Russian grand strategy: rhetoric and reality
The study of a state's grand strategy can provide key insights into the direction of its foreign policy and its responses to national security challenges. Understanding Russia's grand strategy therefore can help U.S. decisionmakers both avoid strategic surprise by anticipating Moscow'...
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RAND
2021
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Online-Zugang: | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR-A4238 Inhaltsverzeichnis Literaturverzeichnis |
Zusammenfassung: | The study of a state's grand strategy can provide key insights into the direction of its foreign policy and its responses to national security challenges. Understanding Russia's grand strategy therefore can help U.S. decisionmakers both avoid strategic surprise by anticipating Moscow's actions and reactions and assess the depth and nature of potential conflicts between Russia and the United States. Because grand strategy is more than a collection of proclaimed foreign policy goals, a country's grand strategy must be understood through both a study of key documents and statements and a close empirical analysis of patterns of behavior. The authors of this report thus both describe Russia's declared grand strategy and test key elements of it against the actions of the Russian state. The authors performed an exhaustive review of official Russian strategy documents and statements from its leaders and policymakers and conducted interviews in Moscow. Using the information gathered, the authors outlined the broad contours of Russian grand strategy. They then chose six key elements of Russia's stated grand strategy for closer examination: the linkage between internal and external threats, the nature of Russia's role in its immediate neighborhood, concepts about the future of warfare, expeditionary requirements for Russia's military, Moscow's objectives vis-à-vis the West, and Russia's declared prioritization of engagement with non-Western powers. The authors tested each of these elements against empirical evidence about corresponding behaviors of the state. From this analysis, they suggest implications and considerations for U.S. policymakers, both in the U.S. Army and in the broader national security decisionmaking sphere |
Beschreibung: | Title from PDF document (viewed July 30, 2021) "Prepared for the United States Army. "RAND Arroyo Center. |
Beschreibung: | xxiv, 219 Seiten Diagramme |
ISBN: | 9781977404329 |
DOI: | 10.7249/RR-A4238 |
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505 | 8 | |a Introduction -- A Framework for Analysis of Russia's Grand Strategy -- Russia's Stated Grand Strategy -- Strategy Element: Integrated Threats Require an Integrated Response -- Strategy Element: Russia as Regional Leader -- Strategy Element: Focus on Non-Contact Warfare -- Strategy Element: Limited Expeditionary Ambitions -- Strategy Element: Selective Cooperation and Selective Pushback with the West -- Strategy Element: Rebalance Away from the West -- Conclusions and Implications -- Appendix A: National Security, Defense, and Federal Budget Trends -- Appendix B: Data on State-Directed Political and Economic Engagement | |
520 | 3 | |a The study of a state's grand strategy can provide key insights into the direction of its foreign policy and its responses to national security challenges. Understanding Russia's grand strategy therefore can help U.S. decisionmakers both avoid strategic surprise by anticipating Moscow's actions and reactions and assess the depth and nature of potential conflicts between Russia and the United States. Because grand strategy is more than a collection of proclaimed foreign policy goals, a country's grand strategy must be understood through both a study of key documents and statements and a close empirical analysis of patterns of behavior. The authors of this report thus both describe Russia's declared grand strategy and test key elements of it against the actions of the Russian state. The authors performed an exhaustive review of official Russian strategy documents and statements from its leaders and policymakers and conducted interviews in Moscow. Using the information gathered, the authors outlined the broad contours of Russian grand strategy. They then chose six key elements of Russia's stated grand strategy for closer examination: the linkage between internal and external threats, the nature of Russia's role in its immediate neighborhood, concepts about the future of warfare, expeditionary requirements for Russia's military, Moscow's objectives vis-à-vis the West, and Russia's declared prioritization of engagement with non-Western powers. The authors tested each of these elements against empirical evidence about corresponding behaviors of the state. From this analysis, they suggest implications and considerations for U.S. policymakers, both in the U.S. Army and in the broader national security decisionmaking sphere | |
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adam_text | Contents Preface.................................................................. iii Figures......................................................................................................... ix Tables.......................................................................................................... xi Summary.................................................................................................... xiii Acknowledgments......................................................................................xxi Abbreviations.......................................................................................... xxiii CHAPTER ONE Introduction................................................................................................. 1 CHAPTER TWO A Framework for Analysis of Russia’s Grand Strategy............................. 5 The Value of Understanding Another State’s Grand Strategy...................... 7 Challenges in Identifying a State’s Grand Strategy.......................................9 Analytical Framework ..................................................................................11 Methodology and Sources............................................................................ 13 CHAPTER THREE Russia’s Stated Grand Strategy...................................................................17 Beliefs About the International System.........................................................18 Interests.......................................................................................................... 21 Threats and
