Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting:
Forecasting the weather for the long and medium range is a difficult and scientifically challenging problem. Since the first operational weather prediction by numerical methods was carried out (on the BESK computer in Stockholm, Sweden, 1954) . there has been an ever accelerating development in comp...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin, Heidelberg
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
1984
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Schriftenreihe: | Topics in Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | BTU01 URL des Erstveröffentlichers |
Zusammenfassung: | Forecasting the weather for the long and medium range is a difficult and scientifically challenging problem. Since the first operational weather prediction by numerical methods was carried out (on the BESK computer in Stockholm, Sweden, 1954) . there has been an ever accelerating development in computer technology. Hand in hand has followed a tremendous increase in the complexity of the atmospheric models used for weather prediction. The ability of these models to predict future states of the atmosphere has also increased rapidly, both due to model development and due to more accurate and plentiful observations of the atmosphere to define the initial . state for model integrations. It may however be argued on theoretical grounds that even if we have an almost perfect model with almost perfect initial data, we will never be able to make an accurate weather prediction more than a few weeks ahead. This is due to the inherent instability of the atmosphere and work in this field was pioneered by E. Lorenz. It is generally referred to as atmospheric predict ability and in the opening chapter of this book Professor Lorenz gives us an overview of the problem of atmospheric predictability. The contributions to this book were originally presented at the 1981 ECMWF Seminar (ECMWF - European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) which was held at ECMWF in Reading, England, in September 1981 |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (XII, 274 p. 11 illus) |
ISBN: | 9783642821325 |
DOI: | 10.1007/978-3-642-82132-5 |
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spelling | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting edited by David M. Burridge, Erland Klln Berlin, Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg 1984 1 Online-Ressource (XII, 274 p. 11 illus) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Topics in Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Forecasting the weather for the long and medium range is a difficult and scientifically challenging problem. Since the first operational weather prediction by numerical methods was carried out (on the BESK computer in Stockholm, Sweden, 1954) . there has been an ever accelerating development in computer technology. Hand in hand has followed a tremendous increase in the complexity of the atmospheric models used for weather prediction. The ability of these models to predict future states of the atmosphere has also increased rapidly, both due to model development and due to more accurate and plentiful observations of the atmosphere to define the initial . state for model integrations. It may however be argued on theoretical grounds that even if we have an almost perfect model with almost perfect initial data, we will never be able to make an accurate weather prediction more than a few weeks ahead. This is due to the inherent instability of the atmosphere and work in this field was pioneered by E. Lorenz. It is generally referred to as atmospheric predict ability and in the opening chapter of this book Professor Lorenz gives us an overview of the problem of atmospheric predictability. The contributions to this book were originally presented at the 1981 ECMWF Seminar (ECMWF - European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) which was held at ECMWF in Reading, England, in September 1981 Earth Sciences Geophysics/Geodesy Atmospheric Sciences Earth sciences Geophysics Atmospheric sciences Langfristige Prognose (DE-588)4166701-3 gnd rswk-swf Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift 1981 Reading gnd-content (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 s Langfristige Prognose (DE-588)4166701-3 s DE-604 Burridge, David M. edt Klln, Erland edt Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 9783540128274 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-82132-5 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
spellingShingle | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting Earth Sciences Geophysics/Geodesy Atmospheric Sciences Earth sciences Geophysics Atmospheric sciences Langfristige Prognose (DE-588)4166701-3 gnd Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4166701-3 (DE-588)4079256-0 (DE-588)1071861417 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
title | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting |
title_auth | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting |
title_exact_search | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting |
title_full | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting edited by David M. Burridge, Erland Klln |
title_fullStr | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting edited by David M. Burridge, Erland Klln |
title_full_unstemmed | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting edited by David M. Burridge, Erland Klln |
title_short | Problems and Prospects in Long and Medium Range Weather Forecasting |
title_sort | problems and prospects in long and medium range weather forecasting |
topic | Earth Sciences Geophysics/Geodesy Atmospheric Sciences Earth sciences Geophysics Atmospheric sciences Langfristige Prognose (DE-588)4166701-3 gnd Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd |
topic_facet | Earth Sciences Geophysics/Geodesy Atmospheric Sciences Earth sciences Geophysics Atmospheric sciences Langfristige Prognose Wettervorhersage Konferenzschrift 1981 Reading Aufsatzsammlung |
url | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-82132-5 |
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