Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
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Berlin
[2021?]
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| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | xiii, 266 Seiten Diagramme |
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| adam_text | Table of Contents 1. Introduction....................................................................................................................... 1 1.1. Context: Divide-and-Rule.......................................................................................1 1.2. Dilemma: Autocrats Surviving Uprisings.............................................................. 4 1.3. Gaps, Research Question and Argument...............................................................7 1.4. Outline of Dissertation..........................................................................................10 2. Explaining the Survival of Arab Autocrats: A Review of the Literature..............14 2.1. The Comparative Study ofAuthoritarianism.........................................................15 2.1.1. Three Waves of Autocracy Studies...............................................................15 2.1.2. The Rise of Authoritarian Institutions......................................................... 16 2.1.3. From Authoritarian Institutions to Regime Survival...................................17 2.2. Structural and Cultural Explanations: Rents and Religion.....................................19 2.2.1. Hydrocarbon Rents: Buying Acquiescence and Funding Repression......... 20 2.2.2. Religious and Cultural Exceptionalism......................................................... 25 2.3. Institutional Explanations: The Institutional Dimensions ofArab Autocracy.........30 2.3.1. Regime Type: Monarchies vs. Republics.......................................................30 2.3.2. Ruling
Parties: Maintaining Elite Cohesion and Co-opting the Opposition . 32 2.3.3. Elections and Parliaments: Competing Over Patronage and Avenues for CoOptation.......................................................................................................... 34 2.4. Actor-Centered Explanations: Regime-Opposition Dynamics...................................38 2.4.1. The Essence of Divide-and-Rule in the Arab World.....................................38 2.4.2. Protection Racket Politics: Pitting Secularists against Islamists.................. 40 2.4.3. Inclusion of Islamists: Taming Behavior and Ideology............................... 42 2.5. Arab Autocracy Post-2011: A Literature Reboot.....................................................45 3. Regime-Opposition Triad: Theoretical Model and Research Design...................48. 3.1. Regimes and Oppositions in the Arab World.......................................................... 48 3.1.1. Ideology, Cleavages and Religion........................................ 52 3.1.2. The Secularist-Islamist Cleavage in the Arab World.....................................55 3.1.3. Different Shades of Islamists and Secularists...............................................59 3.2. Regime-Opposition Triad: A Theoretical Model......................................................62 3.2.1. Theorizing Divide-and-Rule........................................................................... 63 3.2.2. The Inclusion-Exclusion Dyad...................................................................... 64 3.2.3. The Regime-Opposition
Dyad........................................................................67 3.2.4. The Opposition-Opposition Dyad.................................................................. 67 3.2.5. Theoretical Assumptions and the Outcome.................................................. 68 3.3. Operationalizing and Measuring Regime-Opposition Dynamics............................. 69 3.3.1. Coding Schemes of the Datasets.................................................................... 69 3.3.2. Cases and Time Period..................................................................................73 viii
3.3.3. Multi-Method Analysis: Explanatory Typology and Case Study..................75 4. Regime-Opposition Dynamics in the Arab World: Evidence from New Datasets....................................................................................................................80 4.1. Descriptive Analysis................................................................................................80 4.1.1. Opposition Power Relations in the Arab World...........................................80 4.1.2. Support and Opposition to Arab Authoritarian Regimes.............................. 84 4.1.3. Patterns of Cross-Ideological Cooperation in the Arab World.................... 88 4.2. Explanatory Empirical Analysis..............................................................................89 4.2.1. Explanatory Typology 1: Inclusion-Exclusion Equilibrium between Secularists and Islamists and Regime Survival..............................................91 4.2.2. Explanatory Typology 2: Inclusion-Exclusion Equilibrium, Secular-Islamist Support and Regime Survival.........................................................................91 4.2.3. Explanatory Typology 3: Inclusion-Exclusion Equilibrium, Cross-Ideological Cooperation and Regime Survival.................................................................. 93 4.2.4. Explanatory Typology 4: Secular-Islamist Support and Regime Survival.... 94 4.2.5. Explanatory Typology 5: Cross-Ideological Cooperation and Regime
