Country risk: the bane of foreign investors
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
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Springer
[2020]
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| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | xiv, 259 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9783030457877 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents 1 Introduction.................................................................................................. 1.1 Business Activities and Country Risk.............................................. 1.2 Genealogy and Definitions of Country Risk.................................... 1.2.1 Genealogy of Country Risk.................................................. 1.2.2 Notable Definitions of Country Risk.................................... 1.3 Outline of the Book........................................................................... References............................. Part I 2 1 2 3 3 4 6 7 Understanding Country Risk Two Centuries of Country Risk, 1816-2016............................................ 2.1 Foreign Investment During the Pax Britannica............................... 2.1.1 Overall Risks......................................................................... 2.1.2 International Business Environment for Exporters............. 2.1.3 International Business Environment for Foreign Direct and Equity Investors............................................................... 2.1.4 International Business Environment for Foreign Creditors............................................................. 2.2 Deglobalization and Threats to Foreign Investment: 1914-1945 ..................................................................... 2.2.1 The World War I Shocks....................................................... 2.2.2 Nationalism, Isolationism, and Lack of International Cooperation...........................................................................
2.2.3 The Slide Toward Protectionism.......................................... 2.2.4 The Increasing Vulnerability of Foreign-Owned Property.................................................................................. 2.2.5 Foreign Creditors in Turmoil................................................ 2.2.6 World War II................................................................ 2.3 International Business in a Bipolar World: 1945-1991................... 2.3.1 Reconstructing the World Economy.................................... 2.3.2 The Geopolitical Context....................................................... 11 11 12 13 14 15 16 16 18 19 20 22 23 23 23 25 xi
Contents 2.3.3 A Precarious International Monetary System Based on the US Dollar.................................................................... 2.3.4 Growth of International Trade and New Export Risks .... 2.3.5 Foreign Direct Investment at Risk........................................ 2.3.6 A Long Debt Cycle That Leads to a Major Financial Crisis...................................................................................... 2.4 The Globalization Years, 1991-2016................................................. 2.4.1 A New Paradigm: Free-Market Capitalism......................... 2.4.2 Financial Globalization: Opportunities and Dangers.......... 2.4.3 The Boom of the Chinese Economy.................................... 2.4.4 A New Sovereign Debt Landscape...................................... 2.4.5 The New World Economy: Between Interdependence and Competition...................................................................... References..................................................................................................... 3 Taxonomy of Country Risk........................................................................ 3.1 International Political Risks............................................................... 3.1.1 Bilateral Relations Between the Host Country and the Investor’s Country..................................................... 3.1.2 International Sanctions and Embargoes................................ 3.1.3 International Tensions and Warfare...................................... 3.2 Domestic Political and Institutional
Risks........................................ 3.2.1 Institutional and Political Instability.................................... 3.2.2 Domestic Violence and Warfare............................................ 3.2.3 The Two Paradoxes of Political Risk......................... 3.3 Jurisdiction Risks............................................................. 3.3.1 Expropriation.......................................................................... 3.3.2 Risks Related to Legal, Regulatory, and Judicial Environment....................................................... 3.3.3 Corruption Practices............................................................... 3.4 Macroeconomic Risks........................................................................ 3.4.1 Foreign Currency and Monetary Issues............................... 3.4.2 Financial and Private Debt Issues........................................ 3.4.3 Fiscal and Public Debt Issues.............................................. 3.4.4 Trade Issues.................. 3.5 Microeconomic Risks........................................................................ 3.5.1 Supply-Side Risks................................................................. 3.5.2 Demand-Side Risks............................................................... 3.6 Sanitary, Health, Industrial, and Environmental Risks................... 3.6.1 Sanitary and Health Risks..................................................... 3.6.2 Industrial Risk........................................................................ 3.6.3 Environmental
Risk............................................................... 3.7 Natural and Climate Risks.................................................................. 3.7.1 Natural Risk............................................................................ 3.7.2 Climate Risk .......................................................................... 30 34 37 44 53 53 55 60 61 68 75 89 90 90 91 93 95 95 101 103 104 104 107 109 110 Ill 112 114 116 118 118 121 122 122 123 124 124 124 125
