Uncertainty, threat, and international security: implications for Southeast Asia
"The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balanci...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London and New York
Routledge
2017
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Rethinking Asia and international relations
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Literaturverzeichnis Register // Gemischte Register |
| Zusammenfassung: | "The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is paid to the nature of the rising state's actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay"... |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | 168 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781472483201 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 c 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV044309330 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20170609 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 170514s2017 xxu|||| |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 010 | |a 016049727 | ||
| 020 | |a 9781472483201 |c hbk. |9 978-1-4724-8320-1 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)992542982 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV044309330 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rda | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 044 | |a xxu |c US | ||
| 049 | |a DE-12 | ||
| 050 | 0 | |a JZ6009.S644 | |
| 082 | 0 | |a 355/.033059 |2 23 | |
| 084 | |a OST |q DE-12 |2 fid | ||
| 084 | |a HIST |q DE-12 |2 fid | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Savic, Ivan |0 (DE-588)1133511406 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Uncertainty, threat, and international security |b implications for Southeast Asia |c Ivan Savic and Zachary C. Shirkey |
| 246 | 1 | 3 | |a Uncertainty, threat, & international security |
| 264 | 1 | |a London and New York |b Routledge |c 2017 | |
| 300 | |a 168 Seiten |b Diagramme | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 0 | |a Rethinking Asia and international relations | |
| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index | ||
| 520 | |a "The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is paid to the nature of the rising state's actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay"... | ||
| 648 | 7 | |a Geschichte 1930-1939 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Außenpolitik | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Security, International |z Southeast Asia | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Comparative government | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Gleichgewichtspolitik |0 (DE-588)4157518-0 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 651 | 4 | |a Südostasien | |
| 651 | 4 | |a Southeast Asia |x Foreign relations |y 21st century | |
| 651 | 4 | |a Southeast Asia |x Foreign relations |z China | |
| 651 | 4 | |a China |x Foreign relations |z Southeast Asia | |
| 651 | 7 | |a Südostasien |0 (DE-588)4058448-3 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 651 | 7 | |a Europa |0 (DE-588)4015701-5 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Europa |0 (DE-588)4015701-5 |D g |
| 689 | 0 | 1 | |a Gleichgewichtspolitik |0 (DE-588)4157518-0 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | 2 | |a Geschichte 1930-1939 |A z |
| 689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 689 | 1 | 0 | |a Südostasien |0 (DE-588)4058448-3 |D g |
| 689 | 1 | 1 | |a Gleichgewichtspolitik |0 (DE-588)4157518-0 |D s |
| 689 | 1 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Shirkey, Zachary C. |0 (DE-588)139855068 |4 aut | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe, e-book |z 978-1-315-61065-8 |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000005&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Literaturverzeichnis |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000006&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Register // Gemischte Register |
| 940 | 1 | |n oe | |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029713022 | ||
| 942 | 1 | 1 | |c 909 |e 22/bsb |f 09043 |g 4 |
| 942 | 1 | 1 | |c 909 |e 22/bsb |f 090512 |g 59 |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804177520039297024 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of figures and tables x
Acknowledgments xi
List of abbreviations xii
Introduction: threats and the challenges of uncertainty 1
1 Balancing as a commitment problem 16
2 Balancing and buck-passing I: a dynamic model with uncertainty 39
3 Balancing and buck-passing II: Western Europe in the 1930s 48
4 To bandwagon or hide I: a theoretical examination of the
alternatives to balancing 67
5 To bandwagon or hide II: East Central Europe before
World War II 75
6 Balancing and bandwagoning by other means: how the outbreak
of war affects states’ responses to threats 99
7 The rise of China: will states balance, bandwagon, or hedge in
the South China Sea today? 115
Conclusion 145
References 150
Index 164
References
Acharya, A. (2001), Constructing a Security Community in Southeast Asia: ASEAN and the
problem of regional order (London: Routledge).
Acharya, A. (2003), “Will Asia’s Past Be Its Future?,” International Security 28:3, 149-64.
Acharya, A. (2014), “Power Shift or Paradigm Shift? China’s Rise and Asia’s Emerging
Security Order,” International Studies Quarterly 58:1, 158-73.
Ad m, M. (1999), “The Munich Crisis and Hungary: The Fall of the Versailles Settlement
in Central Europe,” in Lukes, I. and Goldstein, E. (eds) The Munich Crisis, 1938,
Prelude to World War //, Portland, OR: Frank Cass.
Adamthwaite, A. (1977), France and the Coming of the Second World War, 1936֊1939
(London: Frank Cass).
Adamthwaite, A. (1981), The Lost Peace: International Relations in Europe, 1918-1939
(New York: St. Martin’s).
Alexander, M. (1992), The Republic in Danger: General Maurice Gamelin and the politics of
French defense, 1933-1940 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).
Altfeld, M., and Bueno de Mesquita, B. (1979), “Choosing Sides in War,” International
Studies Quarterly 23:1, 87-112.
Angeli, N. (1915), The World s Highway: Some Notes on America s Relation to Sea Power
and Non-Military Sanctions for the Law of Nations (New York: Doran).
Art, R., Brooks, S., Wohlforth, W., Lieber, K., and Alexander, G. (2006), “Correspondence:
Striking the Balance,” International Security 30:3, 177-96.
Axelrod, R. and Keohane, R. (1985), “Achieving Cooperation Under Anarchy: Strategies
and Institutions,” World Politics 38:1, 226-54.
Ba, A. (2010), “Regional Security in East Asia: ASEAN’s Value Added and Limitations,”
Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs 29:3, 115-30.
Barbieri, K. (1996), “Economic Interdependence: A Path to Peace or a Source of interstate
Conflict?,” Journal of Peace Research 33:1, 29^19.
BBC News Asia. (2013), “Malaysia rejects ceasefire offer from Filipino group,” 7 March.
Beck, R. (1989), “Munich’s Lessons Reconsidered,” International Security 14:2, 161-91.
Bemis, S. (1977), John Quincy Adams and the Foundations of American Foreign Policy
(Norwalk: Easton Press).
Ben-Arie, K. (1990), “Czechoslovakia and the Time of‘Munich’: the Military Situation,”
Journal of Contemporary History 25:4, 431^46.
Biddle, S. (2001), “Rebuilding the Foundations of Offense-Defense Theory,” Journal of
Politics 63:3, 741-74.
