Politici publice complexe: tehnici şi repere
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Romanian |
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Chişinău
Cartier
2016
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| Ausgabe: | Ediţia I. |
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| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Literaturverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 715 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9789975860475 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CUPRINS PREFAŢĂ..............................................................................................................................1J INTRODUCERE................................................................................................................... 17 CapitolulI. PRECURSORI Şl PARADIGME DE POLITICI PUBLICE.................................... 19 Teorie şi practici decizionale....................................................................................... 19 Roluri şi modele pentru decidenti ca actor raţional................................................... 19 Analiza politică, paradigmele şi contextul care influenţează procesul decizional......36 Tipologii de analiză politică în evaluarea procesului decizional................................ 53 Procesul decizional în teorii, paradigme şi concepte politice...................................... 67 Paradigmele cercetării sociale..................................................................................... 67 Teorii şi curente politice............................................................................................... 70 Teoria pluralistă............................................................................................................ 74 Teoria Instituţionalistă..................................................................................................75 Teoria elitistă................................................................................................................ 77 Teoria de
sistem........................................................................................................... 80 Teoria grupurilor...........................................................................................................82 Teoria alegerii raţionale (TAR)...................................................................................... 86 Teoria alegerii publice................................................................................... 93 Teoria economiei publice.......................................................................................... 100 Problema bunurilor publice....................................................................................... 103 Externalităţile............................................................................................................ 110 Conceptul „blatistului („free rider ) sau câştigul nemeritat......................................115 Conceptul „eşecului de piaţă .................................................................................... 118 Conceptul „eşecului guvernamental ........................................................................ 120 Conceptul de „elasticitate în politica publică........................................................... 121 Criteriul Pareto şi implicaţiile sale asupra teoriei alegerii publice..............................124 Optimizarea bunăstării sociale: între J. Bentham, Pareto şi Kaldor-Hicks.................. 130 Provocarea lui Rawls...................................................................................................
132 Teoria complexităţii................................................................................................... 134 Originile teoriei complexităţii....................................................................................134 Etichetarea ca mecanism al interacţiunilor adaptive (Tagging)................................. 138 Teoria haosului şi impactul său asupra teoriei complexităţii..................................... 140 Nonliniaritatea şi conceptul de „fluxuri în teoria sistemelor complexe................... 146 Conceptul de „agent adaptabil ................................................................................147 Fractalii în teoria sistemelor complexe adaptive.......................................................151 Statistica de tip boolean............................................................................................ 153 Sistemele complexe adaptive (SCA) în societate........................................................ 157 Teoria jocurilor................................................... 158 Jocul cursei periculoase............................................................................................. 163 Modelul minimax........................................................................................................165 Echilibriul de tip „Nash .............................................................................................. 170 Dilema prizonierului................................................................................................... 173 Arbori decizionali în teoria jocurilor
strategice.......................................................... 178 Conceptul de utilitate în teoria jocurilor......................................................... 183 Note......................................................... 187 CapitolulII. CICLUL PROCESULUI DECIZIONAL Şl ALTERNATIVELE............................. 198 Evoluţia procesului de politici pubiice ca disciplină şi fenomen instituţional...........198 Procesul de stabilire a agendei publice... .................................................................. 198
Actorii procesului decizional....................................................................................... 210 Actorii instituţionali..................................................................................................... 212 Actori noninstituţionali............................................................................................... 219 Actori de convergenţă.................................................................................................222 Forme de interacţiune între actorii sistemului politic (instituţionali vs noninstituţionali).............................................................................. 226 Etapele elaborării unei politici publice: modele şi comparaţii..................................230 Conceptul de „ciclu al politicilor: origini, teorie şi practică......................................230 Probleme de mobilizare a publicului în beneficiul unei viitoare politici: „triggering vs „tagging ............................................................................................. 232 Conceptul de „ciclu politic” ca reprezentare instituţională a procesului decizional................................................................................................ 235 „Curentul de oportunitate şi alte condiţii necesare pentru declanşarea unei politici.................................................................................................................. 239 Punctele de acces şi importanţa lor într-un mediu pluralist......................................247 Teoria echilibrului punctuat (TEP) şi
