Averting catastrophe: decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds
Best-selling author Cass R. Sunstein examines how to avoid worst-case scenariosThe world is increasingly confronted with new challenges related to climate change, globalization, disease, and technology. Governments are faced with having to decide how much risk is worth taking, how much destruction a...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
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New York
New York University Press
[2021]
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Online-Zugang: | BSB01 UBM01 UBY01 Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Best-selling author Cass R. Sunstein examines how to avoid worst-case scenariosThe world is increasingly confronted with new challenges related to climate change, globalization, disease, and technology. Governments are faced with having to decide how much risk is worth taking, how much destruction and death can be tolerated, and how much money should be invested in the hopes of avoiding catastrophe. Lacking full information, should decision-makers focus on avoiding the most catastrophic outcomes? When should extreme measures be taken to prevent as much destruction as possible?Averting Catastrophe explores how governments ought to make decisions in times of imminent disaster. Cass R. Sunstein argues that using the "maximin rule," which calls for choosing the approach that eliminates the worst of the worst-case scenarios, may be necessary when public officials lack important information, and when the worst-case scenario is too disastrous to contemplate. He underscores this argument by emphasizing the reality of "Knightian uncertainty," found in circumstances in which it is not possible to assign probabilities to various outcomes. Sunstein brings foundational issues in decision theory in close contact with real problems in regulation, law, and daily life, and considers other potential future risks. At once an approachable introduction to decision-theory and a provocative argument for how governments ought to handle risk, Averting Catastrophe offers a definitive path forward in a world rife with uncertainty |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (167 Seiten) |
ISBN: | 9781479808496 |
DOI: | 10.18574/nyu/9781479808496.001.0001 |
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isbn | 9781479808496 |
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spelling | Sunstein, Cass R. 1954- Verfasser (DE-588)131457691 aut Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds Cass R. Sunstein New York New York University Press [2021] © 2021 1 Online-Ressource (167 Seiten) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Best-selling author Cass R. Sunstein examines how to avoid worst-case scenariosThe world is increasingly confronted with new challenges related to climate change, globalization, disease, and technology. Governments are faced with having to decide how much risk is worth taking, how much destruction and death can be tolerated, and how much money should be invested in the hopes of avoiding catastrophe. Lacking full information, should decision-makers focus on avoiding the most catastrophic outcomes? When should extreme measures be taken to prevent as much destruction as possible?Averting Catastrophe explores how governments ought to make decisions in times of imminent disaster. Cass R. Sunstein argues that using the "maximin rule," which calls for choosing the approach that eliminates the worst of the worst-case scenarios, may be necessary when public officials lack important information, and when the worst-case scenario is too disastrous to contemplate. He underscores this argument by emphasizing the reality of "Knightian uncertainty," found in circumstances in which it is not possible to assign probabilities to various outcomes. Sunstein brings foundational issues in decision theory in close contact with real problems in regulation, law, and daily life, and considers other potential future risks. At once an approachable introduction to decision-theory and a provocative argument for how governments ought to handle risk, Averting Catastrophe offers a definitive path forward in a world rife with uncertainty SOCIAL SCIENCE / Anthropology / Cultural & Social bisacsh Crisis management in government Emergency management Public administration Decision making Krisenmanagement (DE-588)4127374-6 gnd rswk-swf Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 s Krisenmanagement (DE-588)4127374-6 s Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 978-1-4798-0848-9 https://doi.org/10.18574/nyu/9781479808496.001.0001 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Sunstein, Cass R. 1954- Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds SOCIAL SCIENCE / Anthropology / Cultural & Social bisacsh Crisis management in government Emergency management Public administration Decision making Krisenmanagement (DE-588)4127374-6 gnd Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4127374-6 (DE-588)4029929-6 (DE-588)4113446-1 |
title | Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds |
title_auth | Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds |
title_exact_search | Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds |
title_exact_search_txtP | Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds |
title_full | Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds Cass R. Sunstein |
title_fullStr | Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds Cass R. Sunstein |
title_full_unstemmed | Averting catastrophe decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds Cass R. Sunstein |
title_short | Averting catastrophe |
title_sort | averting catastrophe decision theory for covid 19 climate change and potential disasters of all kinds |
title_sub | decision theory for COVID-19, climate change, and potential disasters of all kinds |
topic | SOCIAL SCIENCE / Anthropology / Cultural & Social bisacsh Crisis management in government Emergency management Public administration Decision making Krisenmanagement (DE-588)4127374-6 gnd Katastrophe (DE-588)4029929-6 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd |
topic_facet | SOCIAL SCIENCE / Anthropology / Cultural & Social Crisis management in government Emergency management Public administration Decision making Krisenmanagement Katastrophe Entscheidungsfindung |
url | https://doi.org/10.18574/nyu/9781479808496.001.0001 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT sunsteincassr avertingcatastrophedecisiontheoryforcovid19climatechangeandpotentialdisastersofallkinds |