Survival............................................................................................................96 4.3. Policy Concessions: The Mechanism ofDivide-and-Rule in the Arab World............. 97 4.3.1. First Causal Pathway: Policy Concessions and Regime Survival...............100 4.3.2. Second Causal Pathway: Non-Policy Concessions and Regime Breakdown.....................................................................................................104 4.4. Conclusion............................................................................................................ 107 5. Policy Concessions, Windows of Opportunity and Authoritarian Survival: Morocco as a Case Study.......................................................................................109 5.1. Introduction.........................................................................................................109 5.2. Morocco: The Trajectory of Regime-Opposition Dynamics..................................... 110 5.2.1. The Rise of the Secular Opposition in Morocco (1956-1970)..................... Ill 5.2.2. The Rise of the Islamist Opposition in Morocco (1970-1990).................... 114 5.2.3. Institutionalizing Regime-Opposition Dynamics (1991-2010)................... 117 5.3. Morocco’s Context: Regime Legitimacy and the Secular-Islamist Cleavage........... 122 5.3.1. Regime Legitimacy: The Duality of Tradition and Religion in Morocco ... 122 5.3.2. The Secular-Islamist Cleavage in Morocco..................................................125 5.4. Policy Concessions before the Arab
Uprisings: The Family Code Reform................128 5.4.1. Critical Antecedents: Political Liberalization and the Royal Commission. 130 5.4.2. An Open Window: The 2003 Terrorist Attacks...........................................132 5.4.3. The Family Code Reform as a Catalyst.........................................................133 5.4.4. Outcomes: Regime Support and Non-Cross-Ideological Cooperation.......134 5.4.5. Consequence: An Arbiter King..................................................................... 135 5.5. Policy Concessions after the Arab Uprísings: The 2011 Constitutional Amendments137 5.5.1. Critical Antecedent and an Open Window: The 2011 Protests in Morocco 137 ix
5.5.2. Constitutional Reforms as a Catalyst......................................................... 138 5.5.3. Outcomes: Dividing Secularists and Islamists...........................................142 5.5.4 Consequence: Authoritarian Regime Survival in Morocco.........................144 5.6. Conclusion............................................................................................................ 145 6. Missed Windows of Opportunity and Authoritarian Breakdown: Egypt as a Case Study.................................................................................................................................147 6.1. Introduction........................................................................................................147 6.2. Egypt: The Trajectory of Regime-Opposition Dynamics........................................ 149 6.2.1. The Rise of Islamists in Egypt.....................................................................149 6.2.2. Fragmented Secularists in Egypt................................................................ 158 6.3. Egypt’s Context: Repressive Capacity and the Secular-Islamist Cleavage...............160 6.3.1. Repression in Egypt: Always in the Background....................................... 160 6.3.2. The Secular-Islamist Cleavage in Egypt...................................................... 162 6.4. A Missed Window of Opportunity: Integrating the Muslim Brotherhood...............163 6.4.1. Critical Antecedent: The Political Succession Question..............................164 6.4.2. A Window of Opportunity: A Political