Opportunities........................................................................ 24 Logic and Tools............................................................................................. 29 Selecting Key Elements................................................................................. 32
vi Russian Grand Strategy: Rhetoric and Reality CHAPTER FOUR Strategy Element: Integrated Threats Require an Integrated Response...............................................................................................33 Stated Strategy...............................................................................................33 Evaluation Method...................................................................................... 35 Evaluation.................................................................................................... 38 Conclusions...................................................................................................45 CHAPTER FIVE Strategy Elements Russia as Regional Leader............. 47 Stated Strategy...............................................................................................47 Evaluation Method.................................................................................... 48 Regional Integration Outcomes That Russia Accepts or Rejects................53 Russia’s Military Approach to the Region................................................... 71 Conclusions...................................................................................................78 CHAPTER SIX Strategy Element: Focus on Non-Contact Warfare...............................81 Stated Strategy..............................................................................................81 Evaluation Method.......................................................................................83 Posture Revisions Initially Consistent
with Stated Strategy Until 2014... 86 Evolution of Military Thinking Since 2014.............................................. 92 Posture, Procurement Decisions Increasingly Inconsistent with Stated Strategy Since 2014.............................................................................. 94 Conclusions................................................................................................ 103 CHAPTERSEVEN Strategy Element: Limited Expeditionary Ambitions........................ Stated Strategy............................................................................................ Evaluation Method................................................................................... Readiness.................................................................................................... Mobility .................................................................................................... Sustainability ............................................................................................ Conclusions................................................................................................ 105 105 106 Ill 116 125 128
CHAPTER EIGHT Strategy Element: Selective Cooperation and Selective Pushback with the West.............................................................................................. 131 Stated Strategy.......................................................................................... 131 Evaluation Method................................................................................... 135 Russia’s Cooperation with the West......................................................... 137 Russia’s Interference in the West.............................................................. 144 Conclusions............................................................................................... 152 CHAPTER NINE Strategy Element: Rebalance Away from the West ............................ Stated Strategy........................................................................................... Evaluation Method................................................................................... Government-to-Government Engagement............................................... Economic Engagement.............................................................................. Conclusions................................................................................................ 153 153 154 157 159 165 CHAPTER TEN Conclusions and Implications................................................................ Summary of Findings............................................................................... Overarching
Implications.......................................................................... Considerations for U.S. Army Planners................................................... 167 167 170 172 APPENDIXES A. National Security, Defense, and Federal Budget Trends.............. 175 B. Data on State-Directed Political and Economic Engagement..... 191 References ................................................................................................ 197 vii
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Contents Preface. iii Figures. ix Tables. xi Summary. xiii Acknowledgments.xxi Abbreviations. xxiii CHAPTER ONE Introduction. 1 CHAPTER TWO A Framework for Analysis of Russia’s Grand Strategy. 5 The Value of Understanding Another State’s Grand Strategy. 7 Challenges in Identifying a State’s Grand Strategy.9 Analytical Framework .11 Methodology and Sources. 13 CHAPTER THREE Russia’s Stated Grand Strategy.17 Beliefs About the International System.18 Interests. 21 Threats and
Opportunities. 24 Logic and Tools. 29 Selecting Key Elements. 32
vi Russian Grand Strategy: Rhetoric and Reality CHAPTER FOUR Strategy Element: Integrated Threats Require an Integrated Response.33 Stated Strategy.33 Evaluation Method. 35 Evaluation. 38 Conclusions.45 CHAPTER FIVE Strategy Elements Russia as Regional Leader. 47 Stated Strategy.47 Evaluation Method. 48 Regional Integration Outcomes That Russia Accepts or Rejects.53 Russia’s Military Approach to the Region. 71 Conclusions.78 CHAPTER SIX Strategy Element: Focus on Non-Contact Warfare.81 Stated Strategy.81 Evaluation Method.83 Posture Revisions Initially Consistent