Blagden. D. (2011), “Sea Powers, Continental Powers, and Balancing Theory,”
International Security 36:2, 190-202.
References 151
Blainey, G. (1973), The Causes of War (New York: Free Press).
Bradsher, K. (2014a), “Philippines Challenges China Over Disputed Atoll,” New York
Times, 14 May.
Bradsher, K. (2014b), “Philippine Leader Sounds Alarm on China,” New York Times, 5
February.
Bremer, S. (1982), “The Contagiousness of Coercion: The Spread of Serious International
Disputes, 1900-1976,” International Interactions 9:1, 29-55.
Brooks, S. and Wohlforth, W. (2011), “Assessing the Balance,” Cambridge Review of
International Affairs 24:2, 201-19.
Browne, A. (2015), “Beijing Wary of Political Toll of Aggression at Sea,” Wall Street
Journal, 14 May.
Bueno de Mesquita, B., Morrow, J. and Zorick. E. (1997), “Capabilities, Perception and
Escalation,” American Political Science Review 91:1, 15-27.
Bueno de Mesquita, B., Morrow, J., Siverson, R., and Smith, A. (2004), “Testing Novel
Implications from the Selectorate Theory of War,” World Politics 56:3, 363-88.
Bull, H. (1977), The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics. (New York:
Columbia University Press).
Burr, R. (1980), By Reason or Force: Chile and the Balancing of Power in South America,
1830-1905 (Millwood: Kraus Reprint).
Buszynski, L. (2012), “The South China Sea: Oil, Maritime Claims, and US-China
Strategic Rivalry,” The Washington Quarterly 35:2, 140-56.
Carpenter, T. (2014), “Obama’s China Strategy is Doomed,” National Interest, 16 August.
Chan, S. (2016), China’s Troubled Waters: Maritime Disputes in Theoretical Perspective
(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).
Chiozza, G., and Goemans, H. (2004), “International Conflict and the Tenure of Leaders:
Is War Still Ex Post Inefficient?,” American Journal of Political Science 48:3, 604-19.
Choe S. (2016), “US Weighs Tighter Sanctions on North Korea if China Fails to Act”, New
York Times, 20 January.
Christensen, T. (2006), “Fostering Stability or Creating a Monster? The Rise of China
and US Policy toward East Asia,” International Security 31:1, 81-126.
Christensen, T. (2011), “The Advantages of an Assertive China: Responding to Beijing’s
Abrasive Diplomacy,” Foreign Affairs 90:2, 54-67.
Christensen, T. and Snyder, S. (1990), “Chain Gangs and Passed Bucks: Predicting Alliance
Patterns in Multipolarity,” International Organization 44:2, 137-68.
Churchill, W. (1948), The Second World War (Cambridge: Houghton Mifflin).
Cienciala A. (1989), “Essay and Reflection: The Munich Crisis Revisited,” The
International History Review 11:4, 684—8.
Cienciala, A. (1992), “A View From Warsaw,” in Latynski, M. (ed.) The Munich Pact:
Continental Perspectives (Washington: Woodrow Wilson Center).
Cienciala, A. (1999), “The Munich Crisis of 1938: Plans and Strategy in Warsaw in Context
of Western Appeasement of Germany,” in Lukes, I. and Goldstein. E. (eds) The Munich
Crisis, 1938, Prelude to World War If Portland, OR: Frank Cass.
Claude, I. (1962), Power and International Relations (New York: Random House).
Cochrane, J. (2016a), “Indonesia Confirms Seizing Fishing Boat in South China Sea
Defying Beijing”, New York Times. 20 June.
Cochrane, J. (2016b), “Indonesia Malaysia and Philippines to Bolster Security at Sea”.
New York Times, 5 May.
Committee of Privy Counsellors. (2016). The Report of the Iraq Inquiry (London:
Government of the United Kingdom).
152 References
Cooper, H. (2015), “In a First, Chinese Navy Sails Off Alaska,” New York Times, 2
September.
Cooper, H. (2016), “Patrolling Disputed Waters, US and China Jockey for Dominance”,
New York Times, 30 March.
Cooper, H. and Perlez, J. (2014), “US Sway in Asia is Imperiled as China Challenges
Alliances,” New York Times, May 30.
Cooper, H. and Perlez, J. (2015a), “US Flies Over a Chinese Project at Sea, and Beijing
Objects,” New York Times, 22 May.
Cooper, H. and Perlez, J. (2015b), “White House Moves to Reassure Allies With South
China Sea Patrol, but Quietly,” New York Times, 27 October.
Copeland, D. (2000), The Origins of Major War (Ithaca: Cornell University Press).
Craig, G. (1950), “High Tide of Appeasement: The Road to Munich, 1937-38,” Political
Science Quarterly 65:1, 20-37.
Crawford, T. (2003), Pivotal Deterrence: Third Part Statecraft and the Pursuit of Peace
(Ithaca: Cornell University Press).
Croco, S. (2011), “The Decider’s Dilemma: Leader Culpability, War Outcomes, and
Domestic Punishment,” American Political Science Review 105:3, 457—77.
Cusack, T. and Stoll, R. (1991), “Balancing Behavior in the Interstate System, 1816-1976,”
International Interactions 16:4, 255-70.
Danilovic, V. (2001), “The Sources of Threat Credibility in Extended Deterrence,” Journal
of Conflict Resolution 45:3, 341-69.
Davis, J. (2001), Threats and Promises: The Pursuit of International Influence (Baltimore:
John Hopkins University Press).
Dent, C. (2008), East Asian Regionalism (London: Routledge).
Deutsch, A. (2015), “In defeat for Beijing, Hague court to hear South China Sea dispute,”
Reuters, 30 October.
Dominion Post. (2012), “Vietnam Passport Map Controversy,” 27 November.
Edelstein, D. (2002), “Managing Uncertainty: Beliefs about intentions and the rise of great
powers,” Security Studies 12:1, 1—40.
Elman, M. (1995), “The Foreign Policy of Small States: Challenging Neorealism in its
Own Backyard,” British Journal of Political Science 25:2, 171—217.
Emmers, R., and Tan, S. (2011), “The ASEAN Regional Forum and Preventive Diplomacy:
Built to Fail?,” Asian Security 7:1, 44-60.
Entous, A., Lubold, G., and Barnes, J. (2015), “US Militaiy Proposes Challenge to China
Sea Claims: Moves would send Navy planes, ships near artificial islands build by China
in contested waters,” Wall Street Journal, 12 May.
