Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling:
This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interp...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge ; New York ; Port Melbourne ; New Delhi ; Sydney
Cambridge University Press
2020
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Cambridge elements
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Zusammenfassung: | This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance' |
| Beschreibung: | Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 11 Jan 2021) |
| Beschreibung: | 66 Seiten |
| ISBN: | 9781108984942 |
Internformat
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| 520 | |a This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance' | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Probabilities / Philosophy | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Statistics / Philosophy | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804182286254473216 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents Introduction 1 1 The Archaeology of Probability 3 2 The Classical Interpretation: Equipossibility 6 3 The Logical Interpretation: Indifference 9 4 The Subjective Interpretation: Credence 14 5 The Reality of Chance: Empiricism and Pragmatism 20 6 The Frequency Interpretation: Actual and Hypothetical Frequencies 23 7 The Propensity Interpretation: Single Case and Long Run 28 8 Interpreting and Applying Objective Probability 33 9 The Explanatory Argument and Ontology 36 10 Metaphysical Pluralism: The Tripartite Conception 42 11 Methodological Pragmatism: The Complex Nexus of Chance 47 12 Two Types of Statistical Modelling 51 13 Towards a Methodology of Chance Explanation 57 References 62
|
| adam_txt |
Contents Introduction 1 1 The Archaeology of Probability 3 2 The Classical Interpretation: Equipossibility 6 3 The Logical Interpretation: Indifference 9 4 The Subjective Interpretation: Credence 14 5 The Reality of Chance: Empiricism and Pragmatism 20 6 The Frequency Interpretation: Actual and Hypothetical Frequencies 23 7 The Propensity Interpretation: Single Case and Long Run 28 8 Interpreting and Applying Objective Probability 33 9 The Explanatory Argument and Ontology 36 10 Metaphysical Pluralism: The Tripartite Conception 42 11 Methodological Pragmatism: The Complex Nexus of Chance 47 12 Two Types of Statistical Modelling 51 13 Towards a Methodology of Chance Explanation 57 References 62 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| any_adam_object_boolean | 1 |
| author | Suárez, Mauricio 1968- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)118463145X |
| author_facet | Suárez, Mauricio 1968- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Suárez, Mauricio 1968- |
| author_variant | m s ms |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV047188909 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1249678967 (DE-599)BVBBV047188909 |
| dewey-full | 519.5 |
| dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| dewey-ones | 519 - Probabilities and applied mathematics |
| dewey-raw | 519.5 |
| dewey-search | 519.5 |
| dewey-sort | 3519.5 |
| dewey-tens | 510 - Mathematics |
| discipline | Mathematik |
| discipline_str_mv | Mathematik |
| format | Book |
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| index_date | 2024-07-03T16:47:15Z |
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| isbn | 9781108984942 |
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| spelling | Suárez, Mauricio 1968- Verfasser (DE-588)118463145X aut Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling Mauricio Suárez (Complutense University of Madrid) Cambridge ; New York ; Port Melbourne ; New Delhi ; Sydney Cambridge University Press 2020 66 Seiten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Cambridge elements Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 11 Jan 2021) This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance' Probabilities / Philosophy Statistics / Philosophy Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd rswk-swf Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd rswk-swf Erwartungswert (DE-588)4152930-3 gnd rswk-swf Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 s Erwartungswert (DE-588)4152930-3 s Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-1-108-98582-6 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032594145&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Suárez, Mauricio 1968- Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling Probabilities / Philosophy Statistics / Philosophy Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd Erwartungswert (DE-588)4152930-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4045791-6 (DE-588)4137007-7 (DE-588)4152930-3 |
| title | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling |
| title_auth | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling |
| title_exact_search | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling |
| title_full | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling Mauricio Suárez (Complutense University of Madrid) |
| title_fullStr | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling Mauricio Suárez (Complutense University of Madrid) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling Mauricio Suárez (Complutense University of Madrid) |
| title_short | Philosophy of probability and statistical modelling |
| title_sort | philosophy of probability and statistical modelling |
| topic | Probabilities / Philosophy Statistics / Philosophy Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeit (DE-588)4137007-7 gnd Erwartungswert (DE-588)4152930-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Probabilities / Philosophy Statistics / Philosophy Philosophie Wahrscheinlichkeit Erwartungswert |
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