U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict:
"There is an ongoing debate about the effects of U.S. military presence on conflict around the globe. In one view, U.S. military presence helps to deter adversaries, restrain U.S. partners from adopting provocative policies, and make it easier for the United States to achieve its aims without t...
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, Calif.
RAND
[2018]
|
Schriftenreihe: | Research report
RR-1906-A |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1906.html |
Zusammenfassung: | "There is an ongoing debate about the effects of U.S. military presence on conflict around the globe. In one view, U.S. military presence helps to deter adversaries, restrain U.S. partners from adopting provocative policies, and make it easier for the United States to achieve its aims without the use of force. In another view, U.S. military presence tends to provoke adversaries and encourage allies to adopt more reckless policies, and it increases the likelihood that the United States will be involved in combat. The authors of this report analyze historical data to assess how U.S. military presence -- in particular, U.S. troop presence and military assistance -- is associated with the interstate and intrastate conflict behavior of states and nonstate actors. Troop presence and military assistance have different effects. Stationing U.S. troops abroad may help deter interstate war. A large U.S. regional troop presence may reduce the likelihood of interstate conflict in two ways: by deterring potential U.S. adversaries from initiating interstate wars or by restraining U.S. allies from initiating militarized behavior. However, U.S. military presence may increase interstate militarized activities short of war. U.S. adversaries may be more likely to initiate militarized disputes against states with a larger U.S. in-country troop presence. U.S. troop presence does not appear to reduce the risk of intrastate conflict or affect the level of state repression. U.S. military assistance is not associated with changes in interstate conflict behavior. However, provision of U.S. military assistance may be associated with increased state repression and incidence of civil war. These findings have implications for near-term decisionmaking on U.S. forward troop presence in Europe and Asia."--Publisher's description |
Beschreibung: | "Prepared for the United States Army"--Title page "This research was sponsored by the Deputy Chief of Staff, G-2, United States Army..."--RAND website |
Beschreibung: | xvii, 134 Seiten Illustrationen 26 cm. |
ISBN: | 0833097970 9780833097972 |
Internformat
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict |c Angela O'Mahony, Miranda Priebe, Bryan Frederick, Jennifer Kavanagh, Matthew Lane, Trevor Johnston, Thomas S. Szayna, Jakub P. Hlavka, Stephen Watts, Matthew Povlock |
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505 | 8 | |a Introduction -- Trends in U.S. presence -- How U.S. troop presence may influence interstate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. troop presence and interstate conflict behavior -- How U.S. presence may influence intrastate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. presence and intrastate conflict behavior -- Findings and implications for future U.S. presence and operating environment -- Appendixes: A. Interstate model results -- B. Intrastate model results | |
520 | 3 | |a "There is an ongoing debate about the effects of U.S. military presence on conflict around the globe. In one view, U.S. military presence helps to deter adversaries, restrain U.S. partners from adopting provocative policies, and make it easier for the United States to achieve its aims without the use of force. In another view, U.S. military presence tends to provoke adversaries and encourage allies to adopt more reckless policies, and it increases the likelihood that the United States will be involved in combat. The authors of this report analyze historical data to assess how U.S. military presence -- in particular, U.S. troop presence and military assistance -- is associated with the interstate and intrastate conflict behavior of states and nonstate actors. Troop presence and military assistance have different effects. Stationing U.S. troops abroad may help deter interstate war. A large U.S. regional troop presence may reduce the likelihood of interstate conflict in two ways: by deterring potential U.S. adversaries from initiating interstate wars or by restraining U.S. allies from initiating militarized behavior. However, U.S. military presence may increase interstate militarized activities short of war. U.S. adversaries may be more likely to initiate militarized disputes against states with a larger U.S. in-country troop presence. U.S. troop presence does not appear to reduce the risk of intrastate conflict or affect the level of state repression. U.S. military assistance is not associated with changes in interstate conflict behavior. However, provision of U.S. military assistance may be associated with increased state repression and incidence of civil war. These findings have implications for near-term decisionmaking on U.S. forward troop presence in Europe and Asia."--Publisher's description | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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---|---|
any_adam_object | |
author | O'Mahony, Angela |
author_GND | (DE-588)1189168057 |
author_facet | O'Mahony, Angela |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | O'Mahony, Angela |
author_variant | a o ao |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV045161401 |
contents | Introduction -- Trends in U.S. presence -- How U.S. troop presence may influence interstate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. troop presence and interstate conflict behavior -- How U.S. presence may influence intrastate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. presence and intrastate conflict behavior -- Findings and implications for future U.S. presence and operating environment -- Appendixes: A. Interstate model results -- B. Intrastate model results |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1128839109 (DE-599)BVBBV045161401 |
format | Book |
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geographic_facet | USA |
