Stabilizing great-power rivalries:
The consensus inside and outside the U.S. government is that the international system is headed for a renewed era of intense and sometimes bitter competition among leading states. The objective of this research was to assess the emerging strategic competitions between the United States and both Chin...
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
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Santa Monica, CA
RAND Corporation
2021
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Schriftenreihe: | RAND research report
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Online-Zugang: | kostenfrei |
Zusammenfassung: | The consensus inside and outside the U.S. government is that the international system is headed for a renewed era of intense and sometimes bitter competition among leading states. The objective of this research was to assess the emerging strategic competitions between the United States and both China and Russia, examine the approaches most likely to preserve long-term stability in these competitions, and draw implications for Army capabilities and posture. To this end, the authors reviewed existing literature on rivalries, identifying variables strongly associated with stability and instability, and, based on that research, developed a framework for assessment of such rivalries. They then applied this framework to historical cases of bilateral rivalries to identify the most important factors. Finally, they leveraged this work to assess the current state of U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China relations. Their assessment suggests that there are serious grounds for concern about the stability of both the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China rivalries. While certain contextual factors, such as mutual strategic vulnerability, will remain buffers of conflict, many of the warning signs for instability are clearly visible, and the future seems likely to be even more volatile. The report offers recommendations for the U.S. government and the U.S. Army, in particular, to manage this challenging new era of competition. One overarching theme identified is that to ensure stability-and avoid war-the policy response to this intensified great-power competition should be nuanced and go beyond merely bolstering capabilities to counter rivals |
Beschreibung: | xxi, 264 Seiten Illustrationen |
ISBN: | 9781977406200 |
DOI: | 10.7249/RR-A456-1 |
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520 | 3 | |a The consensus inside and outside the U.S. government is that the international system is headed for a renewed era of intense and sometimes bitter competition among leading states. The objective of this research was to assess the emerging strategic competitions between the United States and both China and Russia, examine the approaches most likely to preserve long-term stability in these competitions, and draw implications for Army capabilities and posture. To this end, the authors reviewed existing literature on rivalries, identifying variables strongly associated with stability and instability, and, based on that research, developed a framework for assessment of such rivalries. They then applied this framework to historical cases of bilateral rivalries to identify the most important factors. Finally, they leveraged this work to assess the current state of U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China relations. Their assessment suggests that there are serious grounds for concern about the stability of both the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China rivalries. While certain contextual factors, such as mutual strategic vulnerability, will remain buffers of conflict, many of the warning signs for instability are clearly visible, and the future seems likely to be even more volatile. The report offers recommendations for the U.S. government and the U.S. Army, in particular, to manage this challenging new era of competition. One overarching theme identified is that to ensure stability-and avoid war-the policy response to this intensified great-power competition should be nuanced and go beyond merely bolstering capabilities to counter rivals | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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author | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- Charap, Samuel 1980- |
author_GND | (DE-588)132965380 (DE-588)1140057758 |
author_facet | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- Charap, Samuel 1980- |
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author_sort | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- |
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contents | Chapter One: Introduction: Anticipating an Era of Great-Power Rivalry -- Chapter Two: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Rivalry -- Chapter Three: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Stability -- Chapter Four: Case Study: The Anglo-German Rivalry, 1871-1913 -- Chapter Five: Case Study: The Sino-Soviet/Russian Rivalry, 1950-2001 -- Chapter Six: Case Study: The Cold War, 1947-1989 -- Chapter Seven: The Emerging U.S.-Russia Rivalry, 1991-2019 -- Chapter Eight: The Emerging U.S.-China Rivalry, 1996-2019 -- Chapter Nine: Overall Findings and Implications for the U.S. Army |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1337123844 (DE-599)BVBBV047806088 |
doi_str_mv | 10.7249/RR-A456-1 |
era | Geschichte 1950-2019 gnd |
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illustrated | Illustrated |
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institution | BVB |
isbn | 9781977406200 |
language | English |
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physical | xxi, 264 Seiten Illustrationen |
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publishDate | 2021 |
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publisher | RAND Corporation |