Erickson, A., Strange, A., Cheng, D., Ratner, E., Brimley, S., Haddick, R., Rapp-Hooper,
M., and Cooper, Z. (2015), “China’s Menacing Sandcastles in the South China Sea,”
CSIS Asia Program, 2 March.
Escritt, T. (2015), “Philippines take South China Sea claim to Hague court,” Reuters, 24
November.
Fearon, J. (1995), “Rationalist Explanations for War,” International Organization 49:3.
379-414.
Fey. M., and Ramsay, K. (2007), “Mutual Optimism and War,” American Journal of
Political Science 51:4, 738-54.
Finnemore, M. (2003), The Purpose of Intervention: Changing Beliefs About the Use of
Force (Ithaca: Cornell University Press).
Fisher. M. (2012), “Here’s the Chinese Passport Map That’s Infuriating Much of Asia.” The
Washington Post, 26 November.
References 153
Foot, R. (2006), “Chinese Strategies in a US-Hegemonic Global Order: Accommodating
and Hedging,” International Affairs 82: J, 77—94.
Forsythe, M. and Perlez, J. (2016), “South China Sea Buildup Brings Beijing Closer to
Realizing Control”, New York Times, 8 March.
Fox, A. (1959), The Power of Small States: Diplomacy in World War II {C hicago: University
of Chicago Press).
Freedman, L. (2013), Strategy: A History (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Friedberg, A. (2000), “Will Europe’s past be Asia’s future?,” Survival 42:3, 147-60.
Fry, M. (1999), “Agents and Structures: The Dominions and the Czechoslovak Crisis,
September 1983,” in Lukes, L and Goldstein, E. (eds) The Munich Crisis, 1938, Prelude
to World War //, Portland, OR: Frank Cass.
Gaddis, J. (1997), We Now Know: Rethinking Cold War History (Oxford: Oxford University
Press).
Gartzke, E. (1999), “War is in the Error Term,” International Organization 53:3, 567—87.
Gartzke, E. (2007), “The Capitalist Peace,” American Journal of Political Science 51:1,
166—91.
Gelpi, C. (1999), “Alliances as Instruments of Intra-Allied Control,” in Haftendom, H.,
Keohane, R., and Wallander, C. (eds) Imperfect Unions: Security Institutions over Time
and Space (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Gholz, E. (2014), “Rare Earth Elements and National Security,” Council on Foreign
Relations Energy Report October, 1-13.
Gibler, D. (2009), International Military Alliances, 1648—2008 (Washington: CQ Press).
Glaser, C. (1992), “Political Consequences of Military Strategy: Extending and Refining
the Spiral Model,” World Politics 44:4, 497-538.
Glaser, C. (1997), “The Security Dilemma Revisited,” World Politics 50:1, 171-201.
Glaser, C. (2011), “Why Unipolarity Doesn’t Matter (Much),” Cambridge Review of
International Affairs 24:2, 135—48.
Gleditsch, K. (2002), All International Politics is Local: The Diffusion of Conflict,
Integrations, and Democratization (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press).
Goemans, H. (2000), War and Punishment: The Causes of War Termination and the First
World War (Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Goh, E. (2007), “Southeast Asian Perspectives on the China Challenge,” Journal of
Strategic Studies 30:4—5, 809-32.
Goh, E. (2008), “Great Powers and Hierarchical Order in Southeast Asia: Analyzing
Regional Security Strategies,” International Security 32:3, 113—57.
Goh. E. (2011), “Institutions and the great power bargain in East Asia: ASEAN’s limited
‘brokerage’ role,” International Relations of the Asia-Pacific 11:3, 373—401.
Goldstein, E. (1999), “Neville Chamberlain, the British Official Mind and the Munich
Crisis,” in Lukes, I. and Goldstein, E. (eds) The Munich Crisis, 1938, Prelude to World
War II, Portland, OR: Frank Cass.
Gordon, M. (2015), “Kerry Urges Beijing to Halt Actions in South China Sea.” New York
Times, August 5.
Governments of the Member States of ASEAN and the Government of the People’s
Republic of China. (2002), Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China
Sea (Phnom Penh).
Graham. R. (1996), The Great Powers and the Decline of the European States System
1914-1945 (New York: Longman).
Great Britain. Foreign Office. (1990). British Documents on Foreign Affairs: Reports and
Papers from the Foreign Office confidential print. Part II, From the First to Second
154 References
World War. Series F, Europe, 1919-1939. Vol. 22-23,47, and 49. (Frederick: University
Publications of America).
Green, M. (2014), “Regional Security Roles and Challenges,” in Hachigian, N. (ed.)
Debating China: The US-China Relationship in Ten Conversations (Oxford: Oxford
University Press).
Guinto, J. and Heath, N. (2012), “China Maps Path to New Conflicts in its Passports,” The
Age, 23 November.
Gulick, E. (1955), Europe’s Classical Balance of Power: A Case History of the Theory
and Practice of One of the Great Concepts of European Statecraft (Ithaca: Cornell
University Press).
Haas, E. (1953), “The balance of power: prescription, concept, or propaganda?,” World
Politics 5:4, 442—77.
Haas, M. (2014), “Ideological Polarity and Balancing in Great Power Politics”, Security
Studies 23(4): 715-53.
Haight, J. (1960), “France, the United States, and the Munich Crisis,” Journal of Modern
History 32:4, 340-58.
Hammerström, M. and Heldt, B. (2002), “The Diffusion of Military Intervention: Testing a
Network Diffusion Approach,” International Interactions 28:4, 355-77.
Harinder, A. (1983), “Britain and the Sudeten Issue, 1938: The Evolution of Policy,”
Journal of Contemporary History 18:2, 233—59.
Harris, G. (2016), “Vietnam Arms Embargo to Be Fully Lifted, Obama Says in Hanoi”,
New York Times, 23 May.
He, K. (2012), “Undermining Adversaries: Unipolarity, Threat Perception and Negative
Balancing Strategies After the Cold War,” Security Studies 21:2, 154-91.
He, K. and Feng, H. (2012), “Debating China’s assertiveness: Taking China’s power and
interests seriously,” International Politics 49: 633^44.
Hemmings, J. (2011), “Law not War in the South China Sea,” The Diplomat, November 23.
