Demographics and the demand for higher education:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Baltimore
Johns Hopkins University Press
2018
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | FLA01 |
| Beschreibung: | Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed December 1, 2017) |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (x, 175 pages) |
| ISBN: | 9781421424149 1421424142 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nmm a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV045360985 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 00000000000000.0 | ||
| 007 | cr|uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 181212s2018 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d | ||
| 020 | |a 9781421424149 |9 978-1-4214-2414-9 | ||
| 020 | |a 1421424142 |9 1-4214-2414-2 | ||
| 020 | |a 1421424142 |9 1-4214-2414-2 | ||
| 035 | |a (ZDB-4-EBU)on1013541277 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)1013541277 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV045360985 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rda | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 082 | 0 | |a 378.00973 |2 23 | |
| 100 | 1 | |a Grawe, Nathan D. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Demographics and the demand for higher education |c Nathan D. Grawe |
| 264 | 1 | |a Baltimore |b Johns Hopkins University Press |c 2018 | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (x, 175 pages) | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed December 1, 2017) | ||
| 505 | 8 | |a "Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest--traditional higher education strongholds--expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges"-- | |
| 505 | 8 | |a "The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"-- | |
| 650 | 7 | |a EDUCATION / Higher |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / General |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a EDUCATION / Educational Policy & Reform / General |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Education / Demographic aspects |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Education, Higher / Economic aspects |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Education, Higher / Forecasting |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Population |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Population geography |2 fast | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Universities and colleges / Administration |2 fast | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Education, Higher |z United States |x Forecasting |a Education, Higher |x Economic aspects |z United States |a Education |x Demographic aspects |z United States |a Universities and colleges |z United States |x Administration |a Population geography |z United States | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Bedarfsplanung |0 (DE-588)4120983-7 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Hochschule |0 (DE-588)4072560-1 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Bevölkerungsentwicklung |0 (DE-588)4006292-2 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 651 | 7 | |a USA |0 (DE-588)4078704-7 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a USA |0 (DE-588)4078704-7 |D g |
| 689 | 0 | 1 | |a Hochschule |0 (DE-588)4072560-1 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | 2 | |a Bevölkerungsentwicklung |0 (DE-588)4006292-2 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | 3 | |a Bedarfsplanung |0 (DE-588)4120983-7 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | |8 1\p |5 DE-604 | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Druck-Ausgabe |a Grawe, Nathan D. |t Demographics and the demand for higher education |d Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press, 2018 |z 1421424134 |z 9781421424132 |
| 912 | |a ZDB-4-EBU | ||
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-030747577 | ||
| 883 | 1 | |8 1\p |a cgwrk |d 20201028 |q DE-101 |u https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk | |
| 966 | e | |u http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1501196 |l FLA01 |p ZDB-4-EBU |q FLA_PDA_EBU |x Aggregator |3 Volltext | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804179194388676608 |
|---|---|
| any_adam_object | |
| author | Grawe, Nathan D. |
| author_facet | Grawe, Nathan D. |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Grawe, Nathan D. |
| author_variant | n d g nd ndg |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV045360985 |
| collection | ZDB-4-EBU |
| contents | "Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest--traditional higher education strongholds--expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges"-- "The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"-- |
| ctrlnum | (ZDB-4-EBU)on1013541277 (OCoLC)1013541277 (DE-599)BVBBV045360985 |
| dewey-full | 378.00973 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 378 - Higher education (Tertiary education) |
| dewey-raw | 378.00973 |
| dewey-search | 378.00973 |
| dewey-sort | 3378.00973 |
| dewey-tens | 370 - Education |
| discipline | Pädagogik |
| format | Electronic eBook |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>06123nmm a2200613zc 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV045360985</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">00000000000000.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr|uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">181212s2018 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9781421424149</subfield><subfield code="9">978-1-4214-2414-9</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1421424142</subfield><subfield code="9">1-4214-2414-2</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1421424142</subfield><subfield code="9">1-4214-2414-2</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ZDB-4-EBU)on1013541277</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)1013541277</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV045360985</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">378.00973</subfield><subfield code="2">23</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Grawe, Nathan D.</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Demographics and the demand for higher education</subfield><subfield code="c">Nathan D. Grawe</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Baltimore</subfield><subfield code="b">Johns Hopkins University Press</subfield><subfield code="c">2018</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 online resource (x, 175 pages)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed December 1, 2017)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest--traditional higher education strongholds--expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges"--</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="8" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"--</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">EDUCATION / Higher</subfield><subfield code="2">bisacsh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / General</subfield><subfield code="2">bisacsh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography</subfield><subfield code="2">bisacsh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">EDUCATION / Educational Policy & Reform / General</subfield><subfield code="2">bisacsh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Education / Demographic aspects</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Education, Higher / Economic aspects</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Education, Higher / Forecasting</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Population</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Population geography</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Universities and colleges / Administration</subfield><subfield code="2">fast</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Education, Higher</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">Forecasting</subfield><subfield code="a">Education, Higher</subfield><subfield code="x">Economic