Probability, choice, and reason:
Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to w...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Boca Raton ; London ; New York
CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group
2022
|
| Ausgabe: | First edition |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Zusammenfassung: | Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world.Features:An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinkingMany classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzlesAn exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain worldThe application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicineExercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe furtherSolutions to exercises at the end of the bookThis book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book |
| Beschreibung: | 1. Probability, Evidence, and Reason ; 2. Probability Paradoxes; 3. Probability and Choice; 4. Probability, Games, and Gambling; 5. Probability, Truth, and Reason; 6. Anomalies of Choice and Reason; 7. Game Theory, Probability, and Practice; 8. Further Ideas and Exercises; Solutions to Exercises |
| Beschreibung: | xvii, 292 Seiten 572 grams |
| ISBN: | 9780367538910 9780367538934 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 c 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV047588733 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20220104 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 211115s2022 |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 020 | |a 9780367538910 |c pbk |9 978-0-367-53891-0 | ||
| 020 | |a 9780367538934 |c hbk |9 978-0-367-53893-4 | ||
| 024 | 3 | |a 9780367538910 | |
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)1291615849 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV047588733 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rda | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-29T | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Vaughan Williams, Leighton |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)124933270 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Probability, choice, and reason |c Leighton Vaughan Williams |
| 250 | |a First edition | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a Boca Raton ; London ; New York |b CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group |c 2022 | |
| 300 | |a xvii, 292 Seiten |c 572 grams | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a 1. Probability, Evidence, and Reason ; 2. Probability Paradoxes; 3. Probability and Choice; 4. Probability, Games, and Gambling; 5. Probability, Truth, and Reason; 6. Anomalies of Choice and Reason; 7. Game Theory, Probability, and Practice; 8. Further Ideas and Exercises; Solutions to Exercises | ||
| 520 | |a Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world.Features:An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinkingMany classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzlesAn exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain worldThe application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicineExercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe furtherSolutions to exercises at the end of the bookThis book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a bisacsh / MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |z 978-1-003-08361-0 |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032973947 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804182947429875712 |
|---|---|
| adam_txt | |
| any_adam_object | |
| any_adam_object_boolean | |
| author | Vaughan Williams, Leighton |
| author_GND | (DE-588)124933270 |
| author_facet | Vaughan Williams, Leighton |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Vaughan Williams, Leighton |
| author_variant | w l v wl wlv |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV047588733 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1291615849 (DE-599)BVBBV047588733 |
| edition | First edition |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02931nam a2200337 c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV047588733</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20220104 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">211115s2022 |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780367538910</subfield><subfield code="c">pbk</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-367-53891-0</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780367538934</subfield><subfield code="c">hbk</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-367-53893-4</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="024" ind1="3" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780367538910</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)1291615849</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV047588733</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-29T</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Vaughan Williams, Leighton</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)124933270</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Probability, choice, and reason</subfield><subfield code="c">Leighton Vaughan Williams</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="250" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">First edition</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Boca Raton ; London ; New York</subfield><subfield code="b">CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group</subfield><subfield code="c">2022</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">xvii, 292 Seiten</subfield><subfield code="c">572 grams</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1. Probability, Evidence, and Reason ; 2. Probability Paradoxes; 3. Probability and Choice; 4. Probability, Games, and Gambling; 5. Probability, Truth, and Reason; 6. Anomalies of Choice and Reason; 7. Game Theory, Probability, and Practice; 8. Further Ideas and Exercises; Solutions to Exercises</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world.Features:An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinkingMany classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzlesAn exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain worldThe application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicineExercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe furtherSolutions to exercises at the end of the bookThis book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">bisacsh / MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Online-Ausgabe</subfield><subfield code="z">978-1-003-08361-0</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032973947</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV047588733 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T18:35:26Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:15:39Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780367538910 9780367538934 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032973947 |
| oclc_num | 1291615849 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-29T |
| owner_facet | DE-29T |
| physical | xvii, 292 Seiten 572 grams |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateSearch | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Vaughan Williams, Leighton Verfasser (DE-588)124933270 aut Probability, choice, and reason Leighton Vaughan Williams First edition Boca Raton ; London ; New York CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group 2022 xvii, 292 Seiten 572 grams txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier 1. Probability, Evidence, and Reason ; 2. Probability Paradoxes; 3. Probability and Choice; 4. Probability, Games, and Gambling; 5. Probability, Truth, and Reason; 6. Anomalies of Choice and Reason; 7. Game Theory, Probability, and Practice; 8. Further Ideas and Exercises; Solutions to Exercises Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world.Features:An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinkingMany classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzlesAn exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain worldThe application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicineExercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe furtherSolutions to exercises at the end of the bookThis book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book bisacsh / MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-1-003-08361-0 |
| spellingShingle | Vaughan Williams, Leighton Probability, choice, and reason bisacsh / MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis |
| title | Probability, choice, and reason |
| title_auth | Probability, choice, and reason |
| title_exact_search | Probability, choice, and reason |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Probability, choice, and reason |
| title_full | Probability, choice, and reason Leighton Vaughan Williams |
| title_fullStr | Probability, choice, and reason Leighton Vaughan Williams |
| title_full_unstemmed | Probability, choice, and reason Leighton Vaughan Williams |
| title_short | Probability, choice, and reason |
| title_sort | probability choice and reason |
| topic | bisacsh / MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis |
| topic_facet | bisacsh / MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT vaughanwilliamsleighton probabilitychoiceandreason |