Herman, J. (1980), “Soviet Peace Efforts on the Eve of World War Two: A Review of the
Soviet Documents,” Journal of Contemporary History 15:3, 577-602.
Hernandez, J. (2015), “Warily Eyeing China, Philippines May Invite US Back to Subic
Bay,” New York Times, 19 September.
Herz, J. (1950), “Idealist Internationalism and the Security Dilemma,” World Politics 2:2,
157-80.
Hirschman, A. (1980), National Power and the Structure of Foreign Trade (Berkeley:
University of California Press).
Hitchins, K. (1994), Rumania; 1866-1947 (Oxford: Clarendon Press).
Hoisington, W. (1971), “The Struggle for Economic Influence in Southeastern Europe: The
French Failure in Romania, 1940,” Journal of Modern History 43:3, 468—82.
Holden, A. (1976), “Bulgaria’s Entry into the First World War: A Diplomatic Study, 1913-
1915,” Dissertation (University of Illinois).
Holmes, J. (2012), “The Sino-Japanese Naval War of 2012,” Foreign Policy, 20 August.
Hopf, T. (2010), “The Logic of Habit in International Relations,” European Journal of
International Relations 16:4, 539-61.
Hoptner, J. (1962), Yugoslavia in Crisis, 1934-1941 (New York: Columbia University
Press).
Houweling, H. and Siccama, J. (1988), Studies of War (Dordrecht: Nijholf).
Hughes, J. (1988), “The Origins of World War II in Europe: British Deterrence Failure and
German Expansionism,” Journal of Interdisciplinary History 18:4, 851-91.
Hume, D. (1898), Essays. Moral, Political and Literary (New York: Longmans. Green).
References 155
Hunt, L. and Jiang, S. (2016), “South China Sea: China may establish air defense zone after
losing court ruling”, CNN, 13 July.
Huth, P., and Russett, B. (1984), “What Makes Deterrence Work? Cases from 1900 to
1980,” World Politics 36:4, 496-526.
Huth, P., Croco, S., and Appel, B. (2011), “Does International Law Promote the Peaceful
Settlement of International Disputes? Evidence from the Study of Territorial Conflicts
since 1945,” American Political Science Review 105(2): 415—36.
Ikle, F. (1964), How Nations Negotiate (New York: Harper and Row).
Ives, M. (2016a), “Vietnam Faces Last-Minute Maneuvering for Communist Party
Leadership”, New York Times, 18 January.
Ives, M. (2016b), “Vietnam’s Communist Party Gives Old-Guard Leader a New Five Year
Term”, New York Times, 27 January.
Jackson, P. (1998), “Intelligence and the End of Appeasement,” in Boyce, R. (ed.) French
Foreign and Defense Policy 1918-1940 (New York: Routledge).
Jervis, R. (1978), “Cooperation Under the Security Dilemma,” World Politics 30:2, 167-
214.
Jervis, R. (1994), “What Do We Want to Deter and How Do We Deter It?,” in Ederington,
L. and Mazarr, M. (eds) Turning Point (Boulder: Westview Press).
Johnston, A. (2011), “How New and Assertive Is China’s New Assertiveness?,”
International Security 37:4, 7-48.
Jones, D. (1994), “Balancing and Bandwagoning in Militarized Interstate Disputes”, in
Way man, F. and Diehl, P. (eds) Reconstructing Realpolitik (Ann Arbor: University of
Michigan Press).
Joyce, K., Ghosn, F., and Bayer, R. (2014), “When and Whom to Join: The Expansion
of Ongoing Violent Interstate Conflicts,” British Journal of Political Science 44:1,
205-38.
Jukes, G. (1991), “The Red Army and the Munich Crisis,” Journal of Contemporary
History 26:2, 195-214.
Kang, D. (2009), “Between Balancing and Bandwagoning: South Korea’s Response to
China,” Journal of East Asian Studies 9:1, 1-28.
Kaplan, R. (2011), “The South China Sea is the Future of Conflict,” Foreign Policy
September/October, 76-86.
Katona, G. (1939), “Hungary in the German Orbit,” Foreign Affairs 17(3): 599-610.
Kaufmann, J. (1988), “Unusual Aspects of a Unique Fortification: The Maginot Line,”
Military Affairs 52:2, 69-74.
Kaufman, R. (1992), “‘To Balance or to Bandwagon?’ Alignment Decisions in 1930s
Europe,” Security Studies 1:3, 417-^17.
Kaufman, S., Little, R., and Wohlforth, W. (eds). (2007), Balance of Power in World
History (London: Paigrave MacMillan).
Kennedy, P. (1989), The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military
Conflict from ¡500 to 2000 (New York: Fontana Press).
Keohane, R. (1982), “The Demand for International Regimes,” International Organization
36:2, 325-55.
Keohane, R. (1986), “Reciprocity in International Relations,” International Organization
40:1,1-27.
Keohane, R. and Martin, L. (1995), “The Promise of Institutionalist Theory,” International
Security 20:1,39-51.
Keohane, R. and Nye, J. (1974), “Transgovemmental Relations and International
Organization,” World Politics 27:1, 39-62.
156 References
Keohane, R., Haftendom, H., and Wallander, C. (1999), Conclusions”, in Haftendom, H.,
Keohane, R. and Wallander, C. (eds) Imperfect Unions: Security Institutions over Time
and Space (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Koo, M. (2009), Island Disputes and Maritime Regime Building in East Asia: Between a
Rock and a Hard Place (New York: Springer).
Krebs, R. and Rapport, A. (2012), International Relations and the Psychology of Time
Horizons,” International Studies Quarterly 56:3, 530-43.
Krizman, B. (1978), Vanjska Politika Jugoslovenske Države 1918-1941 (Zagreb:
Sveučilište Zgb-Ins.za hrv. po.).
Kroenig, M. (2015), Why Democracies Dominate: America’s Edge over China,” National
Interest 138, 38-46.
Kupchan, C. and Kupchan, C. (1995), The Promise of Collective Security,” International
Security 20:1, 52—61.
Kydd, A. (1997a), Game Theory and the Spiral Model,” World Politics 49:3, 371-400.
Kydd, A. (1997b), Sheep in Sheep’s Clothing: Why Security Seekers Do Not Fight Each
Other,” Security Studies 7:1, 114—55.
Lacaze, Y. (1998), Daladier, Bonnet and the Decision-making Process During the Munich
Crisis, 1938,” in Boyce, R. (ed.) French Foreign and Defense Policy 1918-1940 (New
York: Routledge).
