Decision making for leaders: the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Pittsburgh, PA
RWS Publications
2012
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| Ausgabe: | Third edition |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XII, 343 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 096203178X 9780962031786 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents Preface ix Introduction 1 1. Making Decisions in a Complex World Coping with Complexity 3 Rationale for a New Framework 4 Organizing Knowledge for Decisions 5 Ethical Considerations 10 Perspective 12 Key Concepts 13 3 2. The Analytic Hierarchy Process What it is and How it Works 15 Principles of Analytic Thinking 17 Measurement 18 AHP: A Flexible Model for Decision Making 23 Perspective 24 Key Concepts 28 14 3. Analyzing and Structuring Hierarchies Hierarchies: A Tool of the Mind 30 Classifying Hierarchies 30 Constructing Hierarchies 31 29
VI DECISION MAKING FOR LEADERS How to Structure a Hierarchy 34 Perspective 35 Key Concepts 36 4. Practical Examples of Hierarchies An Approach to Hierarchies 38 Business Decisions 40 Personal and Domestic Decisions 48 Public Policy Decisions 53 Planning Economic Policies 59 Estimating and Predicting 61 Measuring Influences 64 Representing Systems Networks 65 Perspective 67 37 5. Establishing Priorities The Need for Priorities 71 Making Judgments 71 Deriving Priorities 74 Consistency 80 Two Concrete Examples 84 Extending the Process 86 Perspective 91 Key Concepts 91 70 6. Step-by-Step Examples of the Process An Outline of the Steps 94 Analyzing the Hostage Rescue Operation 95 Determining Consumer Preference 102 Estimating the Economy’s Impact on Sales 106 Selecting a Portfolio 108 How Valid is the Process? 117 Perspective 118 93 7. Details of the AHP in a Nutshell How to Structure a Hierarchy 120 The Hospice Problem 120 Approaching the Problem 121 Judgements and Comparisons 125 The Distributive and Ideal Modes 130 A Sustainable Metropolitan Growth Problem 133 119
CONTENTS vu Criteria and Subcriteria Matrices 133 Absolute Measurement 136 Combining Absolute and Relative Measurement 140 Observation on Subsequent Examples 140 Sensitivity Analysis 140 Homogeneity and Clustering 142 What to do When Known Scales are Involved 143 Transforming Scale Readings to Priorities 145 Problems with Analytic Decision Making 145 An Example of Rank Reversal 146 How Close are Two Ratio Scales 147 Perspective 149 Key Concepts 149 8. Planning Charting the Future 153 Approaches to Planning 153 Scenarios 155 Perspective 156 Key Concepts 157 152 9. Practical Examples of Planning Five Glimpses into the Future 159 Forward Planning: The Future of Higher Education 159 Forward Planning: Projecting Oil Prices 166 Backward Planning: The Sudan Transport Study 172 Forward-Backward Planning: The Future of the Steel Industry 177 Forward-Backward Planning: Dealing with Traffic Congestion 186 Perspective 200 158 10. Resolving Conflict Working Forward and Backward 203 First Forward Process 203 First Backward Process 204 Second Forward Process 205 Second Backward Process 205 Perspective 205 Key Concepts 206 202
DECISION MAKING FOR LEADERS 11. Practical Examples of Conflict Resolution 207 Seeking a Better Way Out 208 Forward-Backward Conflict Resolution: Conflict in Northern Ireland 208 Forward-Backward Conflict Resolution: Logan Airport and the East Boston Community 218 Perspective 220 12. Analyzing Benefit/Cost Decisions and Resource Allocation How the Process Can Help 223 Problems of Benefit/Cost Analysis 224 Structuring Benefit/Cost Hierarchies 227 Resource Allocation 229 Perspective 230 Key Concepts 231 222 13. Practical Examples of Benefit/Cost Analysis and Resource Allocation 232 Short-Term and Long-Term Decisions 233 Allocating Resources for an R D Program 233 Deciding on a Home Computer 237 Selecting a Portfolio for a Corporation 241 Resource Allocation of Projects for a Multinational Corporation 253 Manpower Allocation 256 Perspective 260 14. Making Group Decisions Group Sessions: The Promise and the Problems 263 Conducting Group Sessions 263 Getting the Best Results 268 Using Questionnaires 269 Introducing the AHP in Your Organization 271 Perspective 271 Key Concepts 272 262 15. A Practical Example of Group Decision Making Working Toward Consensus 275 Setting Priorities for Health Care Research Projects 275 Perspective 289 274 Appendix - Decision Making, Scaling and Number Crunching Abstract 290 Introduction 290 290
CONTENTS їх Expectations, Scales, and Manipulations 291 A General Approach to Ratio Scale Measurement 295 Summary 296 References 296 Some Observations on Scales and Consistency 297 Appendix 2 - Validation Examples Estimate Relative Sizes of Areas 303 Optics Example 307 Relative Consumption of Drinks 309 Relative Amount of Protein in Seven Foods 310 Relative Weights of Objects 311 Relative Electric Consumption - Household Appliances 312 Relative Wealth of Seven Nations 313 Karpov-Korchnoi Chess Match Prediction 314 Monetary Exchange Rate - Dollar Versus the Yen 3316 Estimating Number of Children in Rural Indian Families 317 Predicting Decision by US Congress on China Trade Relations 318 Network Validation Examples 323 302 References 328 Index 337
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| isbn | 096203178X 9780962031786 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Saaty, Thomas L. Verfasser aut Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world Thomas L. Saaty Third edition Pittsburgh, PA RWS Publications 2012 XII, 343 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Entscheidungsprozess (DE-588)4121202-2 gnd rswk-swf Analytic Hierarchy Process (DE-588)4225065-1 gnd rswk-swf Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd rswk-swf Analytic Hierarchy Process (DE-588)4225065-1 s Entscheidungsprozess (DE-588)4121202-2 s Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 s 1\p DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=031424151&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Saaty, Thomas L. Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world Entscheidungsprozess (DE-588)4121202-2 gnd Analytic Hierarchy Process (DE-588)4225065-1 gnd Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd |
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| title | Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world |
| title_auth | Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world |
| title_exact_search | Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world |
| title_full | Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world Thomas L. Saaty |
| title_fullStr | Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world Thomas L. Saaty |
| title_full_unstemmed | Decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world Thomas L. Saaty |
| title_short | Decision making for leaders |
| title_sort | decision making for leaders the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world |
| title_sub | the analytic hierarchy process for decisions in a complex world |
| topic | Entscheidungsprozess (DE-588)4121202-2 gnd Analytic Hierarchy Process (DE-588)4225065-1 gnd Komplexität (DE-588)4135369-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Entscheidungsprozess Analytic Hierarchy Process Komplexität |
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