with Stated Strategy Until 2014. 86 Evolution of Military Thinking Since 2014. 92 Posture, Procurement Decisions Increasingly Inconsistent with Stated Strategy Since 2014. 94 Conclusions. 103 CHAPTERSEVEN Strategy Element: Limited Expeditionary Ambitions. Stated Strategy. Evaluation Method. Readiness. Mobility . Sustainability . Conclusions. 105 105 106 Ill 116 125 128
CHAPTER EIGHT Strategy Element: Selective Cooperation and Selective Pushback with the West. 131 Stated Strategy. 131 Evaluation Method. 135 Russia’s Cooperation with the West. 137 Russia’s Interference in the West. 144 Conclusions. 152 CHAPTER NINE Strategy Element: Rebalance Away from the West . Stated Strategy. Evaluation Method. Government-to-Government Engagement. Economic Engagement. Conclusions. 153 153 154 157 159 165 CHAPTER TEN Conclusions and Implications. Summary of Findings. Overarching
Implications. Considerations for U.S. Army Planners. 167 167 170 172 APPENDIXES A. National Security, Defense, and Federal Budget Trends. 175 B. Data on State-Directed Political and Economic Engagement. 191 References . 197 vii
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author | Charap, Samuel 1980- Massicot, Dara Priebe, Miranda Demus, Alyssa Reach, Clinton Bruce Stalczynski, Mark Han, Eugeniu Davis, Lynn E. 1943- |
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author_facet | Charap, Samuel 1980- Massicot, Dara Priebe, Miranda Demus, Alyssa Reach, Clinton Bruce Stalczynski, Mark Han, Eugeniu Davis, Lynn E. 1943- |
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building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV047481864 |
contents | Introduction -- A Framework for Analysis of Russia's Grand Strategy -- Russia's Stated Grand Strategy -- Strategy Element: Integrated Threats Require an Integrated Response -- Strategy Element: Russia as Regional Leader -- Strategy Element: Focus on Non-Contact Warfare -- Strategy Element: Limited Expeditionary Ambitions -- Strategy Element: Selective Cooperation and Selective Pushback with the West -- Strategy Element: Rebalance Away from the West -- Conclusions and Implications -- Appendix A: National Security, Defense, and Federal Budget Trends -- Appendix B: Data on State-Directed Political and Economic Engagement |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1286875339 (DE-599)BVBBV047481864 |
doi_str_mv | 10.7249/RR-A4238 |
format | Electronic Book |
fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>05799nam a2200781 c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV047481864</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20211213 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">210923s2021 |||| b||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9781977404329</subfield><subfield code="c">(pbk.)</subfield><subfield code="9">978-1-977404-32-9</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.7249/RR-A4238</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)1286875339</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV047481864</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-12</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">OST</subfield><subfield code="q">DE-12</subfield><subfield code="2">fid</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Charap, Samuel</subfield><subfield code="d">1980-</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)1140057758</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Russian grand strategy</subfield><subfield code="b">rhetoric and reality</subfield><subfield code="c">Samuel Charap, Dara Massicot, Miranda Priebe, Alyssa Demus, Clint Reach, Mark Stalczynski, Eugeniu Han, Lynn E. Davis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Santa Monica, CA</subfield><subfield code="b">RAND</subfield><subfield code="c">2021</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">xxiv, 219 Seiten</subfield><subfield code="b">Diagramme</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Title from PDF document (viewed July 30, 2021)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"Prepared for the United States Army.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"RAND Arroyo Center.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Introduction -- A Framework for Analysis of Russia's Grand Strategy -- Russia's Stated Grand Strategy -- Strategy Element: Integrated Threats Require an Integrated Response -- Strategy Element: Russia as Regional Leader -- Strategy Element: Focus on Non-Contact Warfare -- Strategy Element: Limited Expeditionary Ambitions -- Strategy Element: Selective Cooperation and Selective Pushback with the West -- Strategy Element: Rebalance Away from the West -- Conclusions and Implications -- Appendix A: National Security, Defense, and Federal Budget Trends -- Appendix B: Data on State-Directed Political and Economic Engagement</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1="3" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">The study of a state's grand strategy can provide key insights into the direction of its foreign policy and its responses to national security challenges. 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geographic | Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd |
geographic_facet | Russland |
id | DE-604.BV047481864 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
index_date | 2024-07-03T18:12:51Z |
indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:13:19Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 9781977404329 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032883341 |
oclc_num | 1286875339 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-12 |
owner_facet | DE-12 |
physical | xxiv, 219 Seiten Diagramme |
psigel | BSB_NED_20211213 |
publishDate | 2021 |
publishDateSearch | 2021 |
publishDateSort | 2021 |
publisher | RAND |
record_format | marc |