xiii Contents Appendix 1 : International Political Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017............................................................. Appendix 2: Domestic Political Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017............................................................. Appendix 3: Jurisdiction Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017............................................................. Appendix 4: Macroeconomic Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017............................................................. Appendix 5: Microeconomic Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017............................................................. Appendix 6: Sanitary, Health, Industrial, Technological, Environmental, Natural, and Climate Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017............................................................. References................................................. Part II 4 5 126 127 128 129 131 132 133 Sovereign and Country Risk Indicators Sovereign Risk Indicators......................................................................... 4.1 Sovereign Rating Methodologies....................................................... 4.1.1 Sovereign Ratings Issued by Moody’s and Standard Poor’s........................................................... 4.1.2 Institutional Investor Ratings................................................ 4.1.3 Euromoney Country Risk Ratings........................................ 4.2 Performance of Sovereign Risk Indicators...................................... 4.2.1 The Debt Crisis of
1982......................................................... 4.2.2 The Eurozone Crisis of 2009-2013...................................... 4.2.3 The Sovereign Bond Years (1995-2013)............................. 4.3 General Comments.............................................................................. 4.3.1 Redrafting Sovereign Rating Methodologies....................... 4.3.2 Evolution of Sovereign Ratings during the Globalization Era............................................................. 4.3.3 Ratings Convergence and Divergence.................................. Appendix: Ratings Assigned by Institutional Investor, Euromoney Country Risk, Moody’s, and S P as of 1 September 2016................................................................... References..................................................................................................... 143 143 Country Risk Indicators.............................................................................. 5.1 Country Risk Rating Methodologies................................................ 5.1.1 ICRG Methodology............................................................... 5.1.2 Credendo’s Country Risk Methodologies........................... 5.1.3 OECD’s Country Risk Classification.................................... 5.1.4 The Heritage Foundation’s Index of Economic Freedom.................................................................................. 191 192 192 198 199 144 149 150 153 154 160 166 174 174 178 180 183 188 200
Contents XIV 5.1.5 6 The Fraser Institute’s Economic Freedom of the World Index................................................................. 5.1.6 The World Economic Forum’s Growth Competitiveness Index and Global Competitiveness Index........................... 5.2 Country Risk Shocks.......................................................................... 5.2.1 Methodology.......................................................................... 5.2.2 Major Episodes of International Political Violence............. 5.2.3 Major Episodes of Domestic Political Violence................. 5.2.4 Expropriation Acts................................................................. 5.2.5 High-Inflation Peaks............................................................. 5.2.6 Deep Economic Depressions................................................. 5.2.7 Significant Restrictions on Capital Flows............................ 5.2.8 Sovereign Debt Crises........................................................... 5.2.9 Exceptional Natural Disasters.............................................. 5.2.10 Comments on the Country Risk Crises Identified............... 5.3 Performance of Country Risk Indicators.......................................... 5.3.1 Methodology.......................................................................... 5.3.2 Performance of Euromoney’s Country Risk Ratings........... 5.3.3 Performance of ICRG’s Country Risk Ratings................... 5.3.4 Performance of Credendo’s Country Risk Ratings............. 5.3.5 Performance of OECD’s Country Risk
Ratings................... 5.3.6 Performance of IEF’s Country Risk Ratings....................... 5.3.7 Performance of EFW’s Country Risk Ratings..................... 5.3.8 Performance of the Growth Cl and the GCI....................... 5.4 General Comments.............................................................................. 5.4.1 Country Risk Indicators and Types of Risks........................ 5.4.2 Improving Country Risk Methodologies.............................. 5.4.3 Evolution of Country Risk Ratings During the Globalization Era............................................................. 5.4.4 Ratings Correlations............................................................... Appendix: List of the 272 “Country Risk Crises,” 1985-2014 ............. References..................................................................................................... 243 247 248 255 Concluding Remarks....................... References..................................................................................................... 257 259 202 206 210 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 218 219 219 220 223 225 226 228 231 235 236 237 239
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| adam_txt |
Contents 1 Introduction. 1.1 Business Activities and Country Risk. 1.2 Genealogy and Definitions of Country Risk. 1.2.1 Genealogy of Country Risk. 1.2.2 Notable Definitions of Country Risk. 1.3 Outline of the Book. References. Part I 2 1 2 3 3 4 6 7 Understanding Country Risk Two Centuries of Country Risk, 1816-2016. 2.1 Foreign Investment During the Pax Britannica. 2.1.1 Overall Risks. 2.1.2 International Business Environment for Exporters. 2.1.3 International Business Environment for Foreign Direct and Equity Investors. 2.1.4 International Business Environment for Foreign Creditors. 2.2 Deglobalization and Threats to Foreign Investment: 1914-1945 . 2.2.1 The World War I Shocks. 2.2.2 Nationalism, Isolationism, and Lack of International Cooperation.