Lake, D. (2001), Beyond Anarchy: The Importance of Security Institutions,” International
Security 26:1, 129-60.
Landler, M. and Forsythe, M. (2016), Chinese Missiles in South China Sea Underscore a
Growing Conflict Risk”, New York Times, 17 February.
Layne, C. (1993), The Unipolar Illusion: Why New Great Powers Will Rise,” International
Security 17:4, 5-51.
Layne, C. (2006), The Unipolar Illusion Revisited: The Coming End of the United States’
Unipolar Moment,” International Security 31:2, 7-41.
Layne, C. (2008), Security Studies and the Use of History: Neville Chamberlain’s Grand
Strategy Revisited,” Security Studies 17:3, 397-437.
Leeds, B. (2005), Alliances and the Expansion and Escalation of Militarized Interstate
Disputes,” in Mintz, A. and Russett, B. (eds) New Directions for International Relations:
Confronting the Method-of Analysis Problem (New York: Lexington Books).
Leitz, C. (1997), Arms as Levers: ‘Matériel’ and Raw Materials in Germany’s Trade with
Romania in the 1930s,” The International History Review 19:2, 312-32.
Levy, J. (1994), Learning and Foreign Policy: Sweeping a Conceptual Minefield,”
International Organization 48:2, 279-312.
Levy, J. (2002), Balances and Balancing: Concepts, Propositions, and Research Design,”
in Vasquez, J. and Elman, C. (eds ).Realism and the Balancing of Power: A New Debate
(Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall).
Levy, J. and Thompson, W. (2005), Hegemonic Threats and Great Power Balancing in
Europe, 1495-1999,” Security Studies 14:1, 1-33.
Levy, J. and Thompson, W. (2010), Balancing on Land and at Sea: Do States Ally Against
the Leading Global Power?,” International Security 35:1, 7^13.
Li, M. (2010), Reconciling Assertiveness and Cooperation? China’s Changing Approach
to the South China Sea Dispute,” Security Challenges 6:2, 49-68.
Liddell Hart, B. (1960), Deterrent or Defence (London: Stevens and Sons).
Lieber, K. and Alexander, G. (2005), Waiting for Balancing: Why the World Isn’t Pushing
Back,” International Security 24:1, 109—39.
Lim, Y. (2014), China s Naval Power: An Offensive Realist Approach (Aldershot: Ashgate).
References 157
Lukač, D. (1979), Dileme Stojadinovičeve Spoljne Politike U Vreme Utemeljivanja Osovine
Rim - Berlin (Belgrade; Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti, Balkanološki institute).
Lukes, L (1999), “Stalin and Czechoslovakia in 1938-39: An Autopsy of a Myth,” in
Lukes, L and Goldstein, E. (eds) The Munich Crisis, ¡938, Prelude to World War //,
Portland, OR: Frank Cass.
Macartney, C. (1938), “Hungary and the Present Crisis,” International Affairs 17:6, 749—
68.
Marks, F. (1985), “Six Between Roosevelt and Hitler: America’s Roie in the Appeasement
of Nazi Germany,” The Historical Journal 28:4, 969-82.
Mastaduno, M. (2002), “Incomplete Hegemony and Security Order in the Asia-Pacific,”
in Ikenberry, G. (ed.) America Unrivaled: The Future of the Balance of Power (Ithaca:
Cornell University Press).
Mastro, O. (2016), “The Vulnerability of Rising Powers: The Logic Behind China’s Low
Military Transparency”, Asian Security 12(2): 63—81.
Mattingly, G. (1988), Renaissance Diplomacy (New York: Dover).
McDonald, P. (2015), “Great Powers, Hierarchy, and Endogenous Regimes: Rethinking
the Domestic Causes of Peace,” International Organization 69(3): 557—88.
McKay, D. and Scott, H. (1995), The Rise of the Great Powers ¡648—1815 (New York:
Longman).
Mearsheimer, J. (2001), The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (New York: W. W. Norton).
Mearsheimer, J. (2010), “The Gathering Storm: China’s Challenge to US Power in Asia,”
Chinese Journal of International Politics 3:4, 381—96.
Melin, M. and Koch, M. (2010), “Jumping into the Fray: Alliances, Power, Institutions,
and the Timing of Conflict Expansion,” International Interactions 36:1, 1—27.
Men, J. (2007), “The Construction of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area: A Study of
China’s Active Involvement,” Global Society 21(2): 249-68.
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China. (2015), “Foreign Ministry
Spokesperson Hua Chunying’s Remarks on US Defense Secretary Carter’s Speech
Relating to the Issue of the South China Sea at the Shangri-La Dialogue,” May 30.
Mirkovich, N. (1941), “Jugoslavia’s Choice,” Foreign Affairs 20:1, 131—51.
Mogato, M., Martina, M., and Blanchard, B. (2016), “ASEAN deadlocked on South China
Sea, Cambodia blocks statement,” Reuters, 26 July.
Morgenthau, H. (1973), Politics Among Nations (New York: Knopf).
Most, B. and Starr, H. (1980), “Diffusion, Reinforcement, Geo-Politics and the Spread of
War,” American Political Science Review 74:4, 932^46.
Mullany, G. (2014), “Philippines Jails Chinese Sailors in Fish Dispute,” New York Times,
May 10.
Mullany, G. and Barboza, D. (2014), “Vietnam Squares Off with China in Disputed Seas,”
New York Times, 7 May.
Murphy, A. (2010), “Beyond Balancing and Bandwagoning: Thailand’s Response to
China’s Rise,” Asian Security 6:1, 1—27.
Murray, W. (1984), The Change in the European Balance of Power, 1938-1939: The Path
to Ruin (Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Newman, M. (1978), “The Origins of Munich: British Policy in Danubian Europe, 1933-
1937,” The Historical Journal 21:2, 371-86.
Nexon, D. (2009), “The Balance of Power in the Balance,” World Politics 61:2, 330-59.
Nye, J. (2002), “Limits of American Power,” Political Science Quarterly 117:4, 545-59.
Offner, A. (1977), “Appeasement Revisited: The United States, Great Britain, and
Germany: 1933—1940,” Journal of American History 64:2, 373—93.
158 References
Oneal, J. (1990), “The Theory of Collective Action and Burden Sharing in NATO,”
International Organization 44:3, 379-402.
