Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief: essays on the lottery paradox
We talk and think about our beliefs both in a categorical (yes/no) and in a graded way. How do the two kinds of belief hang together? The most straightforward answer is that we believe something categorically if we believe it to a high enough degree. But this seemingly obvious, near-platitudinous cl...
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
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Cambridge ; New York ; Port Melbourne ; New Delhi ; Singapore
Cambridge University Press
2021
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| Zusammenfassung: | We talk and think about our beliefs both in a categorical (yes/no) and in a graded way. How do the two kinds of belief hang together? The most straightforward answer is that we believe something categorically if we believe it to a high enough degree. But this seemingly obvious, near-platitudinous claim is known to give rise to a paradox commonly known as the 'lottery paradox' – at least when it is coupled with some further seeming near-platitudes about belief. How to resolve that paradox has been a matter of intense philosophical debate for over fifty years. This volume offers a collection of newly commissioned essays on the subject, all of which provide compelling reasons for rethinking many of the fundamentals of the debate |
| Beschreibung: | Introduction Igor Douven; 1. Rational belief and statistical evidence: blame, bias, and the law Dana Nelkin; 2. Knowledge attributions and lottery cases: a review and new evidence John Turri; 3. The psychological dimension of the lottery paradox Jennifer Nagel; 4. Three puzzles about lotteries Julia Staffel; 5. Four arguments for denying that lottery beliefs are justified Martin Smith; 6. Rethinking the lottery paradox: a dual processing perspective Igor Douven and Shira Elqayam; 7. Rational belief in lottery- and preface-situations: impossibility results and possible solutions Gerhard Schurz; 8. Stability and the lottery paradox Hannes Leitgeb; 9. The lottery, the preface and epistemic rule consequentialism Christoph Kelp and Francesco Praolini; 10. Beliefs, probabilities, and their coherent correspondence Kevin Kelly and Hanti Lin; 11. The relation between degrees of belief and binary beliefs: a general impossibility theorem Franz Dietrich and Christian List; Bibliography; Index |
| Beschreibung: | viii, 270 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten |
| ISBN: | 9781108421911 9781108433051 |
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| 500 | |a Introduction Igor Douven; 1. Rational belief and statistical evidence: blame, bias, and the law Dana Nelkin; 2. Knowledge attributions and lottery cases: a review and new evidence John Turri; 3. The psychological dimension of the lottery paradox Jennifer Nagel; 4. Three puzzles about lotteries Julia Staffel; 5. Four arguments for denying that lottery beliefs are justified Martin Smith; 6. Rethinking the lottery paradox: a dual processing perspective Igor Douven and Shira Elqayam; 7. Rational belief in lottery- and preface-situations: impossibility results and possible solutions Gerhard Schurz; 8. Stability and the lottery paradox Hannes Leitgeb; 9. The lottery, the preface and epistemic rule consequentialism Christoph Kelp and Francesco Praolini; 10. Beliefs, probabilities, and their coherent correspondence Kevin Kelly and Hanti Lin; 11. The relation between degrees of belief and binary beliefs: a general impossibility theorem Franz Dietrich and Christian List; Bibliography; Index | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents List of Contributors page vii Introduction Igor Douven 1 2 i Rational Belief and Statistical Evidence: Blame, Bias, and the Law Dana Kay Nelkin 6 Knowledge Attributions and Lottery Cases: A Review and New Evidence John Turri 28 3 The Psychological Dimension of the Lottery Paradox Jennifer Nagel 48 4 Three Puzzles about Lotteries Julia Staffel 74 5 Four Arguments for Denying that Lottery Beliefs Are Justified Martin Smith 95 6 Rethinking the Lottery Paradox: A Dual Processing Perspective Igor Douven and Shira Eկayam no 7 Rational Belief in Lottery- and Preface-Situations: Impossibility Results and Possible Solutions Gerhard Schurz 128 8 Stability and the Lottery Paradox Hannes Leitgeb 147 9 The Lottery, the Preface, and Epistemic Rule Consequen tialism 171 Christoph Kelp and Francesco Praolini
vi 10 Contents Beliefs, Probabilities,and Their Coherent Correspondence 185 Kevin T. Kelly and Hanti Lin 11 The Relation between Degrees of Belief and Binary Beliefs: A General Impossibility Theorem 223 Franz Dietrich and Christian List Bibliography Index 255 269
|
| adam_txt |
