The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare: social manipulation in a changing information environment
The evolution of advanced information environments is rapidly creating a new category of possible cyberaggression that involves efforts to manipulate or disrupt the information foundations of the effective functioning of economic and social systems. RAND researchers are calling this growing threat v...
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Elektronisch Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA
RAND
2019
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Schlagworte: | |
Zusammenfassung: | The evolution of advanced information environments is rapidly creating a new category of possible cyberaggression that involves efforts to manipulate or disrupt the information foundations of the effective functioning of economic and social systems. RAND researchers are calling this growing threat virtual societal warfare in an analysis of its characteristics and implications for the future. To understand the risk of virtual societal warfare, the authors surveyed evidence in a range of categories to sketch out some initial contours of how these techniques might evolve in the future. They grounded the assessment in (1) detailed research on trends in the changing character of the information environment in the United States and other advanced democracies; (2) the insights of social science research on attitudes and beliefs; and (3) developments in relevant emerging technologies that bear on the practices of hostile social manipulation and its more elaborate and dangerous cousin, virtual societal warfare. The authors then provide three scenarios for how social manipulation could affect advanced societies over the next decade. The analysis suggests an initial set of characteristics that can help define the emerging challenge of virtual societal warfare, including that national security will increasingly rely on a resilient information environment and a strong social topography, and that conflict will increasingly be waged between and among networks. Although more research is urgently required, the authors conclude by pointing to several initial avenues of response to enhance democratic resilience in the face of this growing risk, including by building forms of inoculation and resilience against the worst forms of information-based social manipulation and by better understanding the workings and vulnerabilities of emerging technologies |
Beschreibung: | "RAND National Defense Research Institute." "Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense." "This research was ... conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Defense Research Institute"--Preface (page iii) |
Beschreibung: | xxi, 193 pages 23 cm |
ISBN: | 9781977402721 |
Internformat
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500 | |a "Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense." | ||
500 | |a "This research was ... conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Defense Research Institute"--Preface (page iii) | ||
505 | 8 | |a A New Form of Conflict -- The Evolving Infosphere -- Insights from Social Science -- Emerging Technologies -- Future 1: The Death of Reality (2025 Scenario) -- Future 2: Silos of Belief (2024 Scenario) -- Future 3: The Rise of the Algorithms (2026 Scenario) -- The Emerging Risk of Virtual Societal Warfare | |
520 | 3 | |a The evolution of advanced information environments is rapidly creating a new category of possible cyberaggression that involves efforts to manipulate or disrupt the information foundations of the effective functioning of economic and social systems. RAND researchers are calling this growing threat virtual societal warfare in an analysis of its characteristics and implications for the future. To understand the risk of virtual societal warfare, the authors surveyed evidence in a range of categories to sketch out some initial contours of how these techniques might evolve in the future. They grounded the assessment in (1) detailed research on trends in the changing character of the information environment in the United States and other advanced democracies; (2) the insights of social science research on attitudes and beliefs; and (3) developments in relevant emerging technologies that bear on the practices of hostile social manipulation and its more elaborate and dangerous cousin, virtual societal warfare. The authors then provide three scenarios for how social manipulation could affect advanced societies over the next decade. The analysis suggests an initial set of characteristics that can help define the emerging challenge of virtual societal warfare, including that national security will increasingly rely on a resilient information environment and a strong social topography, and that conflict will increasingly be waged between and among networks. Although more research is urgently required, the authors conclude by pointing to several initial avenues of response to enhance democratic resilience in the face of this growing risk, including by building forms of inoculation and resilience against the worst forms of information-based social manipulation and by better understanding the workings and vulnerabilities of emerging technologies | |
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650 | 0 | 7 | |a Manipulation |0 (DE-588)4037348-4 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
650 | 0 | 7 | |a Neue Medien |0 (DE-588)4196910-8 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
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653 | 0 | |a Artificial intelligence | |
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653 | 0 | |a Social media / Political aspects | |
653 | 0 | |a Technological innovations / Political aspects | |
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653 | 0 | |a Information warfare | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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any_adam_object | |
author | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- |