Orange, V. (2006), “The German Air Force is Already ‘The Most Powerful in Europe’:
Two Royal Air Force Officers Report on a Visit to Germany, 6֊15 October 1936,” The
Journal of Military History 70:4, 1011—28.
Ostrom, E. (1990), Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective
Action (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).
Ott, M. (2011), “Competing Claims in the South China Sea,” Current History September,
236-^1.
Overy, R. (1999), “Germany and the Munich Crisis: A Mutilated Victory?,” in Lukes, I.
and Goldstein, E. (eds) The Munich Crisis, 1938, Prelude to World War //, Portland,
OR: Frank Cass.
Oye, K. (1986), Cooperation Under Anarchy (Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Paddock, R. (2016), “Mysterious Blast in Philippines Fuels Rodrigo Duterte’s ‘Hatred’ of
US,” New York Times, 13 May.
Pape, R. (2005), “Soft Balancing Against the United States,” International Security 30:1,
7-45.
Parent, J. and Rosato, S. (2015), “Balancing in Neorealism,” International Security 40:2,
51-86.
Parker, R. (1956), “The First Capitulation: France and the Rhineland Crisis of 1936,”
World Politics 8:3, 355-73.
Pastor, P. (2004), “Hungarian-Soviet Diplomatic Relations 1935-1941: A Failed
Rapprochement,” Europe-Asia Studies 56:5, 731-50.
Paul, T. (2004), “Introduction: The Enduring Axioms of Balance,” in Paul, T., Wirtz, J. and
Fortmann, M. (eds) Balance of Power: Theory and Practice in the 21st Century (Palo
Alto: Stanford University Press).
Paul, T. (2005), “Soft Balancing in the Age of U.S. Primacy,” International Security 24:1,
46-71.
Pearson, F., Baumann, R., and Pickering, J. (1994), “Military Intervention and Realpolitik,”
in Way man, F. and Diehl, P. (eds) Reconstructing Realpolitik (Ann Arbor: University
of Michigan Press).
Perlez, J. (2014a), “China and Vietnam Point Fingers After Clash,” New York Times, 27
May.
Perlez, J. (2014b), “Malaysia Risks Enraging China by Inviting US Spy Flight,” New York
Times, 13 September.
Perlez, J. (2015a), “In Victory for Philippines, Hague Court to Hear Dispute Over South
China Sea,” New York Times, 30 October.
Perlez, J. (2015b), “US Admiral, in Beijing, Defends Patrols in South China Sea”, New
York Times, 3 November.
Perlez, J. (2015c), “Xi Hosts 56 Nations at Founding of Asian Infrastructure Bank,” New
York Times, 29 June.
Perlez, J. (2016a), “Beijing Rejects South China Sea Case Ahead of July 12 Ruling,” New
York Times, 30 June.
Perlez, J. (2016b), “Courting New President, China Slows Island-Building Off Philippine
Coast,” New York Times, 25 September.
Perlez, J. (2016c), “US Carriers Sail in Western Pacific, Hoping China Takes Notice”, New
York Times, 18 June.
Perlez, J. (2016d), “Why Might Vietnam Let US Military Return? China,” New York Times,
19 May.
References 159
Perlez, J. and Bradsher, K. (2014), “In High Seas, China Moves Unilaterally,” New York
Times, 9 May.
Perlez, J. and Buckley, C. (2014), “China’s Leader, Seeking to Build Its Muscle, Pushes
Overhaul of the Military,” New York Times, 24 May.
Permanent Court of Arbitration. 2016. “Press Release: The South China Sea Arbitration
(The Philippines v. The People’s Republic of China),” 12 July (The Hague: Permanent
Court of Arbitration).
Powell, R. (1999), In the Shadow of Power: States and Strategies in International Politics
(Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Powell, R. (2004), “Bargaining and Learning While Fighting,” American Journal of
Political Science 48:2, 344—61.
Powell, R. (2006), “War as a Commitment Problem,” International Organization 60:1,
169-203.
Powell, R. (2012), “Persistent Fighting and Shifting Power,” American Journal of Political
Science 56:3, 620-37.
Prazmowska, A. (1986), “Poland’s Foreign Policy: September 1938-September 1939,”
The Historical Journal 29:4, 853—73.
Press, D. (2005), “The Credibility of Power: Assessing Threats during the 4 Appeasement’
Crises of the 1930s,” International Security 29:3, 136—69.
Rafferty, K. (2003), “An Institutionalist’s Reinterpretation of Cold War Alliance Systems:
insights for Alliance Theory,” Canadian Journal of Political Science 36:2, 341—62.
Ragsdale, H. (1998), “The Munich Crisis and the Issue of the Red Army Transit across
Romania,” Russian Review 57:4, 614—7.
Raknerud, A. and Hegre, H. (1997), ‘The Hazard of War: Reassessing the Evidence for the
Democratic Peace,” Journal of Peace Research 34:4, 385^104.
Rapp-Hooper, M. (2015a), “America’s Security Role in the South China Sea,” Statement
before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific,
23 July.
Rapp-Hooper, M. (2015b), “Six Summertime Steps in the South China Sea,” CSIS Asia
Program, 6 August.
Rauchhaus, R. (2009), “Evaluating the Nuclear Peace Hypothesis: A Quantitative
Approach,” Journal of Peace Research 53:2, 258—77.
Reiter, D. (1995), “Exploding the Powder Keg Myth: Preemptive Wars Almost Never
Happen,” International Security 20:2, 5-34.
Reiter, D. (1999), “Military Strategy and the Outbreak of International Conflict: Quantitative
Empirical Tests 1903-1994,” International Studies Quarterly 43:2, 366—87.
Reiter, D. (2009), How Wars End (Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Renzi, W. (1987), In the Shadows of the Sword: Italy s Neutrality and Entrance Into the
Great War, 1914-1915 (New York: Peter Lång).
Richardson, Le. (1960), Statistics of Deadly Quarrels (Chicago: Quadrangle).
Richardson, Lo. (1999), “The Concert of Europe and Security Management in the
Nineteenth Century,” in Haftendom, H., Keohane. R. and Wallander. C. (eds) Imperfect
Unions: Security Institutions over Time and Space (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Ripsman, N. and Levy, J. (2008), “Wishful Thinking or Buying Time? The Logic of British
Appeasement in the 1930s,” International Security 33:2. 148-81.