2.2.3 The Slide Toward Protectionism. 2.2.4 The Increasing Vulnerability of Foreign-Owned Property. 2.2.5 Foreign Creditors in Turmoil. 2.2.6 World War II. 2.3 International Business in a Bipolar World: 1945-1991. 2.3.1 Reconstructing the World Economy. 2.3.2 The Geopolitical Context. 11 11 12 13 14 15 16 16 18 19 20 22 23 23 23 25 xi
Contents 2.3.3 A Precarious International Monetary System Based on the US Dollar. 2.3.4 Growth of International Trade and New Export Risks . 2.3.5 Foreign Direct Investment at Risk. 2.3.6 A Long Debt Cycle That Leads to a Major Financial Crisis. 2.4 The Globalization Years, 1991-2016. 2.4.1 A New Paradigm: Free-Market Capitalism. 2.4.2 Financial Globalization: Opportunities and Dangers. 2.4.3 The Boom of the Chinese Economy. 2.4.4 A New Sovereign Debt Landscape. 2.4.5 The New World Economy: Between Interdependence and Competition. References. 3 Taxonomy of Country Risk. 3.1 International Political Risks. 3.1.1 Bilateral Relations Between the Host Country and the Investor’s Country. 3.1.2 International Sanctions and Embargoes. 3.1.3 International Tensions and Warfare. 3.2 Domestic Political and Institutional
Risks. 3.2.1 Institutional and Political Instability. 3.2.2 Domestic Violence and Warfare. 3.2.3 The Two Paradoxes of Political Risk. 3.3 Jurisdiction Risks. 3.3.1 Expropriation. 3.3.2 Risks Related to Legal, Regulatory, and Judicial Environment. 3.3.3 Corruption Practices. 3.4 Macroeconomic Risks. 3.4.1 Foreign Currency and Monetary Issues. 3.4.2 Financial and Private Debt Issues. 3.4.3 Fiscal and Public Debt Issues. 3.4.4 Trade Issues. 3.5 Microeconomic Risks. 3.5.1 Supply-Side Risks. 3.5.2 Demand-Side Risks. 3.6 Sanitary, Health, Industrial, and Environmental Risks. 3.6.1 Sanitary and Health Risks. 3.6.2 Industrial Risk. 3.6.3 Environmental
Risk. 3.7 Natural and Climate Risks. 3.7.1 Natural Risk. 3.7.2 Climate Risk . 30 34 37 44 53 53 55 60 61 68 75 89 90 90 91 93 95 95 101 103 104 104 107 109 110 Ill 112 114 116 118 118 121 122 122 123 124 124 124 125
xiii Contents Appendix 1 : International Political Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017. Appendix 2: Domestic Political Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017. Appendix 3: Jurisdiction Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017. Appendix 4: Macroeconomic Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017. Appendix 5: Microeconomic Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017. Appendix 6: Sanitary, Health, Industrial, Technological, Environmental, Natural, and Climate Risks Perceived by DJIA Firms, 2016-2017. References. Part II 4 5 126 127 128 129 131 132 133 Sovereign and Country Risk Indicators Sovereign Risk Indicators. 4.1 Sovereign Rating Methodologies. 4.1.1 Sovereign Ratings Issued by Moody’s and Standard Poor’s. 4.1.2 Institutional Investor Ratings. 4.1.3 Euromoney Country Risk Ratings. 4.2 Performance of Sovereign Risk Indicators. 4.2.1 The Debt Crisis of
1982. 4.2.2 The Eurozone Crisis of 2009-2013. 4.2.3 The Sovereign Bond Years (1995-2013). 4.3 General Comments. 4.3.1 Redrafting Sovereign Rating Methodologies. 4.3.2 Evolution of Sovereign Ratings during the Globalization Era. 4.3.3 Ratings Convergence and Divergence. Appendix: Ratings Assigned by Institutional Investor, Euromoney Country Risk, Moody’s, and S P as of 1 September 2016. References. 143 143 Country Risk Indicators. 5.1 Country Risk Rating Methodologies. 5.1.1 ICRG Methodology. 5.1.2 Credendo’s Country Risk Methodologies. 5.1.3 OECD’s Country Risk Classification. 5.1.4 The Heritage Foundation’s Index of Economic Freedom. 191 192 192 198 199 144 149 150 153 154 160 166 174 174 178 180 183 188 200