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spelling | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- Verfasser (DE-588)132965380 aut Stabilizing great-power rivalries Michael J. Mazarr, Samuel Charap, Abigail Casey, Irina A. Chindea, Christian Curriden, Alyssa Demus, Bryan Frederick, Arthur Chan, John P. Godges, Eugene Han, Timothy R. Heath, Logan Ma, Elina Treyger, Teddy Ulin, and Ali Wyne Santa Monica, CA RAND Corporation 2021 xxi, 264 Seiten Illustrationen txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier RAND research report Chapter One: Introduction: Anticipating an Era of Great-Power Rivalry -- Chapter Two: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Rivalry -- Chapter Three: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Stability -- Chapter Four: Case Study: The Anglo-German Rivalry, 1871-1913 -- Chapter Five: Case Study: The Sino-Soviet/Russian Rivalry, 1950-2001 -- Chapter Six: Case Study: The Cold War, 1947-1989 -- Chapter Seven: The Emerging U.S.-Russia Rivalry, 1991-2019 -- Chapter Eight: The Emerging U.S.-China Rivalry, 1996-2019 -- Chapter Nine: Overall Findings and Implications for the U.S. Army The consensus inside and outside the U.S. government is that the international system is headed for a renewed era of intense and sometimes bitter competition among leading states. The objective of this research was to assess the emerging strategic competitions between the United States and both China and Russia, examine the approaches most likely to preserve long-term stability in these competitions, and draw implications for Army capabilities and posture. To this end, the authors reviewed existing literature on rivalries, identifying variables strongly associated with stability and instability, and, based on that research, developed a framework for assessment of such rivalries. They then applied this framework to historical cases of bilateral rivalries to identify the most important factors. Finally, they leveraged this work to assess the current state of U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China relations. Their assessment suggests that there are serious grounds for concern about the stability of both the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China rivalries. While certain contextual factors, such as mutual strategic vulnerability, will remain buffers of conflict, many of the warning signs for instability are clearly visible, and the future seems likely to be even more volatile. The report offers recommendations for the U.S. government and the U.S. Army, in particular, to manage this challenging new era of competition. One overarching theme identified is that to ensure stability-and avoid war-the policy response to this intensified great-power competition should be nuanced and go beyond merely bolstering capabilities to counter rivals Geschichte 1950-2019 gnd rswk-swf Rivalität (DE-588)4178251-3 gnd rswk-swf Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 gnd rswk-swf Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 gnd rswk-swf Großmachtpolitik (DE-588)4158292-5 gnd rswk-swf Balance of power / 21st century Geopolitics / United States / Forecasting Great powers / History Strategy / Research / United States Balance of power Geopolitics / Forecasting Great powers Strategy / Research United States 2000-2099 History Großmachtpolitik (DE-588)4158292-5 s Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 s Rivalität (DE-588)4178251-3 s Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 s Geschichte 1950-2019 z DE-604 Charap, Samuel 1980- Verfasser (DE-588)1140057758 aut https://doi.org/10.7249/RR-A456-1 Verlag kostenfrei |
spellingShingle | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- Charap, Samuel 1980- Stabilizing great-power rivalries Chapter One: Introduction: Anticipating an Era of Great-Power Rivalry -- Chapter Two: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Rivalry -- Chapter Three: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Stability -- Chapter Four: Case Study: The Anglo-German Rivalry, 1871-1913 -- Chapter Five: Case Study: The Sino-Soviet/Russian Rivalry, 1950-2001 -- Chapter Six: Case Study: The Cold War, 1947-1989 -- Chapter Seven: The Emerging U.S.-Russia Rivalry, 1991-2019 -- Chapter Eight: The Emerging U.S.-China Rivalry, 1996-2019 -- Chapter Nine: Overall Findings and Implications for the U.S. Army Rivalität (DE-588)4178251-3 gnd Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 gnd Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 gnd Großmachtpolitik (DE-588)4158292-5 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4178251-3 (DE-588)4157518-0 (DE-588)4156741-9 (DE-588)4158292-5 |
title | Stabilizing great-power rivalries |
title_auth | Stabilizing great-power rivalries |
title_exact_search | Stabilizing great-power rivalries |
title_exact_search_txtP | Stabilizing great-power rivalries |
title_full | Stabilizing great-power rivalries Michael J. Mazarr, Samuel Charap, Abigail Casey, Irina A. Chindea, Christian Curriden, Alyssa Demus, Bryan Frederick, Arthur Chan, John P. Godges, Eugene Han, Timothy R. Heath, Logan Ma, Elina Treyger, Teddy Ulin, and Ali Wyne |
title_fullStr | Stabilizing great-power rivalries Michael J. Mazarr, Samuel Charap, Abigail Casey, Irina A. Chindea, Christian Curriden, Alyssa Demus, Bryan Frederick, Arthur Chan, John P. Godges, Eugene Han, Timothy R. Heath, Logan Ma, Elina Treyger, Teddy Ulin, and Ali Wyne |
title_full_unstemmed | Stabilizing great-power rivalries Michael J. Mazarr, Samuel Charap, Abigail Casey, Irina A. Chindea, Christian Curriden, Alyssa Demus, Bryan Frederick, Arthur Chan, John P. Godges, Eugene Han, Timothy R. Heath, Logan Ma, Elina Treyger, Teddy Ulin, and Ali Wyne |
title_short | Stabilizing great-power rivalries |
title_sort | stabilizing great power rivalries |
topic | Rivalität (DE-588)4178251-3 gnd Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 gnd Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 gnd Großmachtpolitik (DE-588)4158292-5 gnd |
topic_facet | Rivalität Gleichgewichtspolitik Geopolitik Großmachtpolitik |
url | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR-A456-1 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mazarrmichaelj stabilizinggreatpowerrivalries AT charapsamuel stabilizinggreatpowerrivalries |