Party for the Muslim Brotherhood 165 6.4.3. A Missing Catalyst: Repression Not Concession.......................................... 166 6.4.4. Outcomes: Secular-Islamist Opposition and Cross-Ideological Cooperation.................................................................................................. 170 6.5. Another Missed Window of Opportunity: The January 25 Revolution................... 173 6.5.1. Critical Antecedents: The 2010 Parliamentary Elections and the Fall of Tunisia’s Regime........................................................................................... 173 6.5.2. A Window of Opportunity: The January 25 Revolution............................. 175 6.5.3. A Missing Catalyst: Repression and Mild Concessions................................177 6.5.4. Outcomes: Cross-Ideological Cooperation and the Fall of Mubarak...........180 6.6. Beyond Authoritarian Breakdown: Secularists and Islamists Face-to-Face.............180 6.7. Conclusion............................................................................................................ 182 7. Conclusion...................................................................................................... 184 7.1 Summary of Dissertation.....................................................................................184 7.2. Why Not Repression? Examining a Competitive Explanation.......................... 187 7.3. Agency and Democracy: The Tunisian Exception............................................. 189 7.4. Whither Democracy? Agency, Institutions and the Failure of Transition in Libya
and Yemen.........................................................................................................192 7.5. Generalization, Limitations and Future Research............................................. 198 Appendix....................................................................................................................... 202 References..................................................................................................................... 228 x
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| adam_txt |
Table of Contents 1. Introduction. 1 1.1. Context: Divide-and-Rule.1 1.2. Dilemma: Autocrats Surviving Uprisings. 4 1.3. Gaps, Research Question and Argument.7 1.4. Outline of Dissertation.10 2. Explaining the Survival of Arab Autocrats: A Review of the Literature.14 2.1. The Comparative Study ofAuthoritarianism.15 2.1.1. Three Waves of Autocracy Studies.15 2.1.2. The Rise of Authoritarian Institutions. 16 2.1.3. From Authoritarian Institutions to Regime Survival.17 2.2. Structural and Cultural Explanations: Rents and Religion.19 2.2.1. Hydrocarbon Rents: Buying Acquiescence and Funding Repression. 20 2.2.2. Religious and Cultural Exceptionalism. 25 2.3. Institutional Explanations: The Institutional Dimensions ofArab Autocracy.30 2.3.1. Regime Type: Monarchies vs. Republics.30 2.3.2. Ruling
Parties: Maintaining Elite Cohesion and Co-opting the Opposition . 32 2.3.3. Elections and Parliaments: Competing Over Patronage and Avenues for CoOptation. 34 2.4. Actor-Centered Explanations: Regime-Opposition Dynamics.38 2.4.1. The Essence of Divide-and-Rule in the Arab World.38 2.4.2. Protection Racket Politics: Pitting Secularists against Islamists. 40 2.4.3. Inclusion of Islamists: Taming Behavior and Ideology. 42 2.5. Arab Autocracy Post-2011: A Literature Reboot.45 3. Regime-Opposition Triad: Theoretical Model and Research Design.48. 3.1. Regimes and Oppositions in the Arab World. 48 3.1.1. Ideology, Cleavages and Religion. 52 3.1.2. The Secularist-Islamist Cleavage in the Arab World.55 3.1.3. Different Shades of Islamists and Secularists.59 3.2. Regime-Opposition Triad: A Theoretical Model.62 3.2.1. Theorizing Divide-and-Rule. 63 3.2.2. The Inclusion-Exclusion Dyad. 64 3.2.3. The Regime-Opposition
Dyad.67 3.2.4. The Opposition-Opposition Dyad. 67 3.2.5. Theoretical Assumptions and the Outcome. 68 3.3. Operationalizing and Measuring Regime-Opposition Dynamics. 69 3.3.1. Coding Schemes of the Datasets. 69 3.3.2. Cases and Time Period.73 viii
3.3.3. Multi-Method Analysis: Explanatory Typology and Case Study.75 4. Regime-Opposition Dynamics in the Arab World: Evidence from New Datasets.80 4.1. Descriptive Analysis.80 4.1.1. Opposition Power Relations in the Arab World.80 4.1.2. Support and Opposition to Arab Authoritarian Regimes. 84 4.1.3. Patterns of Cross-Ideological Cooperation in the Arab World. 88 4.2. Explanatory Empirical Analysis.89 4.2.1. Explanatory Typology 1: Inclusion-Exclusion Equilibrium between Secularists and Islamists and Regime Survival.91 4.2.2. Explanatory Typology 2: Inclusion-Exclusion Equilibrium, Secular-Islamist Support and Regime Survival.91 4.2.3. Explanatory Typology 3: Inclusion-Exclusion Equilibrium, Cross-Ideological Cooperation and Regime Survival. 93 4.2.4. Explanatory Typology 4: Secular-Islamist Support and Regime Survival. 94 4.2.5. Explanatory Typology 5: Cross-Ideological Cooperation and Regime
Survival.96 4.3. Policy Concessions: The Mechanism ofDivide-and-Rule in the Arab World. 97 4.3.1. First Causal Pathway: Policy Concessions and Regime Survival.100 4.3.2. Second Causal Pathway: Non-Policy Concessions and Regime Breakdown.104 4.4. Conclusion. 107 5. Policy Concessions, Windows of Opportunity and Authoritarian Survival: Morocco as a Case Study.109 5.1. Introduction.109 5.2. Morocco: The Trajectory of Regime-Opposition Dynamics. 110 5.2.1. The Rise of the Secular Opposition in Morocco (1956-1970). Ill 5.2.2. The Rise of the Islamist Opposition in Morocco (1970-1990). 114 5.2.3. Institutionalizing Regime-Opposition Dynamics (1991-2010). 117 5.3. Morocco’s Context: Regime Legitimacy and the Secular-Islamist Cleavage. 122 5.3.1. Regime Legitimacy: The Duality of Tradition and Religion in Morocco . 122 5.3.2. The Secular-Islamist Cleavage in Morocco.125 5.4. Policy Concessions before the Arab