aspects</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="a">Education</subfield><subfield code="x">Demographic aspects</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="a">Universities and colleges</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">Administration</subfield><subfield code="a">Population geography</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Bedarfsplanung</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4120983-7</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Hochschule</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4072560-1</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Bevölkerungsentwicklung</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4006292-2</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">USA</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4078704-7</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">USA</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4078704-7</subfield><subfield code="D">g</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Hochschule</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4072560-1</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="2"><subfield code="a">Bevölkerungsentwicklung</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4006292-2</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="3"><subfield code="a">Bedarfsplanung</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4120983-7</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="8">1\p</subfield><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Druck-Ausgabe</subfield><subfield code="a">Grawe, Nathan D.</subfield><subfield code="t">Demographics and the demand for higher education</subfield><subfield code="d">Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press, 2018</subfield><subfield code="z">1421424134</subfield><subfield code="z">9781421424132</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-4-EBU</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-030747577</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="883" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="8">1\p</subfield><subfield code="a">cgwrk</subfield><subfield code="d">20201028</subfield><subfield code="q">DE-101</subfield><subfield code="u">https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=1501196</subfield><subfield code="l">FLA01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-4-EBU</subfield><subfield code="q">FLA_PDA_EBU</subfield><subfield code="x">Aggregator</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| geographic | USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd |
| geographic_facet | USA |
| id | DE-604.BV045360985 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T08:15:59Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781421424149 1421424142 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-030747577 |
| oclc_num | 1013541277 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| physical | 1 online resource (x, 175 pages) |
| psigel | ZDB-4-EBU ZDB-4-EBU FLA_PDA_EBU |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publishDateSearch | 2018 |
| publishDateSort | 2018 |
| publisher | Johns Hopkins University Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Grawe, Nathan D. Verfasser aut Demographics and the demand for higher education Nathan D. Grawe Baltimore Johns Hopkins University Press 2018 1 online resource (x, 175 pages) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed December 1, 2017) "Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest--traditional higher education strongholds--expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges"-- "The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"-- EDUCATION / Higher bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / General bisacsh SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography bisacsh EDUCATION / Educational Policy & Reform / General bisacsh Education / Demographic aspects fast Education, Higher / Economic aspects fast Education, Higher / Forecasting fast Population fast Population geography fast Universities and colleges / Administration fast Education, Higher United States Forecasting Education, Higher Economic aspects United States Education Demographic aspects United States Universities and colleges United States Administration Population geography United States Bedarfsplanung (DE-588)4120983-7 gnd rswk-swf Hochschule (DE-588)4072560-1 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Hochschule (DE-588)4072560-1 s Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s Bedarfsplanung (DE-588)4120983-7 s 1\p DE-604 Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Grawe, Nathan D. Demographics and the demand for higher education Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press, 2018 1421424134 9781421424132 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Grawe, Nathan D. Demographics and the demand for higher education "Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest--traditional higher education strongholds--expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges"-- "The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"-- EDUCATION / Higher bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / General bisacsh SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography bisacsh EDUCATION / Educational Policy & Reform / General bisacsh Education / Demographic aspects fast Education, Higher / Economic aspects fast Education, Higher / Forecasting fast Population fast Population geography fast Universities and colleges / Administration fast Education, Higher United States Forecasting Education, Higher Economic aspects United States Education Demographic aspects United States Universities and colleges United States Administration Population geography United States Bedarfsplanung (DE-588)4120983-7 gnd Hochschule (DE-588)4072560-1 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4120983-7 (DE-588)4072560-1 (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | Demographics and the demand for higher education |
| title_auth | Demographics and the demand for higher education |
| title_exact_search | Demographics and the demand for higher education |
| title_full | Demographics and the demand for higher education Nathan D. Grawe |
| title_fullStr | Demographics and the demand for higher education Nathan D. Grawe |
| title_full_unstemmed | Demographics and the demand for higher education Nathan D. Grawe |
| title_short | Demographics and the demand for higher education |
| title_sort | demographics and the demand for higher education |
| topic | EDUCATION / Higher bisacsh BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / General bisacsh SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography bisacsh EDUCATION / Educational Policy & Reform / General bisacsh Education / Demographic aspects fast Education, Higher / Economic aspects fast Education, Higher / Forecasting fast Population fast Population geography fast Universities and colleges / Administration fast Education, Higher United States Forecasting Education, Higher Economic aspects United States Education Demographic aspects United States Universities and colleges United States Administration Population geography United States Bedarfsplanung (DE-588)4120983-7 gnd Hochschule (DE-588)4072560-1 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | EDUCATION / Higher BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / General SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography EDUCATION / Educational Policy & Reform / General Education / Demographic aspects Education, Higher / Economic aspects Education, Higher / Forecasting Population Population geography Universities and colleges / Administration Education, Higher United States Forecasting Education, Higher Economic aspects United States Education Demographic aspects United States Universities and colleges United States Administration Population geography United States Bedarfsplanung Hochschule Bevölkerungsentwicklung USA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT grawenathand demographicsandthedemandforhighereducation |