Contents List of Contributors page vii Introduction Igor Douven 1 2 i Rational Belief and Statistical Evidence: Blame, Bias, and the Law Dana Kay Nelkin 6 Knowledge Attributions and Lottery Cases: A Review and New Evidence John Turri 28 3 The Psychological Dimension of the Lottery Paradox Jennifer Nagel 48 4 Three Puzzles about Lotteries Julia Staffel 74 5 Four Arguments for Denying that Lottery Beliefs Are Justified Martin Smith 95 6 Rethinking the Lottery Paradox: A Dual Processing Perspective Igor Douven and Shira Eկayam no 7 Rational Belief in Lottery- and Preface-Situations: Impossibility Results and Possible Solutions Gerhard Schurz 128 8 Stability and the Lottery Paradox Hannes Leitgeb 147 9 The Lottery, the Preface, and Epistemic Rule Consequen tialism 171 Christoph Kelp and Francesco Praolini
vi 10 Contents Beliefs, Probabilities,and Their Coherent Correspondence 185 Kevin T. Kelly and Hanti Lin 11 The Relation between Degrees of Belief and Binary Beliefs: A General Impossibility Theorem 223 Franz Dietrich and Christian List Bibliography Index 255 269 |
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| discipline | Philosophie |
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| spelling | Douven, Igor 1963- (DE-588)1215793081 edt Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox edited by Igor Douven (University of Paris-Sorbonne Cambridge ; New York ; Port Melbourne ; New Delhi ; Singapore Cambridge University Press 2021 viii, 270 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Introduction Igor Douven; 1. Rational belief and statistical evidence: blame, bias, and the law Dana Nelkin; 2. Knowledge attributions and lottery cases: a review and new evidence John Turri; 3. The psychological dimension of the lottery paradox Jennifer Nagel; 4. Three puzzles about lotteries Julia Staffel; 5. Four arguments for denying that lottery beliefs are justified Martin Smith; 6. Rethinking the lottery paradox: a dual processing perspective Igor Douven and Shira Elqayam; 7. Rational belief in lottery- and preface-situations: impossibility results and possible solutions Gerhard Schurz; 8. Stability and the lottery paradox Hannes Leitgeb; 9. The lottery, the preface and epistemic rule consequentialism Christoph Kelp and Francesco Praolini; 10. Beliefs, probabilities, and their coherent correspondence Kevin Kelly and Hanti Lin; 11. The relation between degrees of belief and binary beliefs: a general impossibility theorem Franz Dietrich and Christian List; Bibliography; Index We talk and think about our beliefs both in a categorical (yes/no) and in a graded way. How do the two kinds of belief hang together? The most straightforward answer is that we believe something categorically if we believe it to a high enough degree. But this seemingly obvious, near-platitudinous claim is known to give rise to a paradox commonly known as the 'lottery paradox' – at least when it is coupled with some further seeming near-platitudes about belief. How to resolve that paradox has been a matter of intense philosophical debate for over fifty years. This volume offers a collection of newly commissioned essays on the subject, all of which provide compelling reasons for rethinking many of the fundamentals of the debate Wissen (DE-588)4066559-8 gnd rswk-swf Erkenntnistheorie (DE-588)4070914-0 gnd rswk-swf Zweifel (DE-588)4124501-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Erkenntnistheorie (DE-588)4070914-0 s Wissen (DE-588)4066559-8 s Zweifel (DE-588)4124501-5 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe, EPUB 978-1-108-37975-5 Digitalisierung BSB München - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032541145&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox Wissen (DE-588)4066559-8 gnd Erkenntnistheorie (DE-588)4070914-0 gnd Zweifel (DE-588)4124501-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066559-8 (DE-588)4070914-0 (DE-588)4124501-5 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox |
| title_auth | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox |
| title_exact_search | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox |
| title_full | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox edited by Igor Douven (University of Paris-Sorbonne |
| title_fullStr | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox edited by Igor Douven (University of Paris-Sorbonne |
| title_full_unstemmed | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox edited by Igor Douven (University of Paris-Sorbonne |
| title_short | Lotteries, knowledge, and rational belief |
| title_sort | lotteries knowledge and rational belief essays on the lottery paradox |
| title_sub | essays on the lottery paradox |
| topic | Wissen (DE-588)4066559-8 gnd Erkenntnistheorie (DE-588)4070914-0 gnd Zweifel (DE-588)4124501-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wissen Erkenntnistheorie Zweifel Aufsatzsammlung |
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