funcţia grupurilor de lobby în sistemul politicilor publice..................................................................................... 256 Definirea problemei în procesul de politici publice...................................................260 Cum definim o problemă de relevanţă?......................................................................260 Stabilirea agendei în procesul de politici................................................................... 268 Semnalarea problemei şi crearea unei agende la nivel decizional.......................... 268 Reguli pentru declanşarea unei politici.......................................................................270 Considerarea cauzelor şi soluţiilor problemei............................................................ 274 Formularea alternativelor de politici...........................................................................277 Planificarea etapei de formulare................................................................................. 277 Formularea şi designul alternativelor......................................................................... 289 Evaluarea alternativelor de politici............................................................................. 291 Criterii de estimare şi judecare a unor alternative de politici....................................293 Costuri, beneficii şi eficienţă........................................................................................296
Echitatea......................................................................................................................300 Etica şi valorile politice................................................................................................304 Colectarea rapidă de opinii, idei, concepte................................................... 305 Adoptarea politicii....................................................................................................... 310 Un manifest de voinţă şi indicare a cursului de acţiune............................................. 310 Analiza experimentală................................................................................................. 313 Analiza nonacţiunii......................................................................................................314 Asigurarea bugetară a politicilor.................................................................................326 implementarea politicilor............................................................................................328 Teorie şi metode de implementare............................................................................ 328 Evaluarea rezultatelor unor politici............................................................................ 339 încheierea unei politici publice şi conceptul de schimbare....................................... 352 Conceptul de „schimbare şi implicaţiile sale practice...............................................352
Note..............................................................................................................................360 Capitolul III. METODE Şl TEHNICI DE ANALIZĂ ÎN PROCESUL DECIZIONAL...............372 Modele de analiză şi roluri de sistem......................................................................... 372 Despre modele............................................................................................................ 372 Taxonomia analizelor de politici şi criteriile de evaluare.......................................... 380 Criteriul tehnic (ori de fezabilitate)..............................................................................391 Criteriul economic şi financiar (monetar sau de cost)................................................ 392 Criteriul viabilităţii politice..........................................................................................394
Gitemi administrativ................................................................................................. 396 Criteriul de echitate.................................................................................................... 39® Eşecurile de piaţă vs Eşecurile guvernului................................................................ 400 Problemele de politici ca eşecuri ale pieţei şi guvernului.........................................400 Politici de corectare a eşecurilor de piaţă şi guvernamentale.................................. 403 Politicile de reglementare, patronaj şi subsidii..........................................................410 Metode şi tehnici de analiză econometrica în politicile publice................................ 418 Metoda cauzală...........................................................................................................418 Metoda ştiinţifică de cercetare a cauzelor..................................................................421 Analiza utilităţii.......................................................................................... 422 Analiza beneficiilor aşteptate.....................................................................................426 Analiza de eficacitate a costurilor...............................................................................426 Analiza de risc............................................................................................................. 431 Analiza de impact
(A.i.)............................................................................................... 438 Aspecte normative şi măsurabile în analiza problemei............................................ 440 Analiza cost-beneficiu (A.c.b.).................................................................................... 445 Analiza prescriptivă................................................................................................... 453 Limitele principiului Pareto şi criticii săi.................................................................... 457 Metode politice şi instituţionale de analiză............................................................... 464 Analiza de fezabilitate politică (FAT)......................................................................... 464 Analiza de implementare........................................................................................... 473 Metoda de analiză strategică a interacţiunilor între actori (MUA)..................... ........ 474 Modelul analizei rapide............................................................................................. 483 Arborele decizional.................................................................................................... 486 Analiza intenţiilor politice......................................................................................... 490 Technica evaluării fezabilităţii unui proiect............................................................... 497 Metoda de prognoză în procesul
