Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Leipzig
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
2017
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| Schriftenreihe: | PHD Dissertation
2017,2 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | xiii, 126 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | UNIVERSITAT
OSNABRUCK
Dissertation thesis
Analyzing resource use decisions under global
change by agent-based modeling
submitted by
Gunnar Dreftler
for the degree of Doctor of Natural Sciences (Dr rer nat )
University of Osnabriick
Institute of Environmental Systems Research
Leihgabeder ^
Senckenberg Gesellschaft
fur Naturforschung ^
Leipzig, December 2016
CONTENTS
1INTRODUCTION1
11 Sustainable resource use in the context of global change 1
1 2 Coupled social and ecological systems 2
13A conceptual view on resources and the application contexts 2
131 The resource portfolio 2
132 Introduction of the resource use contexts 3
1 4 Methodological approach: agent-based modeling 4
1 5 Aim and structure of the thesis 5
1 6 Overview of the modeling studies 6
2TOWARDSTHRESHOLDSOFDISASTERMANAGEMENTPERFORMANCE9
21 Abstract 9
2 2 Introduction 9
2 3 Methods 12
231 Description of the agent-based model- 12
232 Measuring performance 16
233 Characterization of the geographic and demographic settings 17
234 Scenario description 18
2 4 Results 18
241 The influence of the number of DMOs 18
242 Scenario 1: Variation of DMO properties 20
243 Scenario 2: Variaticpn of the flood characteristics 22
244 Scenario 3: Regional comparison 23
2 5 Discussion 25
251 Implications for disaster management 25
252 Model limitations and future extensions 26
2 6 Data availability 28
3POLARIZATIONIN(POST-)N0MADICRESOURCEUSEINEASTERNMOROCCO 29
3 1 Abstract 29
3 2 Introduction 29
3 3 Methods 31
331 Model purpose and background 31
332 Entities, state variables and scales 31
333 Process overview and scheduling 33
334 Individual decision-making 33
335 Individual sensing, interaction and heterogeneity 34
336 Details 34
337 Simulation experiments and outcome measures 37
3 4 Results 38
341 Basic system dynamics - one random run - 38
342 Scenario 1: The impact of household heterogeneity 39
343 Scenario 2: A variation of ecological conditions • 44
Contents
344 Scenario 3: The influence of climate and demographic change 47
3 5 Discussion 49
351 Causes for polarization are manifold 49
352 Differences in household assets can lead to poverty traps 49
353 Ecological conditions by themselves can trigger polarization 51
354 Global change increases the danger of polarization 51
355 The potential and limits of agent-based modeling to understand causes
for polarization 52
4IMPLICATIONSOFBEHAVIORALCHANGEINPASTORALSYSTEMS 53
4 1 Abstract 53
4 2 Introduction 53
4 3 Methods 55
431 Model background and purposes 55
432 Entities, state variables and scales 56
433 Process overview and scheduling 56
434 Household behavioral types 57
435 Individual sensing, interaction and heterogeneity 59
436 Analyzed scenarios and outcome measures 60
4 4 Results 60
441 Analysis of individual household behavioral types 61
442 Comparison of behavioral mixtures 64
4 5 Discussion 68
451 The value of traditional strategies in a changing world 68
452 The mode of human decision-making matters 70
453 Conclusion 71
5DISCUSSION 73
5 1 Summary: Three studies on resource use decisions 73
5 2 The relevance of multi-scale effects for decision making 75
5 3 Methodological reflections 78
531 The potential of agent-based modeling 78
532 Implementing human decision-making in ABM: potential and challenges 79
533 Methodological advancements: operationalization of the resource port
folio concept 80
5 4 Final conclusion 80
6FURTHER CONTRIBUTIONSTOPEER-REVIEWEDARTICLES 81
APPENDICES • 8 5
AAPPENDIXTOCHAPTER2, 85
BAPPENDIXTOCHAPTER3 101
CAPPENDIXTOCHAPTER4 103
BIBLIOGRAPHY 116
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| spelling | Dreßler, Gunnar (DE-588)1132832489 aut Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling submitted by Gunnar Dreßler Leipzig Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ 2017 xiii, 126 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier PHD Dissertation 2017,2 Dissertation University of Osnabrück 2016 Ressourcenökonomie (DE-588)4400948-3 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Ressourcenökonomie (DE-588)4400948-3 s DE-604 PHD Dissertation 2017,2 (DE-604)BV035421074 2017,2 http://digitool.hbz-nrw.de:1801/webclient/DeliveryManager?pid=7247415&custom_att_2=simple_viewer Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling Inhaltsverzeichnis HEBIS Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029751976&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Dreßler, Gunnar Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling PHD Dissertation Ressourcenökonomie (DE-588)4400948-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4400948-3 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling |
| title_auth | Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling |
| title_exact_search | Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling |
| title_full | Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling submitted by Gunnar Dreßler |
| title_fullStr | Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling submitted by Gunnar Dreßler |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling submitted by Gunnar Dreßler |
| title_short | Analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent-based modeling |
| title_sort | analyzing resource use decisions under global change by agent based modeling |
| topic | Ressourcenökonomie (DE-588)4400948-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Ressourcenökonomie Hochschulschrift |
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