spelling | Charap, Samuel 1980- Verfasser (DE-588)1140057758 aut Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality Samuel Charap, Dara Massicot, Miranda Priebe, Alyssa Demus, Clint Reach, Mark Stalczynski, Eugeniu Han, Lynn E. Davis Santa Monica, CA RAND 2021 xxiv, 219 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia c rdamedia nc rdacarrier cr rdacarrier Title from PDF document (viewed July 30, 2021) "Prepared for the United States Army. "RAND Arroyo Center. Introduction -- A Framework for Analysis of Russia's Grand Strategy -- Russia's Stated Grand Strategy -- Strategy Element: Integrated Threats Require an Integrated Response -- Strategy Element: Russia as Regional Leader -- Strategy Element: Focus on Non-Contact Warfare -- Strategy Element: Limited Expeditionary Ambitions -- Strategy Element: Selective Cooperation and Selective Pushback with the West -- Strategy Element: Rebalance Away from the West -- Conclusions and Implications -- Appendix A: National Security, Defense, and Federal Budget Trends -- Appendix B: Data on State-Directed Political and Economic Engagement The study of a state's grand strategy can provide key insights into the direction of its foreign policy and its responses to national security challenges. Understanding Russia's grand strategy therefore can help U.S. decisionmakers both avoid strategic surprise by anticipating Moscow's actions and reactions and assess the depth and nature of potential conflicts between Russia and the United States. Because grand strategy is more than a collection of proclaimed foreign policy goals, a country's grand strategy must be understood through both a study of key documents and statements and a close empirical analysis of patterns of behavior. The authors of this report thus both describe Russia's declared grand strategy and test key elements of it against the actions of the Russian state. The authors performed an exhaustive review of official Russian strategy documents and statements from its leaders and policymakers and conducted interviews in Moscow. Using the information gathered, the authors outlined the broad contours of Russian grand strategy. They then chose six key elements of Russia's stated grand strategy for closer examination: the linkage between internal and external threats, the nature of Russia's role in its immediate neighborhood, concepts about the future of warfare, expeditionary requirements for Russia's military, Moscow's objectives vis-à-vis the West, and Russia's declared prioritization of engagement with non-Western powers. The authors tested each of these elements against empirical evidence about corresponding behaviors of the state. From this analysis, they suggest implications and considerations for U.S. policymakers, both in the U.S. Army and in the broader national security decisionmaking sphere Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd rswk-swf Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 gnd rswk-swf Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd rswk-swf Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd rswk-swf Geopolitics / Russia (Federation) Russia (Federation) / Foreign relations / Forecasting Russia (Federation) / Foreign relations / History Russia (Federation) / Politics and government / 21st century Diplomatic relations Geopolitics Politics and government Russia (Federation) 2000-2099 History Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 g Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 s Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 s Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 s Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 s DE-604 Massicot, Dara Verfasser (DE-588)1139899600 aut Priebe, Miranda Verfasser (DE-588)1152015044 aut Demus, Alyssa Verfasser (DE-588)1162562900 aut Reach, Clinton Bruce Verfasser (DE-588)1139393480 aut Stalczynski, Mark Verfasser aut Han, Eugeniu Verfasser (DE-588)1193276977 aut Davis, Lynn E. 1943- Verfasser (DE-588)138092613 aut https://doi.org/10.7249/RR-A4238 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032883341&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032883341&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Literaturverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Charap, Samuel 1980- Massicot, Dara Priebe, Miranda Demus, Alyssa Reach, Clinton Bruce Stalczynski, Mark Han, Eugeniu Davis, Lynn E. 1943- Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality Introduction -- A Framework for Analysis of Russia's Grand Strategy -- Russia's Stated Grand Strategy -- Strategy Element: Integrated Threats Require an Integrated Response -- Strategy Element: Russia as Regional Leader -- Strategy Element: Focus on Non-Contact Warfare -- Strategy Element: Limited Expeditionary Ambitions -- Strategy Element: Selective Cooperation and Selective Pushback with the West -- Strategy Element: Rebalance Away from the West -- Conclusions and Implications -- Appendix A: National Security, Defense, and Federal Budget Trends -- Appendix B: Data on State-Directed Political and Economic Engagement Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4003846-4 (DE-588)4156741-9 (DE-588)4116489-1 (DE-588)4057952-9 (DE-588)4076899-5 |
title | Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality |
title_auth | Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality |
title_exact_search | Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality |
title_exact_search_txtP | Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality |
title_full | Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality Samuel Charap, Dara Massicot, Miranda Priebe, Alyssa Demus, Clint Reach, Mark Stalczynski, Eugeniu Han, Lynn E. Davis |
title_fullStr | Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality Samuel Charap, Dara Massicot, Miranda Priebe, Alyssa Demus, Clint Reach, Mark Stalczynski, Eugeniu Han, Lynn E. Davis |
title_full_unstemmed | Russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality Samuel Charap, Dara Massicot, Miranda Priebe, Alyssa Demus, Clint Reach, Mark Stalczynski, Eugeniu Han, Lynn E. Davis |
title_short | Russian grand strategy |
title_sort | russian grand strategy rhetoric and reality |
title_sub | rhetoric and reality |
topic | Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd Geopolitik (DE-588)4156741-9 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd Strategie (DE-588)4057952-9 gnd |
topic_facet | Außenpolitik Geopolitik Sicherheitspolitik Strategie Russland |
url | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR-A4238 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032883341&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032883341&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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