decizional..............................................................499 Extrapolarea şi alte forme de prezicere a evenimentelor................ ......................... 499 Scenariile ca tehnici de simulare a unor viitoruri posibile.........................................503 Metoda de analiză conform Teoriei Actorului Raţional..............................................510 Modelul actorului raţional..........................................................................................510 Note........................ ................................................................................................. 522 .1 CapitolulIV. STATISTICĂ Şl DATE ÎN SERVICIUL DECIZIILOR RAŢIONALE.................. 530 Noţiuni generale despre statistică şi metodele de cercetare..................................... 530 Numerele mari ca detonator al noului model de economie......................................530 Politicile publice bazate pe date şi evidenţe..............................................................534 Colectarea datelor primare, planificare a cercetării şi construcţie teoretică..............539 Investigaţia ca model analitic.................................................................................... 542 Statistică şi metode de procesare a datelor............................................................... 545 Statistica descriptivă............................................. 545 Ipotezele în cercetare................................................................................................. 550 Tehnici de testare a
ipotezelor.................................................................................. 553 Analiza corelaţiilor...................................................................................................... 556 Măsurarea variantei....................................................................................................559 Serii interdependente................................................................................................ 560 Regresie......................................................................................................................565 Metode de analiză cantitativă...................................................................................566 Proiecţii de viitor pe baza datelor din prezent.......................................................... 568 Trei tipuri de prognoză...............................................................................................568 Analiza de impact a unei tendinţe (TIA)..................................................................... 57I
Simularea unor probleme politice..............................................................................580 Modelul alegerii optime............................................................................................. 586 Metode cantitative de măsurare socială.................................................................... 587 Cercetări calitative vs cantitative................................................................................ 587 Acurateţea instrumentelor de măsurare.....................................................................590 Construcţia sondajelor reprezentative: tehnici şi metode........................................ 596 Eşantionarea. Erorile unei eşantionări........................................................................ 598 Chestionarele.............................................................................................................. 601 Metodele calitative de măsurare................................................................................ 604 Focus-grupuri......................... 605 Chestionarea pe baza reţelelor on-line...................................................................... 605 Interviurile................................................................................................................... 606 Note..............................................................................................................................608 Capitolul V. POLITICI SECTORIALE: TIPOLOGII Şl MODELE........................................... 611 Roluri şi funcţii sistemice ale
guvernării..................................................................... 611 Instrumentele de politici..............................................................................................611 Politicile publice ca răspunsuri la presiunile contextului social şi politic.................. 614 Roluri de sistem pentru guvernele moderne............................................................. 621 Politici de sănătate...................................................................................................... 626 Identificarea problemelor:......................................................................................... 626 Definiţii ale conceptelor utilizate................................................................................ 627 Profilul instituţiei sectoriale centrale...........................................................................629 Fenomenul accesului la serviciile medicale şi răspunsurile instituţionale............... 629 Intervenţii de politici în domeniul sănătăţii................................................................637 Politici sociale.............................................................................................................. 638 Identificarea problemelor specifice............................................................................ 638 Definiţii ale conceptelor utilizate................................................................................ 639 Profilul autorităţii sectoriale centrale..........................................................................643 Definiţia