Contents XIV 5.1.5 6 The Fraser Institute’s Economic Freedom of the World Index. 5.1.6 The World Economic Forum’s Growth Competitiveness Index and Global Competitiveness Index. 5.2 Country Risk Shocks. 5.2.1 Methodology. 5.2.2 Major Episodes of International Political Violence. 5.2.3 Major Episodes of Domestic Political Violence. 5.2.4 Expropriation Acts. 5.2.5 High-Inflation Peaks. 5.2.6 Deep Economic Depressions. 5.2.7 Significant Restrictions on Capital Flows. 5.2.8 Sovereign Debt Crises. 5.2.9 Exceptional Natural Disasters. 5.2.10 Comments on the Country Risk Crises Identified. 5.3 Performance of Country Risk Indicators. 5.3.1 Methodology. 5.3.2 Performance of Euromoney’s Country Risk Ratings. 5.3.3 Performance of ICRG’s Country Risk Ratings. 5.3.4 Performance of Credendo’s Country Risk Ratings. 5.3.5 Performance of OECD’s Country Risk
Ratings. 5.3.6 Performance of IEF’s Country Risk Ratings. 5.3.7 Performance of EFW’s Country Risk Ratings. 5.3.8 Performance of the Growth Cl and the GCI. 5.4 General Comments. 5.4.1 Country Risk Indicators and Types of Risks. 5.4.2 Improving Country Risk Methodologies. 5.4.3 Evolution of Country Risk Ratings During the Globalization Era. 5.4.4 Ratings Correlations. Appendix: List of the 272 “Country Risk Crises,” 1985-2014 . References. 243 247 248 255 Concluding Remarks. References. 257 259 202 206 210 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 218 219 219 220 223 225 226 228 231 235 236 237 239 |
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| spelling | Gaillard, Norbert Verfasser (DE-588)1216263191 aut Country risk the bane of foreign investors Norbert Gaillard Cham Springer [2020] xiv, 259 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd rswk-swf Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd rswk-swf Mikroökonomie (DE-588)4039225-9 gnd rswk-swf Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 gnd rswk-swf Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 s Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 s Mikroökonomie (DE-588)4039225-9 s Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-030-45788-4 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=032223154&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Gaillard, Norbert Country risk the bane of foreign investors Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Mikroökonomie (DE-588)4039225-9 gnd Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4065468-0 (DE-588)4037174-8 (DE-588)4039225-9 (DE-588)4557997-0 |
| title | Country risk the bane of foreign investors |
| title_auth | Country risk the bane of foreign investors |
| title_exact_search | Country risk the bane of foreign investors |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Country risk the bane of foreign investors |
| title_full | Country risk the bane of foreign investors Norbert Gaillard |
| title_fullStr | Country risk the bane of foreign investors Norbert Gaillard |
| title_full_unstemmed | Country risk the bane of foreign investors Norbert Gaillard |
| title_short | Country risk |
| title_sort | country risk the bane of foreign investors |
| title_sub | the bane of foreign investors |
| topic | Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Makroökonomie (DE-588)4037174-8 gnd Mikroökonomie (DE-588)4039225-9 gnd Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Weltwirtschaft Makroökonomie Mikroökonomie Globalisierung |
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