The evolution of the Greek economy: past challenges and future approaches
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cham, Switzerland
Palgrave Macmillan
[2020]
|
| Schriftenreihe: | The political economy of Greek growth up to 2030
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Klappentext |
| Beschreibung: | xxxiv, 292 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9783030472092 |
| ISSN: | 2662-7248 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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Contents Part I 1 The Evolution of Economic History, Institutions and Cultural Background A Brief Economic History of Repeated Defaults 1.1 Introduction 1.2 The Defaults 1.3 The Dependent State References 2 The Institutional Evolution and the Failed Modernizing Attempts 2.1 2.2 Introduction The Ottoman, the Central European Heritage and the Initial Formation of Extracting Institutions 2.3 The Development of Hierarchies in Historical Perspective 2.4 The Non-Diversification of Investment and Production in Historical Perspective References 3 The Geostrategical Settings and the Systemic Risks 3.1 3.2 Introduction The Geostrategical Settings 3 3 4 12 16 19 19 20 26 37 46 51 51 52 XV
xvi CONTENTS 3.3 3.4 3.5 The The The The Appendix: References 4 National Power Systemic Risks Global and Domestic Consequences of Covid-19: Systemic Risks Negative Episodes in Greece The Formation of Idiosyncratic Structure of Institutions and Culture 4.1 Introduction 4.2 The Optimum Structure of Institutions and Culture with First and Second-Best Theory Conditions 4.3 The Deviations from the Optimum Pattern on Institutions and Culture: Third-Pest Theory Conditions 4.4 Idiosyncratic Institutions in the Greek Economy 4.4.1 The Distortion of the Relative Price of Capital/Labor Ratio 4.4.2 The Appropriation Rules and the Role of Elites 4.4.3 High Transaction Costs 4.4.4 Oligopolies 4.5 Idiosyncratic Cultural Traits in the Greek Economy 4.6 The Idiosyncratic Growth Prototype of the Greek Economy References Part II 5 56 57 62 65 72 77 77 78 82 85 85 87 88 90 90 94 97 The Evolution of Sustainability, Governance, Inclusivity, Culture and Economic Growth in the Greek Economy Sustainable Development 5.1 Introduction 5.2 The Attainment of Sustainable Development Goals 5.3 The Environment 5.4 The Renewable Energy Sources 5.5 The Natural Resources 103 103 105 106 109 111
CONTENTS xvii 5.6 The Population 5.7 Pandemics and Epidemics as Black Swans References 113 117 121 Sustainable Governance 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Voice and Accountability 6.3 Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism 6.4 Government Effectiveness 6.5 Regulatory Quality 6.6 Rule of Law 6.7 Control of Corruption References 125 125 127 128 130 131 132 133 135 Inclusivity 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Concept of Inclusive Growth 7.3 Human Capital and Labor Market 7.3.1 Income 7.3.2 Employment and Unemployment 7.3.3 Gender Equality 7.4 Distribution of Income and Wealth 7.5 Poverty 7.6 Education 7.7 Covid-19 and Inclusivity References 137 137 138 140 140 140 144 145 148 151 154 158 Human Behaviors 8.1 Introduction 8.2 The Social Environment 8.3 Political Trends in Society 8.4 Economic Attitudes in Society 8.5 Loss Aversion and the Other Cultural Dimensions in Greek Society 8.6 Covid-19 on Human Behaviour References 161 161 162 164 165 171 174 177
xviii 9 CONTENTS Growth in the Greek Economy 9.1 Introduction 9.2 The Economic Evolution 9.3 Interned and External Balances 9.4 The Evolution of Structural Reforms 9.5 Competitiveness 9.6 Investments and EDI 9.7 The Banking System and the Credit-Less Recovery 9.8 Liquidity and Credit System 9.9 Entrepreneurship Development and Privatizations 9.10 The Issue of Debt 9.11 The Overburden of Taxation 9.12 The Covid-19 Recession References 10 Insights of the Production Prototype Change During the Crisis (2008-2018) 10.1 10.2 10.3 Introduction Structural Change in the Production System The Distinction Between the Domestic and the Competitive and Internationalized Parts of the Greek Economy 10.4 Developments in the Key Figures in the Domestic and International Part of the Greek Economy 10.4.1 Gross Value Added and Investments 10.4.2 Employment and Productivity 10.4.3 Imports, Exports, and Trade Balance 10.5 The Technological Specialization of the Greek Economy Sectors 10.5.1 Production, Employment, Productivity, Investment, and Technological Specialization of the Sectors 10.5.2 Imports, Exports, and Technological Specialization of the Sectors 10.6 Skills Intensity in the Sectors of Greek Economy 10.7 The Structural Effects of Covid-19 on the Greek Economy Appendix: Classification of Sectors References 179 179 180 182 183 185 186 188 191 193 194 195 197 202 205 205 206 207 210 210 211 213 214 215 216 218 220 223 228