Uprisings: The Family Code Reform.128 5.4.1. Critical Antecedents: Political Liberalization and the Royal Commission. 130 5.4.2. An Open Window: The 2003 Terrorist Attacks.132 5.4.3. The Family Code Reform as a Catalyst.133 5.4.4. Outcomes: Regime Support and Non-Cross-Ideological Cooperation.134 5.4.5. Consequence: An Arbiter King. 135 5.5. Policy Concessions after the Arab Uprísings: The 2011 Constitutional Amendments137 5.5.1. Critical Antecedent and an Open Window: The 2011 Protests in Morocco 137 ix
5.5.2. Constitutional Reforms as a Catalyst. 138 5.5.3. Outcomes: Dividing Secularists and Islamists.142 5.5.4 Consequence: Authoritarian Regime Survival in Morocco.144 5.6. Conclusion. 145 6. Missed Windows of Opportunity and Authoritarian Breakdown: Egypt as a Case Study.147 6.1. Introduction.147 6.2. Egypt: The Trajectory of Regime-Opposition Dynamics. 149 6.2.1. The Rise of Islamists in Egypt.149 6.2.2. Fragmented Secularists in Egypt. 158 6.3. Egypt’s Context: Repressive Capacity and the Secular-Islamist Cleavage.160 6.3.1. Repression in Egypt: Always in the Background. 160 6.3.2. The Secular-Islamist Cleavage in Egypt. 162 6.4. A Missed Window of Opportunity: Integrating the Muslim Brotherhood.163 6.4.1. Critical Antecedent: The Political Succession Question.164 6.4.2. A Window of Opportunity: A Political
Party for the Muslim Brotherhood 165 6.4.3. A Missing Catalyst: Repression Not Concession. 166 6.4.4. Outcomes: Secular-Islamist Opposition and Cross-Ideological Cooperation. 170 6.5. Another Missed Window of Opportunity: The January 25 Revolution. 173 6.5.1. Critical Antecedents: The 2010 Parliamentary Elections and the Fall of Tunisia’s Regime. 173 6.5.2. A Window of Opportunity: The January 25 Revolution. 175 6.5.3. A Missing Catalyst: Repression and Mild Concessions.177 6.5.4. Outcomes: Cross-Ideological Cooperation and the Fall of Mubarak.180 6.6. Beyond Authoritarian Breakdown: Secularists and Islamists Face-to-Face.180 6.7. Conclusion. 182 7. Conclusion. 184 7.1 Summary of Dissertation.184 7.2. Why Not Repression? Examining a Competitive Explanation. 187 7.3. Agency and Democracy: The Tunisian Exception. 189 7.4. Whither Democracy? Agency, Institutions and the Failure of Transition in Libya
and Yemen.192 7.5. Generalization, Limitations and Future Research. 198 Appendix. 202 References. 228 x |
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| spelling | Farag, Mahmoud Verfasser (DE-588)124169849X aut Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world Mahmoud Farag Berlin [2021?] xiii, 266 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Dissertation Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin 2021 Opposition (DE-588)4043649-4 gnd rswk-swf Autoritärer Staat (DE-588)4256521-2 gnd rswk-swf Regierung (DE-588)4049012-9 gnd rswk-swf Ägypten (DE-588)4000556-2 gnd rswk-swf Marokko (DE-588)4037680-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Ägypten (DE-588)4000556-2 g Marokko (DE-588)4037680-1 g Autoritärer Staat (DE-588)4256521-2 s Regierung (DE-588)4049012-9 s Opposition (DE-588)4043649-4 s DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Augsburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032860076&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Farag, Mahmoud Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world Opposition (DE-588)4043649-4 gnd Autoritärer Staat (DE-588)4256521-2 gnd Regierung (DE-588)4049012-9 gnd |
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| title | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world |
| title_auth | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world |
| title_exact_search | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world |
| title_full | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world Mahmoud Farag |
| title_fullStr | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world Mahmoud Farag |
| title_full_unstemmed | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world Mahmoud Farag |
| title_short | Regime-opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the Arab world |
| title_sort | regime opposition dynamics and authoritarian survival in the arab world |
| topic | Opposition (DE-588)4043649-4 gnd Autoritärer Staat (DE-588)4256521-2 gnd Regierung (DE-588)4049012-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Opposition Autoritärer Staat Regierung Ägypten Marokko Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032860076&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT faragmahmoud regimeoppositiondynamicsandauthoritariansurvivalinthearabworld |