Intelligence success and failure: the human factor
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York
Oxford University Press
[2017]
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | xiv, 262 Seiten 24 cm |
| ISBN: | 9780199341733 9780199341740 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804177805450149888 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS XIII
INTRODUCTION 1
PART I: THE THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
1. SURPRISE ATTACK: A FRAMEWORK FOR DISCUSSION 9
A. THE CONCEPT AND THE CONTEXT 9
B. SURPRISE ATTACKS: SUCCESS AND FAILURE 13
C. SURPRISE ATTACKS: ACADEMIC COMPARATIVE STUDIES 17
D. PEARL HARBOR: UNIQUENESS AND METHODOLOGICAL IMPLICATIONS 29
E. WARNING FAILURES: THE HUMAN FACTOR 25
2. EXAMINING THE LEARNING PROCESS 27
A. PSYCHOLOGICAL FACTORS 29
I. PSYCHOLOGICAL FACTORS AND THE LEARNING PROCESS 29
II. SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGICAL FACTORS: UNIVERSAL CONTRIBUTIONS 31
B. UNIQUE PSYCHOLOGICAL ISSUES 41
I. PERSONALITY STYLE: OPENNESS 42
II. NARCISSISM 45
C. APPLYING THE LEARNING PROCESS TO EXAMINE THE NATURE
OF FAILURE AND SUCCESS 48
PART II: THE EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
3. THE FIRST DYAD: BARBAROSSA AND THE BATTLE FOR MOSCOW 53
INTRODUCTION 53
CASE STUDY I: THE FAILURE 56
A. HITLER S ROAD TO WAR 56
B. THE SOVIET SURPRISE 61
I. THE SOVIET INTELLIGENCE ASSETS 61
II. THE INFORMATION 67
III. INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE AND THE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS 74
(X) CONTENTS
C. EXPLAINING THE LACK OF PREPAREDNESS 84
I. STATE LEVEL 84
II. DECISION-MAKING 87
III. THE PERSONAL LEVEL 87
CASE STUDY II: SUCCESS: THE BATTLE FOR MOSCOW 97
A. THE SETTING 99
I. THE DILEMMA 99
II. THE INFORMATION 101
III. THE DECISION AND ITS IMPACT 105
B. THE EXPLANATION 110
I. THE ISSUE AT STAKE 111
II. THE QUALITY OF THE INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION 111
III. DECISION-MAKING 112
IV. STALIN S LEARNING PROCESS 115
4. THE SECOND DYAD: THE USA IN THE KOREAN WAR 123
INTRODUCTION 123
CASE STUDY I: FAILING TO FORECAST THE WAR 124
A. THE ROAD TO WAR 124
B. THE AMERICAN SURPRISE 127
I. THE AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE ASSETS 127
II. THE INFORMATION AND ITS ESTIMATE 230
C. EXPLAINING THE LACK OF PREPAREDNESS 235
I. STATE LEVEL 236
II. DECISION-MAKING 242
III. THE PERSONAL LEVEL 243
D. SUMMARY 243
CASE STUDY II: FAILURE II: THE CHINESE INTERVENTION OF FALL 1950 243
A. THE CHINESE ROAD TO WAR 245
B. THE AMERICAN SURPRISE 247
I. THE INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION AND ITS ESTIMATE 247
II. THE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS: WASHINGTON,
TOKYO, KOREA 253
C. EXPLAINING THE INTELLIGENCE FAILURE 259
I. THE STATE LEVEL 262
II. DECISION-MAKING 263
III. THE INDIVIDUAL LEVEL 272
CONTENTS (XI)
5. THE THIRD DYAD: INTELLIGENCE FAILURE AND SUCCESS IN THE WAR
OFYOMKIPPUR 184
INTRODUCTION 184
CASE STUDY I: THE FAILURE 188
A. EGYPT S ROAD TO WAR 188
B. ISRAEL S SURPRISE 191
I. ISRAEL S INTELLIGENCE ASSETS 191
II. THE INFORMATION AND ITS ESTIMATE 294
C. EXPLAINING THE FAILURE 201
I. STATE LEVEL 202
II. DECISION-MAKING 204
III. THE PERSONAL LEVEL 207
CASE STUDY II: THE SUCCESS 226
A. THE SETTING 226
B. THE INTELLIGENCE WARNING OF OCTOBER 12 AND ITS IMPACT
C. EXPLAINING SUCCESS 223
I. STATE LEVEL 224
II. DECISION-MAKING FORUMS 228
III. THE INDIVIDUAL LEVEL 230
A. ELIZEIRA 230
B. ZVIZAMIR 232
6. CONCLUSIONS 235
221
INDEX 245
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
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| author_GND | (DE-588)1137568291 (DE-588)131685295 |
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| author_role | aut aut |
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| dewey-ones | 355 - Military science |
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| dewey-search | 355.3432 |
| dewey-sort | 3355.3432 |
| dewey-tens | 350 - Public administration and military science |
| discipline | Militärwissenschaft |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV044473474 |
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| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780199341733 9780199341740 |
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| spelling | Bar-Yosef, Uri 1949- Verfasser (DE-588)1137568291 aut Intelligence success and failure the human factor Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott New York Oxford University Press [2017] © 2017 xiv, 262 Seiten 24 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Psychologie Weltkrieg (1939-1945) Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd rswk-swf Kriegführung (DE-588)4073817-6 gnd rswk-swf Militärpsychologie (DE-588)4074821-2 gnd rswk-swf Sowjetunion USA Military intelligence / Decision making / Psychological aspects Surprise (Military science) World War, 1939-1945 / Military intelligence / Soviet Union Korean War, 1950-1953 / Military intelligence / United States Israel-Arab War, 1973 / Military intelligence / Israel Kriegführung (DE-588)4073817-6 s Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 s DE-604 Militärpsychologie (DE-588)4074821-2 s McDermott, Rose 1962- Verfasser (DE-588)131685295 aut DE-576;DE-24 application/pdf http://swbplus.bsz-bw.de/bsz489129196inh.htm 20170803134108 Inhaltsverzeichnis SWB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029873824&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Bar-Yosef, Uri 1949- McDermott, Rose 1962- Intelligence success and failure the human factor Psychologie Weltkrieg (1939-1945) Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd Kriegführung (DE-588)4073817-6 gnd Militärpsychologie (DE-588)4074821-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4113446-1 (DE-588)4047704-6 (DE-588)4073817-6 (DE-588)4074821-2 |
| title | Intelligence success and failure the human factor |
| title_auth | Intelligence success and failure the human factor |
| title_exact_search | Intelligence success and failure the human factor |
| title_full | Intelligence success and failure the human factor Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott |
| title_fullStr | Intelligence success and failure the human factor Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott |
| title_full_unstemmed | Intelligence success and failure the human factor Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott |
| title_short | Intelligence success and failure |
| title_sort | intelligence success and failure the human factor |
| title_sub | the human factor |
| topic | Psychologie Weltkrieg (1939-1945) Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd Kriegführung (DE-588)4073817-6 gnd Militärpsychologie (DE-588)4074821-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Psychologie Weltkrieg (1939-1945) Entscheidungsfindung Kriegführung Militärpsychologie Sowjetunion USA |
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