CONTENTS ХІХ Part III The Long-Term Evolution of the Greek Economy 11 The Requirements for a Pro-growth Long-Term View 11.1 11.2 Introduction The Endogenous Transformation from Idiosyncratic Stagnated to Optimal Pro-growth Model Through Institutional and Cultural Changes 11.2.1 Institutional Change 11.2.2 Cultural Changes 11.3 Total Factor Productivity and Reforms in the Greek Economy Until 2019 11.4 The Normal Scenario for the Greek Economy 2020-2030 11.4.1 Forecast Model 11.4.2 The Normal Scenario 11.5 Total Factor Productivity and Reforms: 2020-2030 11.6 The Optimal Pro-growth Scenario for the Greek Economy: 2020-2030 References 12 The Long-Term View of the Greek Economy Under the Normal and the Optimal Pro-growth Scenario: 2020-2030 12.1 Introduction 12.2 The End of Credit-Less Recovery 12.3 Eurozone and the Greek Economy 2020-2030 12.4 Output Gap and Potential Output 12.5 Public Debt and Economy 12.6 Competitiveness 12.7 Key Determinants of GDP 12.8 Investments 12.9 Inclusive Growth References Index 233 233 234 236 238 239 241 241 242 245 250 253 257 25 7 258 260 264 270 273 276 280 282 287 289
THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF GREEK GROWTH UP TO 2030 Series Editor: Panagiotis E. Petrakis This book assesses the current state of the Greek economy and detects its development and growth prospects up to 2030. The analysis begins with 19th century Greece, addressing the repeated defaults that led to the formation of a dependent state, and the failed modernizing attempts. Then the book addresses current geostrategic dimensions as well as the current structure of institutions and culture in Greece. The second part presents the evolution of sustainability, governance, and inclusivity, as well as the evolution of culture in Greek society and insights into the production prototype. The third part of the book looks forward to what lays ahead for Greece up to 2030. It presents the theoretical background for two scenarios: the normal scenario (business as usual, including the effects of the recent Covid-19 pandemic) and the optimal scenario (a pro growth scenario including increases of Total Factor Productivity through structural reforms). In presenting these scenarios, the book discusses issues ranging from a comparative analysis between Greece and the Eurozone, the developments in output gap and potential output, public debt, competitiveness, basic macroeconomic variables, a detailed analysis on investments, and inclusive growth. Panagiotis E. Petrakis is Professor in the Department of Economics at National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece, where he serves as Director of the Sector of international Economics and Development and Scientific Coordinator of Distance
Education Training Programs. He was chairman of the Department of Economics at National and Kapodistrian University of Athens from 2005 to 2009. He is the author of numerous scientific articles and monographs and has extensive publications in recognized academic journals on economic development, entrepreneurship, and cultural background. Pantelis C. Kostis is Adjunct Lecturer of Economics at National and Kapodistrian University of Athens and the Hellenic Open University, Greece. His research has been published in distinguished international academic journals including Journal of Business Research, Economic Modelling and the Journal of Socio-Economics. He is also the co-author of several books regarding the European and the Greek economy, and economic development and growth. |
| adam_txt |
Contents Part I 1 The Evolution of Economic History, Institutions and Cultural Background A Brief Economic History of Repeated Defaults 1.1 Introduction 1.2 The Defaults 1.3 The Dependent State References 2 The Institutional Evolution and the Failed Modernizing Attempts 2.1 2.2 Introduction The Ottoman, the Central European Heritage and the Initial Formation of Extracting Institutions 2.3 The Development of Hierarchies in Historical Perspective 2.4 The Non-Diversification of Investment and Production in Historical Perspective References 3 The Geostrategical Settings and the Systemic Risks 3.1 3.2 Introduction The Geostrategical Settings 3 3 4 12 16 19 19 20 26 37 46 51 51 52 XV
xvi CONTENTS 3.3 3.4 3.5 The The The The Appendix: References 4 National Power Systemic Risks Global and Domestic Consequences of Covid-19: Systemic Risks Negative Episodes in Greece The Formation of Idiosyncratic Structure of Institutions and Culture 4.1 Introduction 4.2 The Optimum Structure of Institutions and Culture with First and Second-Best Theory Conditions 4.3 The Deviations from the Optimum Pattern on Institutions and Culture: Third-Pest Theory Conditions 4.4 Idiosyncratic Institutions in the Greek Economy 4.4.1 The Distortion of the Relative Price of Capital/Labor Ratio 4.4.2 The Appropriation Rules and the Role of Elites 4.4.3 High Transaction Costs 4.4.4 Oligopolies 4.5 Idiosyncratic Cultural Traits in the Greek Economy 4.6 The Idiosyncratic Growth Prototype of the Greek Economy References Part II 5 56 57 62 65 72 77 77 78 82 85 85 87 88 90 90 94 97 The Evolution of Sustainability, Governance, Inclusivity, Culture and Economic Growth in the Greek Economy Sustainable Development 5.1 Introduction 5.2 The Attainment of Sustainable Development Goals 5.3 The Environment 5.4 The Renewable Energy Sources 5.5 The Natural Resources 103 103 105 106 109 111