conceptuală a sărăciei şi răspunsuri instituţionale.................................... 643 Sărăcia în RM: profil, cauze şi instrumente................................................................. 646 Marginalizarea şi excluziunea ocupaţională............................................................... 651 Situaţia copiilor............................................................................................................653 Asigurarea cu pensii...................................................................................................659 Instrumente de politici sociale şi combatere a sărăciei şi exluziunii......................... 664 Politici de educaţie...................................................................................................... 668 Identificarea problemelor...........................................................................................668 Profilul autorităţii sectoriale centrale..........................................................................668 Problemele cu care se confruntă sistemul actual de educaţie publică şi răspunsul instituţional............................................................................................ 669 Priorităţile de politici în sistemul educaţiei publice....................................................671 Calitatea educaţiei....................................................................................................... 673 Modele explicative de politici publice........................................................................ 678 Ce explicăm şi pentru
cine?........................................................................................678 Dimensiunea normativă a discursului politic..............................................................679 Principii şi valori politice în procesul decizional......................................................... 688 Echitate........................................................................................................................ 689 Principiul libertăţii individului în politicile publice....................................................691 Note..............................................................................................................................694 BIBLIOGRAFIE..................................................................................................................... 701
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Population List (tenth edition). Inter national Centre for prison Studies. Retrieved July 11,2014. Numărul total de deţinuţi în SUA este de 2,3 milioane, întreţinerea cărora ajunge la 60,3 $ mlrd. 39,4% dintre deţinuţi sunt de culoare (13,6% din populaţia SUA), 20,6% hispanici (16,3% din populaţia SUA), conform re censământului din 2010. Sabates, Richardo (2008). „The Impact of Lifelong Learning on Poverty Reduction”. IFLL Public Value Paper 1 (Latimer Trend,Plymouth,UK): 5-6. ISBN 978 1 86201 3797. Samuel Kernell, Going Public (Washington, DC, CQ, Press, 1986), p. 83-97. Samuelson, Paul A. (1954), The Pure Theory of Public Expenditure, Review of Economics and Statistics, 36 (4), p. 387-389. Saverio Kratli, Global Public Policy Naratives on the drylands and pastoralism. April 2013. http://pubs.iied.org/pdfs/10040IIED.pdf? Schlesinger, Arthur M. The vital center; the politics offreedom. Boston, Houghton Mifflin Co., 1949. Schmitter, Philipe C. 1974. „Still the Century of Corporatism?” In The New Corporatism: Social-Political Structures in the Iberian World, edited by Fredrick B. Pike and Thomas Stritch, p. 93-94. Notre Dame, IN: University of Notre Dame Press. Sean D. Ehrlich, Access Points. An Institutional Theory of Policy Bias and Policy Comple xity, Oxford University Press, 2011, p. 26. Shell. New Lens Scenarios. A Shift in Perspective for World in Transition (2013). In Emer ging markets infrastructure: risk, returns and current oportunities, Partners Group Research Flash, October 2013. Shigehiro Oishi, Ulrich Schimmack, and Ed Diener, Progressive Taxation and the
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Bibliografie 713 Soitan V., Moşneaga A., Ţurcanu Gh. Studiul politicii privind gradul descentralizării ad ministrative în domeniul sănătăţii. Monitorul sănătăţii, nr. 2. Centrul pentru Politici şi Ana lize în Sănătate. 2010. Stanley M. Altman, Teaching Data Analysis to Individuals Entering the Public Service, Journal of Urban Analysis, 3, nr. 2 (October, 1976), p. 211-237. Stanley M. Altman, The Dilemma of Data Rich, Information Poor Service Organizations: Analyzing Operational Data, Journal of Urban Analysis 3, nr. 1 (April 1976), 61-75, Giando menico Majone, Eivdence, Argument, and Persuasion in the Policy Process (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1989), p. 47-48. Stanley M. Altman, The Dilemma of Data Rich, Information Poor Service Organizations: analyzing Operational Data, Journal of Urban Analysis 3, nr. 1 (April 1976), p. 61-75. Stanley Smith Stevens, „On the Theory of Scales of Measurement” Science 103 (2684): 677-680. doi:10.1126/science.l03.2684.677. Stone, Deborah. 1989. „Causal Stories and the Formation of Policy Agendas”. Political Science Quarterly, 104(2): 281-300. Stuart A., Ord K., Arnold S. (1999), Kendall’s Advanced Theory of Statistics: Volume 2A Classical Inference the liniar Model (Arnold) §20.2. Stuart Nagel, Trends in Policy Analysis, Policy Studies Journal, 18 (1990), p. 802-907. Stuart S. Nagel, Conflicting Evaluations of Policy Studies, in Public Administration: The State of the Discipline, ed. Naomi B., Lynn and Aaron Wildavsky (Chatham House), 1990, p. 421. Talcott Prasons, „Systems Analysis: Social Systems”, International Encyclopedia of the
Social Sciences, Voi. 15,1968, p. 458. Theodore J. Lowi, Distribution, Regulation, Redistribution: The Functions of Govern ment, in Stelia Z. Theodoulou, Matthew A. Cahn, Public Policy. The Essential Readings. 1995, Englewood Cliffs, p. 15. Thomas R. Dye, L. Harmon Zeigler, The Irony of Democracy. An Uncommon Introducti on to American Politics 3rd, 1975, p. 7. Thomas R. Dye, Understanding Public Policy (5th Ed.) Englewood Cliffs, N. J. PrenticeHall, 1984, p. 5-7. Tor G. Jakobsen and Jo Jakobsen, The Game. A Rational Actor Aproach to the US-led in vasion of Iraq, 2003, Routledge, Strategic Analysis, Voi. 33, nr. 5, September 2009, p. 664-674. Truman, D. B. 1951, The Governmental Process, New York: Knopf, p. 114. Tsebelis, George, 2002, Veto Player: How Political Institutions Work, Princeton, NJ, Prin ceton University Press. TuUock, G. „The Charity of the Uncharitable” in the Western Economic Journal, 1971e, p. 379-392. Tversky şi Kahneman (1974). Ukeles, Jacob B. 1977. „Policy Analysis: Myth or Reality?” in Public Administration Re view, nr. 37 din 1977. United Nations Children’s Fund, World Health Organization, The World Bank. UNICEFWHO- World Bank Joint Child Malnutrition Estimates, (http://data.unicef.org/resources/2013/webaps/nutrition V. Chivriga, C. Simaşco, Studiu diagnostic: Potenţialul de export al complexului agroin dustrial din RM, IDIS, 2008. Valériu Sainsus, Impactul îmbătrânirii demografice asupra sistemului de pensionare. Subtilităţi şi căi posibile de redresare.
