The turnout myth: voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections
This book refutes the widely held convention that high turnout in national elections advantages Democratic candidates while low turnout helps Republicans. It examines over fifty years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senate, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect assoc...
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
New York, NY
Oxford University Press
[2020]
|
Schlagworte: | |
Zusammenfassung: | This book refutes the widely held convention that high turnout in national elections advantages Democratic candidates while low turnout helps Republicans. It examines over fifty years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senate, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. The overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated. Most significant, there is no observable party bias to turnout when each office or seat is examined through time. In some states, across the decades, gubernatorial and senatorial contests show a pro-Democratic bias to turnout; in others an increase in turnout helps Republicans. The pattern repeats for House elections during the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and through the 2010s. The analysis demonstrates that, within the range that turnout varies in American elections, it is the participation and abstention of easily influenced, less engaged citizens - peripheral voters - that move the outcome between the parties. These voters are the most influenced when the short-term forces of the election - differential candidate appeal, issues, scandals, and so forth - help the parties. Since these influences advantage Republicans as often as Democrats, the oscillation in turnout that coincides with pro-GOP and pro-Democratic forces leaves turnout rates inconsequential overall. The connections between short-term forces and the election cycle dominate the inconsistent partisan effects of turnout |
Beschreibung: | x, 200 Seiten Diagramme |
ISBN: | 9780190089467 9780190089450 |
Internformat
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336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
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520 | 3 | |a This book refutes the widely held convention that high turnout in national elections advantages Democratic candidates while low turnout helps Republicans. It examines over fifty years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senate, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. The overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated. Most significant, there is no observable party bias to turnout when each office or seat is examined through time. In some states, across the decades, gubernatorial and senatorial contests show a pro-Democratic bias to turnout; in others an increase in turnout helps Republicans. The pattern repeats for House elections during the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and through the 2010s. The analysis demonstrates that, within the range that turnout varies in American elections, it is the participation and abstention of easily influenced, less engaged citizens - peripheral voters - that move the outcome between the parties. These voters are the most influenced when the short-term forces of the election - differential candidate appeal, issues, scandals, and so forth - help the parties. Since these influences advantage Republicans as often as Democrats, the oscillation in turnout that coincides with pro-GOP and pro-Democratic forces leaves turnout rates inconsequential overall. The connections between short-term forces and the election cycle dominate the inconsistent partisan effects of turnout | |
648 | 7 | |a Geschichte 1970-2020 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
650 | 0 | 7 | |a Wahlbeteiligung |0 (DE-588)4188909-5 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
650 | 0 | 7 | |a Wahl |0 (DE-588)4064286-0 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
651 | 7 | |a USA |0 (DE-588)4078704-7 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
653 | 0 | |a Voter turnout / United States | |
653 | 0 | |a Political participation / United States | |
653 | 0 | |a Voting research / United States | |
653 | 0 | |a Political participation | |
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689 | 0 | 3 | |a Geschichte 1970-2020 |A z |
689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
700 | 1 | |a Petrocik, John R. |d 1944- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)138649057 |4 aut | |
940 | 1 | |q BSB_NED_20200422 | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_txt | |
any_adam_object | |
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author | Shaw, Daron R. 1966- Petrocik, John R. 1944- |
author_GND | (DE-588)132912538 (DE-588)138649057 |
author_facet | Shaw, Daron R. 1966- Petrocik, John R. 1944- |
author_role | aut aut |
author_sort | Shaw, Daron R. 1966- |
author_variant | d r s dr drs j r p jr jrp |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV046649282 |
classification_rvk | MG 70400 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1151455152 (DE-599)BVBBV046649282 |
dewey-full | 324.60973 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 324 - The political process |
dewey-raw | 324.60973 |
dewey-search | 324.60973 |
dewey-sort | 3324.60973 |
dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
discipline | Politologie |
discipline_str_mv | Politologie |
era | Geschichte 1970-2020 gnd |
era_facet | Geschichte 1970-2020 |
format | Book |
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spelling | Shaw, Daron R. 1966- Verfasser (DE-588)132912538 aut The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections Daron R. Shaw and John R. Petrocik New York, NY Oxford University Press [2020] © 2020 x, 200 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier This book refutes the widely held convention that high turnout in national elections advantages Democratic candidates while low turnout helps Republicans. It examines over fifty years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senate, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. The overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated. Most significant, there is no observable party bias to turnout when each office or seat is examined through time. In some states, across the decades, gubernatorial and senatorial contests show a pro-Democratic bias to turnout; in others an increase in turnout helps Republicans. The pattern repeats for House elections during the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and through the 2010s. The analysis demonstrates that, within the range that turnout varies in American elections, it is the participation and abstention of easily influenced, less engaged citizens - peripheral voters - that move the outcome between the parties. These voters are the most influenced when the short-term forces of the election - differential candidate appeal, issues, scandals, and so forth - help the parties. Since these influences advantage Republicans as often as Democrats, the oscillation in turnout that coincides with pro-GOP and pro-Democratic forces leaves turnout rates inconsequential overall. The connections between short-term forces and the election cycle dominate the inconsistent partisan effects of turnout Geschichte 1970-2020 gnd rswk-swf Wahlbeteiligung (DE-588)4188909-5 gnd rswk-swf Wahl (DE-588)4064286-0 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf Voter turnout / United States Political participation / United States Voting research / United States Political participation Voter turnout Voting research United States USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Wahl (DE-588)4064286-0 s Wahlbeteiligung (DE-588)4188909-5 s Geschichte 1970-2020 z DE-604 Petrocik, John R. 1944- Verfasser (DE-588)138649057 aut |
spellingShingle | Shaw, Daron R. 1966- Petrocik, John R. 1944- The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections Wahlbeteiligung (DE-588)4188909-5 gnd Wahl (DE-588)4064286-0 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4188909-5 (DE-588)4064286-0 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
title | The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections |
title_auth | The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections |
title_exact_search | The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections |
title_exact_search_txtP | The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections |
title_full | The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections Daron R. Shaw and John R. Petrocik |
title_fullStr | The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections Daron R. Shaw and John R. Petrocik |
title_full_unstemmed | The turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections Daron R. Shaw and John R. Petrocik |
title_short | The turnout myth |
title_sort | the turnout myth voting rates and partisan outcomes in american national elections |
title_sub | voting rates and partisan outcomes in American national elections |
topic | Wahlbeteiligung (DE-588)4188909-5 gnd Wahl (DE-588)4064286-0 gnd |
topic_facet | Wahlbeteiligung Wahl USA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT shawdaronr theturnoutmythvotingratesandpartisanoutcomesinamericannationalelections AT petrocikjohnr theturnoutmythvotingratesandpartisanoutcomesinamericannationalelections |