CONTENTS xvii 5.6 The Population 5.7 Pandemics and Epidemics as Black Swans References 113 117 121 Sustainable Governance 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Voice and Accountability 6.3 Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism 6.4 Government Effectiveness 6.5 Regulatory Quality 6.6 Rule of Law 6.7 Control of Corruption References 125 125 127 128 130 131 132 133 135 Inclusivity 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Concept of Inclusive Growth 7.3 Human Capital and Labor Market 7.3.1 Income 7.3.2 Employment and Unemployment 7.3.3 Gender Equality 7.4 Distribution of Income and Wealth 7.5 Poverty 7.6 Education 7.7 Covid-19 and Inclusivity References 137 137 138 140 140 140 144 145 148 151 154 158 Human Behaviors 8.1 Introduction 8.2 The Social Environment 8.3 Political Trends in Society 8.4 Economic Attitudes in Society 8.5 Loss Aversion and the Other Cultural Dimensions in Greek Society 8.6 Covid-19 on Human Behaviour References 161 161 162 164 165 171 174 177
xviii 9 CONTENTS Growth in the Greek Economy 9.1 Introduction 9.2 The Economic Evolution 9.3 Interned and External Balances 9.4 The Evolution of Structural Reforms 9.5 Competitiveness 9.6 Investments and EDI 9.7 The Banking System and the Credit-Less Recovery 9.8 Liquidity and Credit System 9.9 Entrepreneurship Development and Privatizations 9.10 The Issue of Debt 9.11 The Overburden of Taxation 9.12 The Covid-19 Recession References 10 Insights of the Production Prototype Change During the Crisis (2008-2018) 10.1 10.2 10.3 Introduction Structural Change in the Production System The Distinction Between the Domestic and the Competitive and Internationalized Parts of the Greek Economy 10.4 Developments in the Key Figures in the Domestic and International Part of the Greek Economy 10.4.1 Gross Value Added and Investments 10.4.2 Employment and Productivity 10.4.3 Imports, Exports, and Trade Balance 10.5 The Technological Specialization of the Greek Economy Sectors 10.5.1 Production, Employment, Productivity, Investment, and Technological Specialization of the Sectors 10.5.2 Imports, Exports, and Technological Specialization of the Sectors 10.6 Skills Intensity in the Sectors of Greek Economy 10.7 The Structural Effects of Covid-19 on the Greek Economy Appendix: Classification of Sectors References 179 179 180 182 183 185 186 188 191 193 194 195 197 202 205 205 206 207 210 210 211 213 214 215 216 218 220 223 228
CONTENTS ХІХ Part III The Long-Term Evolution of the Greek Economy 11 The Requirements for a Pro-growth Long-Term View 11.1 11.2 Introduction The Endogenous Transformation from Idiosyncratic Stagnated to Optimal Pro-growth Model Through Institutional and Cultural Changes 11.2.1 Institutional Change 11.2.2 Cultural Changes 11.3 Total Factor Productivity and Reforms in the Greek Economy Until 2019 11.4 The Normal Scenario for the Greek Economy 2020-2030 11.4.1 Forecast Model 11.4.2 The Normal Scenario 11.5 Total Factor Productivity and Reforms: 2020-2030 11.6 The Optimal Pro-growth Scenario for the Greek Economy: 2020-2030 References 12 The Long-Term View of the Greek Economy Under the Normal and the Optimal Pro-growth Scenario: 2020-2030 12.1 Introduction 12.2 The End of Credit-Less Recovery 12.3 Eurozone and the Greek Economy 2020-2030 12.4 Output Gap and Potential Output 12.5 Public Debt and Economy 12.6 Competitiveness 12.7 Key Determinants of GDP 12.8 Investments 12.9 Inclusive Growth References Index 233 233 234 236 238 239 241 241 242 245 250 253 257 25 7 258 260 264 270 273 276 280 282 287 289
THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF GREEK GROWTH UP TO 2030 Series Editor: Panagiotis E. Petrakis This book assesses the current state of the Greek economy and detects its development and growth prospects up to 2030. The analysis begins with 19th century Greece, addressing the repeated defaults that led to the formation of a dependent state, and the failed modernizing attempts. Then the book addresses current geostrategic dimensions as well as the current structure of institutions and culture in Greece. The second part presents the evolution of sustainability, governance, and inclusivity, as well as the evolution of culture in Greek society and insights into the production prototype. The third part of the book looks forward to what lays ahead for Greece up to 2030. It presents the theoretical background for two scenarios: the normal scenario (business as usual, including the effects of the recent Covid-19 pandemic) and the optimal scenario (a pro growth scenario including increases of Total Factor Productivity through structural reforms). In presenting these scenarios, the book discusses issues ranging from a comparative analysis between Greece and the Eurozone, the developments in output gap and potential output, public debt, competitiveness, basic macroeconomic variables, a detailed analysis on investments, and inclusive growth. Panagiotis E. Petrakis is Professor in the Department of Economics at National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece, where he serves as Director of the Sector of international Economics and Development and Scientific Coordinator of Distance