714 POLITICI PUBLICE COMPLEXE: TEHNICI ŞI REPERE Valériu Stoica, Drept civil. Drepturile reale principale, vol.l, Editura Humanitás, Bucureşti, 2004. Value Chain Analysis and Market Study in the Fruit and Vegetable Sector in Moldova. Analysis of HVA Constraints, Oportunities and Requirements, MCC, 13.03.2009, http:// s3.amazonaws.com/zanran_storage/moldova.usaid.gov/ContentPages/45224507.pdf Van Dijk, Teun. 1975. „Action, action description, and narrative”. New Literary History, 6(2): p. 273-294. Van Riper, Paul P. (1958). History of the United States Civil Service. Row, Peterson and Co. ISBN 0-8371-8755-9. Vasile Cantarji, Georgeta Mineu, Costs and Benefits of Labor Mobility between EU and EaP, CASE Studies and Analysis. Vasile Cantarji, Georgeta Miteu, Costs and Benefits of Labour Mobility Between the EU and the Eastern Partnership Partner Countries. Country Report: Moldova, in CASE Studies and Analysis, nr. 465/2013. Vernon Van Dyke, Equality and Public Policy (Chicago, Nelson Hall, 1990), p. 32 Vezi Eirik Furubotn and Svetozar Pejovich, Property Rights and Economic Theory: A Sur vey of Recent Literature, Journal ofEconomic Literature 10 (4) 1972,1137-62. David L. Weimer, ed. The Political Economy of Property Rights: Institutional Change and Credibility in the Re form of Centrally Planned Economies (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997), p. 1-19. Viorel Chivriga, Piaţa funciară: pământul capătă valoare. Publicat în Standard financiar, iunie 2008. Viorel Soitan. Valériu Moşneaga, 12 februarie 2010, Analiza de impact al reformelor în domeniul medicinii prin
asigurare, PAS, Fundaţia SOROS-Moldova. Virginia Held, PBS Comes to Washington, in Planning Programming Budgeting: A syste ms Aproach to management, ed. Freemont J. Lyden and Ernest G. Miller (Chicago: Markham Publishing, 1968), p. 11-26. Visinoiu, N. (2001), Statistica formelor economice. Teoria catastrofelor, fractalilor şi hao sului; Editura Lumina Lex. Von Neumann, John and Oscar Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1944. W. Allen Wallis, The Overgoverned Society (New York; Macmillan, 1976). W. S. Robinson, Ecological Correlation and the Bhavior of Individuals, American Socio logical Review 15 (June 1950), p. 351-357. Walt G., Pavignani E, Gilson L, Buse К. Health sector development: from aid coordination to resource management. Health Policy and Planning 1999; 14: p. 207-218. Weaver, R. K., and B. A. Rockman. 1993. Do Institutions Matter? Government Capabilities in the United States and Abroad. Washington, United States: Brookings Institution Press. Weingast, Barry R., Kenneth A. Shepsle, and Christopher Johnsen, 1981. The Political Economy of Benefits and Costs: A Neoclassical Aproach to Distributive Politics, Journal of Political Economy 89 (4), p. 642-664. Werner Jan and Kay Wegrich, Theories of Policy Cycle, in Frank Fischer, Gerard Miller, Mara Sidney, (ed) Theory, Public Policy and Methods, Public Administration and Public Po licy, 725, CRC Press, 2007, p. 44. William C. Mitchell, Fiscal Behavior of the Modern Democratic State: Publi Choice Per spectives and Contributions, in Political Economy: Recent
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Regional Office for Europe. Modern health care delivery sys tems, care coordination and the role of hospitals. Compiled Report, 2012. Yves Citton, 2010. Mythocratie. Storytelling et imaginaire de gauche. Paris: Amsterdam.
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