International futures: building and using global models
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London
Academic Press, an imprint of Elsevier
[2019]
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | xiv, 328 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9780128042717 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents I֊ 4.1 Structural Overview of IFs 61 4-2 The User Interface of IFs 66 4.3 Users and Uses of IFs 68 4.4 Looking Ahead 70 References 71 The Future of Human Development Introduction 1.1 What Path Are We On? 2 1.2 What Leverage Do We Have? 3 1.3 How Do We Address Uncertainty? 1.4 The Plan of the Volume 5 References 6 Introducing International Futures 4. Prologue vii Glossary I: Mode! Acronyms and Abbreviations ix Glossary II: Modeling-Related Concepts, Tools, and Databases xi Glossary III: Organizations, Projects, and Teams xiii 5.1 Population 77 5.2 Health 93 5.3 Education 106 5.4 Human Development in Summary 5.5 Conclusion 120 References 121 4 6. Building a Global Model: The Toolkit 2.1 Identifying Concepts Individually and in Systems 7 2.2 Assembling Data 11 2.3 Understanding Past and Ongoing dobál Transitions 14 2.4 Building Dynamic Formulations: Equations and Much More 16 2.5 Using the Model and Exploring Uncertainty 25 2.6 Assessing and Addressing Model Strengths and Weaknesses 27 References 31 118 The Future of Socioeconomic Development 6.1 Economics 125 6.2 Government Finance 153 6.3 Domestic Governance and the Sociopolitical System 163 6.4 Intemational/Global Politics 178 6.5 Conclusion 190 References 190 Further Reading 198 7. The Future of Sustainable Development The Evolution of Global Modeling 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 Agriculture and Food 200 Energy 216 Infrastructure 232 Human Impacts on Biophysical Systems: An Introductory Note 240 7.5 Climate Change 242 7.6 Water Systems 252 7.7 Conclusion 263 References 263 3.1 Early Global Modeling With Multiple-Issue, Long-
Term Systems 33 3.2 Integrated Assessment Models 37 3.3 Status of and Challenges for Global Model Building and Use 47 3.4 Final Comments on Global Model Evolution and Challenges 54 References 54 v
CONTENTS VI Feedbacks and Disruption: Sources of Uncertainty 8.1 Biophysical System Linkages Back to Human Ones: The Impact oí Change 269 8.2 Technology 282 8.3 Concluding Remarks 285 References 286 Looking Ahead: Global Models and the IFs System 9.1 Thinking About the Future: Uncertainties 290 9.2 Exploring Uncertain Futures: Scenarios 295 9.5 Creating Better Futures: Policy Analysis Scenarios 501 9.4 Next Steps in Global Modeling—And in the Development of IFs 505 References 506 Index 309 Author Index 319
|
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| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T08:28:47Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780128042717 |
| language | English |
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| physical | xiv, 328 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2019 |
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| publisher | Academic Press, an imprint of Elsevier |
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| spelling | Hughes, Barry 1945- Verfasser (DE-588)128702923 aut International futures building and using global models Barry B. Hughes London Academic Press, an imprint of Elsevier [2019] xiv, 328 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Weltordnung (DE-588)4126263-3 gnd rswk-swf Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 gnd rswk-swf Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 s Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 s Weltordnung (DE-588)4126263-3 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=031245110&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Hughes, Barry 1945- International futures building and using global models Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Weltordnung (DE-588)4126263-3 gnd Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4072885-7 (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4126263-3 (DE-588)4068097-6 |
| title | International futures building and using global models |
| title_auth | International futures building and using global models |
| title_exact_search | International futures building and using global models |
| title_full | International futures building and using global models Barry B. Hughes |
| title_fullStr | International futures building and using global models Barry B. Hughes |
| title_full_unstemmed | International futures building and using global models Barry B. Hughes |
| title_short | International futures |
| title_sort | international futures building and using global models |
| title_sub | building and using global models |
| topic | Internationale Politik (DE-588)4072885-7 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Weltordnung (DE-588)4126263-3 gnd Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Internationale Politik Prognose Weltordnung Zukunft |
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