id | DE-604.BV045161401 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-10T08:10:23Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 0833097970 9780833097972 |
language | English |
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owner_facet | DE-12 |
physical | xvii, 134 Seiten Illustrationen 26 cm. |
publishDate | 2018 |
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publisher | RAND |
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series2 | Research report |
spelling | O'Mahony, Angela Verfasser (DE-588)1189168057 aut U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict Angela O'Mahony, Miranda Priebe, Bryan Frederick, Jennifer Kavanagh, Matthew Lane, Trevor Johnston, Thomas S. Szayna, Jakub P. Hlavka, Stephen Watts, Matthew Povlock US presence and the incidence of conflict United States presence and the incidence of conflict Santa Monica, Calif. RAND [2018] © 2018 xvii, 134 Seiten Illustrationen 26 cm. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Research report RR-1906-A "Prepared for the United States Army"--Title page "This research was sponsored by the Deputy Chief of Staff, G-2, United States Army..."--RAND website Introduction -- Trends in U.S. presence -- How U.S. troop presence may influence interstate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. troop presence and interstate conflict behavior -- How U.S. presence may influence intrastate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. presence and intrastate conflict behavior -- Findings and implications for future U.S. presence and operating environment -- Appendixes: A. Interstate model results -- B. Intrastate model results "There is an ongoing debate about the effects of U.S. military presence on conflict around the globe. In one view, U.S. military presence helps to deter adversaries, restrain U.S. partners from adopting provocative policies, and make it easier for the United States to achieve its aims without the use of force. In another view, U.S. military presence tends to provoke adversaries and encourage allies to adopt more reckless policies, and it increases the likelihood that the United States will be involved in combat. The authors of this report analyze historical data to assess how U.S. military presence -- in particular, U.S. troop presence and military assistance -- is associated with the interstate and intrastate conflict behavior of states and nonstate actors. Troop presence and military assistance have different effects. Stationing U.S. troops abroad may help deter interstate war. A large U.S. regional troop presence may reduce the likelihood of interstate conflict in two ways: by deterring potential U.S. adversaries from initiating interstate wars or by restraining U.S. allies from initiating militarized behavior. However, U.S. military presence may increase interstate militarized activities short of war. U.S. adversaries may be more likely to initiate militarized disputes against states with a larger U.S. in-country troop presence. U.S. troop presence does not appear to reduce the risk of intrastate conflict or affect the level of state repression. U.S. military assistance is not associated with changes in interstate conflict behavior. However, provision of U.S. military assistance may be associated with increased state repression and incidence of civil war. These findings have implications for near-term decisionmaking on U.S. forward troop presence in Europe and Asia."--Publisher's description USA Army (DE-588)2188-X gnd rswk-swf Krieg (DE-588)4033114-3 gnd rswk-swf Unterstützung (DE-588)4203086-9 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf Military assistance, American / Foreign countries United States / Armed Forces / Foreign countries War / Causes War / Forecasting Armed Forces United States USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Krieg (DE-588)4033114-3 s USA Army (DE-588)2188-X b Unterstützung (DE-588)4203086-9 s DE-604 https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1906.html |
spellingShingle | O'Mahony, Angela U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict Introduction -- Trends in U.S. presence -- How U.S. troop presence may influence interstate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. troop presence and interstate conflict behavior -- How U.S. presence may influence intrastate conflict behavior -- Empirical assessment of U.S. presence and intrastate conflict behavior -- Findings and implications for future U.S. presence and operating environment -- Appendixes: A. Interstate model results -- B. Intrastate model results USA Army (DE-588)2188-X gnd Krieg (DE-588)4033114-3 gnd Unterstützung (DE-588)4203086-9 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)2188-X (DE-588)4033114-3 (DE-588)4203086-9 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
title | U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict |
title_alt | US presence and the incidence of conflict United States presence and the incidence of conflict |
title_auth | U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict |
title_exact_search | U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict |
title_full | U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict Angela O'Mahony, Miranda Priebe, Bryan Frederick, Jennifer Kavanagh, Matthew Lane, Trevor Johnston, Thomas S. Szayna, Jakub P. Hlavka, Stephen Watts, Matthew Povlock |
title_fullStr | U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict Angela O'Mahony, Miranda Priebe, Bryan Frederick, Jennifer Kavanagh, Matthew Lane, Trevor Johnston, Thomas S. Szayna, Jakub P. Hlavka, Stephen Watts, Matthew Povlock |
title_full_unstemmed | U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict Angela O'Mahony, Miranda Priebe, Bryan Frederick, Jennifer Kavanagh, Matthew Lane, Trevor Johnston, Thomas S. Szayna, Jakub P. Hlavka, Stephen Watts, Matthew Povlock |
title_short | U.S. presence and the incidence of conflict |
title_sort | u s presence and the incidence of conflict |
topic | USA Army (DE-588)2188-X gnd Krieg (DE-588)4033114-3 gnd Unterstützung (DE-588)4203086-9 gnd |
topic_facet | USA Army Krieg Unterstützung USA |
url | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1906.html |
work_keys_str_mv | AT omahonyangela uspresenceandtheincidenceofconflict AT omahonyangela unitedstatespresenceandtheincidenceofconflict |