author_GND | (DE-588)132965380 |
author_facet | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- |
author_variant | m j m mj mjm |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV046414623 |
contents | A New Form of Conflict -- The Evolving Infosphere -- Insights from Social Science -- Emerging Technologies -- Future 1: The Death of Reality (2025 Scenario) -- Future 2: Silos of Belief (2024 Scenario) -- Future 3: The Rise of the Algorithms (2026 Scenario) -- The Emerging Risk of Virtual Societal Warfare |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1231961650 (DE-599)BVBBV046414623 |
format | Electronic Book |
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language | English |
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physical | xxi, 193 pages 23 cm |
publishDate | 2019 |
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spelling | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- Verfasser (DE-588)132965380 aut The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment Michael J. Mazarr, Ryan Michael Bauer, Abigail Casey, Sarah Anita Heintz, Luke J. Matthews Santa Monica, CA RAND 2019 xxi, 193 pages 23 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia c rdamedia nc rdacarrier cr rdacarrier "RAND National Defense Research Institute." "Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense." "This research was ... conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Defense Research Institute"--Preface (page iii) A New Form of Conflict -- The Evolving Infosphere -- Insights from Social Science -- Emerging Technologies -- Future 1: The Death of Reality (2025 Scenario) -- Future 2: Silos of Belief (2024 Scenario) -- Future 3: The Rise of the Algorithms (2026 Scenario) -- The Emerging Risk of Virtual Societal Warfare The evolution of advanced information environments is rapidly creating a new category of possible cyberaggression that involves efforts to manipulate or disrupt the information foundations of the effective functioning of economic and social systems. RAND researchers are calling this growing threat virtual societal warfare in an analysis of its characteristics and implications for the future. To understand the risk of virtual societal warfare, the authors surveyed evidence in a range of categories to sketch out some initial contours of how these techniques might evolve in the future. They grounded the assessment in (1) detailed research on trends in the changing character of the information environment in the United States and other advanced democracies; (2) the insights of social science research on attitudes and beliefs; and (3) developments in relevant emerging technologies that bear on the practices of hostile social manipulation and its more elaborate and dangerous cousin, virtual societal warfare. The authors then provide three scenarios for how social manipulation could affect advanced societies over the next decade. The analysis suggests an initial set of characteristics that can help define the emerging challenge of virtual societal warfare, including that national security will increasingly rely on a resilient information environment and a strong social topography, and that conflict will increasingly be waged between and among networks. Although more research is urgently required, the authors conclude by pointing to several initial avenues of response to enhance democratic resilience in the face of this growing risk, including by building forms of inoculation and resilience against the worst forms of information-based social manipulation and by better understanding the workings and vulnerabilities of emerging technologies Information warfare (DE-588)4461975-3 gnd rswk-swf Manipulation (DE-588)4037348-4 gnd rswk-swf Neue Medien (DE-588)4196910-8 gnd rswk-swf Information warfare Artificial intelligence Big data Computer crimes Internet / Social aspects Social media / Political aspects Technological innovations / Political aspects Democracy Propaganda Persuasion (Psychology) Neue Medien (DE-588)4196910-8 s Manipulation (DE-588)4037348-4 s Information warfare (DE-588)4461975-3 s DE-604 |
spellingShingle | Mazarr, Michael J. 1965- The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment A New Form of Conflict -- The Evolving Infosphere -- Insights from Social Science -- Emerging Technologies -- Future 1: The Death of Reality (2025 Scenario) -- Future 2: Silos of Belief (2024 Scenario) -- Future 3: The Rise of the Algorithms (2026 Scenario) -- The Emerging Risk of Virtual Societal Warfare Information warfare (DE-588)4461975-3 gnd Manipulation (DE-588)4037348-4 gnd Neue Medien (DE-588)4196910-8 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4461975-3 (DE-588)4037348-4 (DE-588)4196910-8 |
title | The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment |
title_auth | The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment |
title_exact_search | The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment |
title_full | The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment Michael J. Mazarr, Ryan Michael Bauer, Abigail Casey, Sarah Anita Heintz, Luke J. Matthews |
title_fullStr | The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment Michael J. Mazarr, Ryan Michael Bauer, Abigail Casey, Sarah Anita Heintz, Luke J. Matthews |
title_full_unstemmed | The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment Michael J. Mazarr, Ryan Michael Bauer, Abigail Casey, Sarah Anita Heintz, Luke J. Matthews |
title_short | The emerging risk of virtual societal warfare |
title_sort | the emerging risk of virtual societal warfare social manipulation in a changing information environment |
title_sub | social manipulation in a changing information environment |
topic | Information warfare (DE-588)4461975-3 gnd Manipulation (DE-588)4037348-4 gnd Neue Medien (DE-588)4196910-8 gnd |
topic_facet | Information warfare Manipulation Neue Medien |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mazarrmichaelj theemergingriskofvirtualsocietalwarfaresocialmanipulationinachanginginformationenvironment |