Rosecrance. R. and Lo, C. (1996). “Balancing, Stability, and War: The Mysterious Case of
the Napoleonic International System.” International Studies Quarterly 40:4. 479-500.
Rothschild. J. (1977), East Central Europe between the Two World Wars (Seattle: University
of Washington Press).
160 References
Rothstein, R. (1968), Alliances and Small Powers (New York: Columbia University Press).
Roy, D. (2005), “Southeast Asia and China: Balancing or Bandwagoning?,” Contemporary
Southeast Asia 27:2, 305-22.
Russett, B. and Oneal, J. (2001), Triangulating Peace: Democracy; interdependence, and
International Organizations (New York: W. W. Norton).
Sakmyster, T. (1973), “Hungary and the Munich Crisis: The Revisionist Dilemma,” Slavic
Review 32:4, 725-40.
Sakmyster, T. (1980), Hungary, the Great Powers, and the Danubian Crisis, 1936-1939
(Athens: University of Georgia Press).
Sakwa, G. (1973), “The Franco-Polish Alliance and the Remilitarization of the Rhineland,”
The Historical Journal 16:1, 125—4G.
Sanger, D. (2016), “Despite Obama’s Moves, Asian Nations Skeptical of US Commitment,”
New York Times, 23 May.
Sanger, D. and Broad, W. (2015), “China Makes Some Missiles More Powerful,” New York
Times, 16 May.
Sanger, D. and Gladstone, R. (2015), “Piling Sand in a Disputed Sea, China Literally Gains
Ground,” New York Times, 8 April.
Sanger, D. and Gladstone, R. (2016), “New Photos Cast Doubt on China’s Vow Not to
Militarize Disputed Islands,” New York Times, 8 August.
Sanger, D. and Landler, M. (2014), “Obama’s Strategic Shift to Asia is Hobbled by Pressure
at Home and Crises Abroad,” New York Times, 21 April.
Sarkees, M. and Wayman, F. (2010), Resort to War: 1816-2007 (Washington: CQ Press).
Savič, I. and Shirkey, Z. (2009), “Trust in the Balance: Asymmetric Information, Commitment
Problems and Balancing Behavior,” Journal of Theoretical Politics 21:4, 483—508.
Scanlon, C. (2014), “Is Shinzo Abe Fanning Nationalist Flames?,” BBC News. April 23.
Schelling, T. (1966), Arms and Influence (New Haven: Yale University Press).
Schroeder, P. (1972), Austria, Great Britain, and the Crimean War: The Destruction of the
Concert of Europe (Ithaca: Cornell University Press).
Schroeder, P. (1994), “Historical Reality vs. Neo-Realist Theory,” International Security
19:1, 108-48.
Schuker, S. (1986), “France and the Remilitarization of the Rhineland, 1936,” French
Historical Studies 14:3, 299-338.
Schweller, R. (1994), “Bandwagoning for Profit: Bringing the Revisionist State Back In,”
International Security 19:1, 72-107.
Schweller, R. (1997), “New Realist Research on Alliances: Refining, Not Refuting, Waltz’s
Balancing Proposition,” American Political Science Review 91:4, 927—30.
Schweller, R. (2006), Unanswered Threats: Political Constraints on the Balance of Power
(Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Schweller, R. (2011), “The Future is Uncertain and the End is Always Near,” Cambridge
Review of International Affairs 24:2, 175—84.
Science Letter (1938), “In Sudeten, Germany Would Add to Raw Material Needs,” 34:14.
213.
Seiden, Z. (2013), “Balancing Against or Balancing With? The Spectrum of Alignment and
the Endurance of American Hegemony,” Security Studies 22:2, 330-64.
Shear, M. (2015), “Obama Calls on Beijing to Stop Construction in South China Sea,” New
York Times, 18 November.
Shirer, W. (1984), The Nightmare Years, 1930 1940 (Boston: Little, Brown).
Shirkey, Z. (2009), Is This a Private Fight of Can Anybody Join? The Spread of Interstate
War (Aldershot: Ashgate).
References 1 6 J
Shirkey, Z. (2012), Joining the Fray: Outside Military Intervention in Civil Wars
(Aldershot: Ashgate).
Siverson, R. and King, J. (1979), “Alliances and the Expansion of War, 1815-1965,” in
Singer, J. and Wallace, M. (eds) To Auger Well (Beverly Hills: Sage).
Siverson, R. and Starr, H. (1991), The Diffusion of War: A Study of Opportunity and
Willingness (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press).
Slantchev, B. (2004), “How Initiators End Their Wars: The Duration of Warfare and the
Terms of Peace,” American Journal of Political Science 48:4, 813—29.
Slantchev, B. and Tarar, A. (2011), “Mutual Optimism as a Rationalist Explanation of
War,” American Journal of Political Science 55:1, 135-48.
Smith, A. (1995), “Alliance Formation and War,” International Studies Quarterly 39:4,
405-25.
Snyder, G. (1965), “The Balance of Power and the Balance of Terror,” in Seaburt, P. (ed.)
The Balance of Power (Scranton: Chandler).
Spaulding, R. (1990), “German Trade Policy in Eastern Europe, 1890-1990: Preconditions
for Applying International Trade Leverage,” International Organization, 45:3, 343—68.
Spitzer, K. (2013), “Why Japan’s Biggest Defense-Spending Hike in Over Two Decades
Isn’t Going to Buy Much,” Time, 2 September.
Stanley, E. (2009), Paths to Peace: Domestic Coalition Shifts, War Termination and the
Korean War (Palo Alto: Stanford University Press).
Starr, H. and Most, B. (1976), “The Substance and Study of Borders in International
Relations Research,” International Studies Quarterly 20:4, 581—620.
Steiner, Z. (2011), The Triumph of the Dark: European International History 1933—1939
(Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Storey, I. (2011), Southeast Asia and the Rise of China: The search for security (London:
Routledge).
Strang, G. (1996), “Once More unto the Breach: Britain’s Guarantee to Poland, March
1939,” Journal of Contemporary History 31:4, 721—52.
Strang, G. (1999), “War and Peace: Mussolini’s Road to Munich,” in Lukes, L and
Goldstein, E., (eds) The Munich Crisis, 1938, Prelude to World War //, Portland, OR:
Frank Cass.
Taliaferro, J. (2001), “Security Seeking under Anarchy: Defensive Realism Reconsidered,”
International Security 25:3, 128—61.
