The power of polls?: a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls
Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated ele...
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Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge
Cambridge University Press
2021
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Online-Zugang: | BSB01 UBG01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections |
Beschreibung: | Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 27 Sep 2021) |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (77 Seiten) |
ISBN: | 9781108877428 |
DOI: | 10.1017/9781108877428 |
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520 | |a Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections | ||
650 | 4 | |a Public opinion polls / Political aspects / Cross-cultural studies | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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author | Roy, Jason 1974- Singh, Shane P. ca. 20./21. Jh Fournier, Patrick ca. 20./21. Jh |
author_GND | (DE-588)1220742376 (DE-588)1244947571 (DE-588)1026498899 |
author_facet | Roy, Jason 1974- Singh, Shane P. ca. 20./21. Jh Fournier, Patrick ca. 20./21. Jh |
author_role | aut aut aut |
author_sort | Roy, Jason 1974- |
author_variant | j r jr s p s sp sps p f pf |
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dewey-full | 303.38 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 303 - Social processes |
dewey-raw | 303.38 |
dewey-search | 303.38 |
dewey-sort | 3303.38 |
dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
discipline | Soziologie Politologie |
discipline_str_mv | Soziologie Politologie |
doi_str_mv | 10.1017/9781108877428 |
format | Electronic eBook |
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spelling | Roy, Jason 1974- (DE-588)1220742376 aut The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls Jason Roy, Shane P. Singh, Patrick Fournier Cambridge Cambridge University Press 2021 1 Online-Ressource (77 Seiten) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 27 Sep 2021) Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections Public opinion polls / Political aspects / Cross-cultural studies Election monitoring Election forecasting Singh, Shane P. ca. 20./21. Jh. (DE-588)1244947571 aut Fournier, Patrick ca. 20./21. Jh. Verfasser (DE-588)1026498899 aut Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 978-1-108-79246-2 https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108877428 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Roy, Jason 1974- Singh, Shane P. ca. 20./21. Jh Fournier, Patrick ca. 20./21. Jh The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls Public opinion polls / Political aspects / Cross-cultural studies Election monitoring Election forecasting |
title | The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls |
title_auth | The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls |
title_exact_search | The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls |
title_exact_search_txtP | The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls |
title_full | The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls Jason Roy, Shane P. Singh, Patrick Fournier |
title_fullStr | The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls Jason Roy, Shane P. Singh, Patrick Fournier |
title_full_unstemmed | The power of polls? a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls Jason Roy, Shane P. Singh, Patrick Fournier |
title_short | The power of polls? |
title_sort | the power of polls a cross national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls |
title_sub | a cross-national experimental analysis of the effects of campaign polls |
topic | Public opinion polls / Political aspects / Cross-cultural studies Election monitoring Election forecasting |
topic_facet | Public opinion polls / Political aspects / Cross-cultural studies Election monitoring Election forecasting |
url | https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108877428 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT royjason thepowerofpollsacrossnationalexperimentalanalysisoftheeffectsofcampaignpolls AT singhshanep thepowerofpollsacrossnationalexperimentalanalysisoftheeffectsofcampaignpolls AT fournierpatrick thepowerofpollsacrossnationalexperimentalanalysisoftheeffectsofcampaignpolls |