Education Training Programs. He was chairman of the Department of Economics at National and Kapodistrian University of Athens from 2005 to 2009. He is the author of numerous scientific articles and monographs and has extensive publications in recognized academic journals on economic development, entrepreneurship, and cultural background. Pantelis C. Kostis is Adjunct Lecturer of Economics at National and Kapodistrian University of Athens and the Hellenic Open University, Greece. His research has been published in distinguished international academic journals including Journal of Business Research, Economic Modelling and the Journal of Socio-Economics. He is also the co-author of several books regarding the European and the Greek economy, and economic development and growth. |
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| series2 | The political economy of Greek growth up to 2030 |
| spelling | Petrakēs, Panagiōtēs E. 1953- Verfasser (DE-588)103178414 aut The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches Panagiotis E. Petrakis, Pantelis C. Kostis Cham, Switzerland Palgrave Macmillan [2020] xxxiv, 292 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier The political economy of Greek growth up to 2030 2662-7248 Economic Growth Institutional/Evolutionary Economics Financial Crises European Economics Economic History Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics Economic growth Evolutionary economics Financial crises Europe—Economic conditions Economic history Macroeconomics Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd rswk-swf Griechenland (DE-588)4022047-3 gnd rswk-swf Griechenland (DE-588)4022047-3 g Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 s Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 s DE-604 Kostis, Pantelis C. Verfasser (DE-588)1049427688 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-030-47210-8 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032474922&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032474922&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext |
| spellingShingle | Petrakēs, Panagiōtēs E. 1953- Kostis, Pantelis C. The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches Economic Growth Institutional/Evolutionary Economics Financial Crises European Economics Economic History Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics Economic growth Evolutionary economics Financial crises Europe—Economic conditions Economic history Macroeconomics Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)7635855-0 (DE-588)4066527-6 (DE-588)4022047-3 |
| title | The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches |
| title_auth | The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches |
| title_exact_search | The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches |
| title_full | The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches Panagiotis E. Petrakis, Pantelis C. Kostis |
| title_fullStr | The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches Panagiotis E. Petrakis, Pantelis C. Kostis |
| title_full_unstemmed | The evolution of the Greek economy past challenges and future approaches Panagiotis E. Petrakis, Pantelis C. Kostis |
| title_short | The evolution of the Greek economy |
| title_sort | the evolution of the greek economy past challenges and future approaches |
| title_sub | past challenges and future approaches |
| topic | Economic Growth Institutional/Evolutionary Economics Financial Crises European Economics Economic History Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics Economic growth Evolutionary economics Financial crises Europe—Economic conditions Economic history Macroeconomics Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Economic Growth Institutional/Evolutionary Economics Financial Crises European Economics Economic History Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics Economic growth Evolutionary economics Financial crises Europe—Economic conditions Economic history Macroeconomics Finanzkrise Wirtschaftswachstum Griechenland |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032474922&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032474922&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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