-3 times) of anti-crisis measures
financing. Without it recovery to 2019 levels, not to mention 2012-2013 levels, will take not 2 years but 4-5 or more. A new bout of stagnation awaits the country, and unlike a crisis it doesn’t have a built-in “rebound” mechanism - the post crisis growth. Russia has the financial resources for a large-scale anti-crisis program, that would insure a switch to accelerated socioeconomic growth. F or one,
100 Аганбегян Абел Гезевич it’s the bank system assets, which grow by 12-14% (more than GDP). For two, it’s the volume of gold and foreign currency reserves. For three, the possibilities to interest major business, companies and organizations in investing in capital stock and human capital. For four, mass privatization of state-controlled companies and organizations. For five, raising bonded loans from citizens in need of improved housing conditions, a vehicle or a plot of land at a discount, on conditions mutually profitable for the state, the business and the populace. For six, fund raising via increasing national debt. Increasing the populace’s living standards and preserving the people of Russia is of vital importance. This program should include the following measures: a) increase of minimal wage and unemployment pay in 20 21 airea dy b) pension valorization c) reducing the populace’s debt under credit d) creating conditions to improve living standards of rural and small town population - the most numerous relatively poor population group e) income tax reform. The stepped up increase of investment into capital stock and human capital («knowledge economy») and the rise of residential development will allow to overcome the crisis in a short time frame (in 2022), surpass 2019 levels and resume 3 percent socioeconomic growth starting from 2023. In order to remove the obstacles in the way of investment and socioeconomic growth, create a friendly environment here - a number of structural reforms needs to take place, including property reform (doing away with excessive state
control, undertake mass privatization, declaring private property the basis of national economy) as well as finance and tax systems reform. The solution is in switching to national economic planning, in creating the first five-year plan for Russia spanning 2021-2025 with key results set up to 2030. |
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geographic | Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd |
geographic_facet | Russland |
id | DE-604.BV047844279 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
index_date | 2024-07-03T19:13:11Z |
indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:22:54Z |
institution | BVB |
institution_GND | (DE-588)1161366105 |
isbn | 9785931796864 |
language | Russian |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033227242 |
oclc_num | 1314900288 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-12 |
owner_facet | DE-12 |
physical | 100 Seiten |
psigel | BSB_NED_20220512 |
publishDate | 2021 |
publishDateSearch | 2021 |
publishDateSort | 2021 |
publisher | Orlovskij filial RANChiGS |
record_format | marc |
spelling | 880-01 Aganbegjan, Abel Gesevič 1932- Verfasser (DE-588)123353785 aut 880-03 Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) Aganbenjan Abel Gesevič The new Russia 30 years later 880-04 Orel Orlovskij filial RANChiGS 2021 100 Seiten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Text russisch In kyrillischer Schrift Geschichte 1991-2024 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd rswk-swf Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 g Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 s Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 s Geschichte 1991-2024 z DE-604 880-02 Rossijskaja akademija narodnogo chozjajstva i gosudarstvennoj služby Orlovskij filial (DE-588)1161366105 isb Digitalisierung BSB München 25 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033227242&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB München 25 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033227242&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract Digitalisierung BSB München 25 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033227242&sequence=000005&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract 100-01/(N Аганбегян, Абел Гесевич ut 710-02/(N Российская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы, Орловский филиал 4isb 245-03/(N Новой России - 30 лет достижения и упущения : (социально-экономический анализ) Аганбенян Абел Гесевич 264-04/(N Орел Орловский филиал РАНХиГС 2021 |
spellingShingle | Aganbegjan, Abel Gesevič 1932- Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4066399-1 (DE-588)4020588-5 (DE-588)4076899-5 |
title | Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) |
title_alt | The new Russia 30 years later |
title_auth | Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) |
title_exact_search | Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) |
title_exact_search_txtP | Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) |
title_full | Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) Aganbenjan Abel Gesevič |
title_fullStr | Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) Aganbenjan Abel Gesevič |
title_full_unstemmed | Novoj Rossii - 30 let dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) Aganbenjan Abel Gesevič |
title_short | Novoj Rossii - 30 let |
title_sort | novoj rossii 30 let dostizenija i upuscenija socialʹno ekonomiceskij analiz the new russia 30 years later achievements and shortcomings a socioeconomic analysis |
title_sub | dostiženija i upuščenija : (socialʹno-ėkonomičeskij analiz) = The new Russia 30 years later : achievements and shortcomings : (a socioeconomic analysis) |
topic | Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Gesellschaft (DE-588)4020588-5 gnd |
topic_facet | Wirtschaft Gesellschaft Russland |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033227242&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033227242&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033227242&sequence=000005&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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