Tams, C. (1999), “The Functions of a European Security and Defense Identity and its
Institutional Forms,” in Haftendom, H., Keohane, R. and Wallander, C. (eds) Imperfect
Unions: Security Institutions over Time and Space (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Thomas, M. (1999), “France and the Czechoslovak Crisis,” in Lukes, I. and Goldstein, E.
(eds) The Munich Crisis, 1938, Prelude to World War //, Portland, OR: Frank Cass.
Torrey, G. (1998). Romania and World War I: A Collection of Studies (Portland: Center for
Romanian Studies).
Tuong L. (2014), “Vietnam’s Overdue Alliance with America,” New York Times, July 11.
Tuschoff, C. (1999), “Alliance Cohesion and Peaceful Change in NATO.” in Haftendorn,
H., Keohane, R. and Wallander, C., (eds) Imperfect Unions: Security Institutions
over Time and Space (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Twomey, C. (2014), “Military Developments,” in Hachigian, N. (ed.) Debating China:
The US-China Relationship in Ten Conversations (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Vasquez. J. (1997). “The Realist Paradigm and Degeneration versus Progressive Research
Programs: An Appraisal of Neotraditional Research on Waltz’s Balancing Proposition,”
American Political Science Review 91:4. 899—912.
162 References
Vasquez, J. and Elman, C. (eds). (2003), Realism and the Balancing of Power: A New
Debate. (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall).
Wagner, R. (2004), “Bargaining, War, and Alliances,” Conflict Management and Peace
Science 21:3, 215—31.
Wagner, R. (2007), War and the State: The Theory of international Politics (Ann Arbor:
University of Michigan Press).
Walker, S. and Watson, G. (1994), “Integrative Complexity and British Decisions during the
Munich and Polish Crises,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 38:1, 3-23.
Wallander, C. and Keohane, R. (1999), “Risk, Threat, and Security Institutions,” in
Haftendom, H., Keohane, R., and Wallander, C. (eds) Imperfect Unions: Security
Institutions over Time and Space (Oxford: Oxford University Press).
Wallensteen, P. and Sollenberg, M. (1998), “Armed Conflict and Regional Conflict
Complexes, 1989-97,” Journal of Peace Research 35:5, 621-34.
Wall Street Journal. (2011), “Asia Pushes Back Against China,” 19 November.
Walt, S. (1985), “Alliance Formation and the Balance of World Power,” International
Security 9:4, 3—43.
Walt, S. (1987), The Origins of Alliances (Ithaca: Cornell University Press).
Walt, S. (2010), “Balancing act (Asian version),” Foreign Policy, 3 May.
Waltz, K. (1979), Theory of International Politics (New York: McGraw Hill).
Waltz, K. (2000), “Structural Realism After the Cold War,” International Security 25:1, 5-A 1.
Wandycz, P. (1981), “The Little Entente: Sixty Years Later,” The Slavonic and East
European Review 59:4, 548-64.
Wandycz, P. (1988a), Polish Diplomacy 1914-1945: Aims and Achievements (London:
Orbis Books).
Wandycz, P. (1988b), The Twilight of French Eastern Alliances, 1926-1936: French-
Czechoslovak—Polish Relations from Locarno to the Remilitarization of the Rhineland
(Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Ward, M. and Gleditsch, K. (2002), “Location, Location, Location: An MCMC Approach
to Modeling the Spatial Context of War and Peace,” Political Analysis 10:3, 244-60.
Watson, A. (1992), The Evolution of International Society. (London: Routledge).
Weber, K. (1997), “Hierarchy Amidst Anarchy: A Transactions Cost to International
Security Cooperation,” International Studies Quarterly 41:2, 321^40.
Weinberg, G. (1999), “Reflections on Munich After 60 Years,” in Lukes, I. and Goldstein,
E. (eds) The Munich Crisis, 1938, Prelude to World War II, Portland, OR: Frank Cass.
Weinberger, S. (2015), “What Happened at Subi Reef?,” Duck of Minerva, 9 November.
Weisiger, A. (2013), Logics of War: Explanations for Limited and Unlimited Conflicts
(Ithaca: Cornell University Press).
Wendt, A. (1999), Social Theory of International Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press).
Werner, S. (2000), “Deterring Intervention: The Stakes of War and Third-Party
Involvement,” American Journal of Political Science 44:4, 720-32.
Whaley, F. (2014), “US and Philippines Hold Joint Military Exercises,” New York Times,
29 September.
Whaley, F. (2016a), “Eye on China, US and Philippines Ramp Up Military Alliance,” New
York Times, 12 April.
Whaley, F. (2016b), “US and Philippines Bolster Air and Sea Patrols in South China Sea,
New York Times, 14 April.
Whitaker, B. (2010), “Soft Balancing Among Weak States? Evidence from Africa,”
International Affairs 86:5, 1109—27.
References 163
Wolfers, A. (1962), Discord and Collaboration: Essays on International Politics
(Baltimore; John Hopkins Press).
Wolford, S. (2014), “The Survival and Breakdown of Victorious War Coalitions,” Working
Paper (University of Texas).
Wong, E. (2014), “China’s hard Line; ‘No Room for Compromise’,” New York Times, 8
March.
Wong, E. (2015), “China Says it Could Set Up Air Defense Zone in South China Sea,” New
York Times, 31 May.
Wong, E. and Buckley, C. (2015), “China’s Military Budget Increasing 10% for 2015,
Official Says,” New York Times, 4 March.
Wong, E. and Perlez, J. (2015), “As Tensions with US Grow, Beijing Says It Will Stop
Building Artificial Islands in South China Sea,” New York Times, 16 June.
Wong, E., Perlez, J., and Buckley, C. (2015), “China Announces Cuts of 300,000 Troops at
Military Parade Showing Its Might,” New York Times, 2 September.
Wright, Q. (1965), A Study of War. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press).
Wu X. (2014), “Regional Security Roles and Challenges,” in Hachigian, N. (ed.) Debating
China: The US—China Relationship in Ten Conversations (Oxford: Oxford University
Press).
Young, R. (1996), France and the Origins of the Second World War (New York: St.
Martin’s).
Zacher, M. (2001), “The Territorial Integrity Norm: International Boundaries and the Use
of Force,” International Organization 55:2, 215—50.
Index
accommodation see appeasement
aggressor see challenger
Albania 75, 82, 83, 97
Alexander 1, King of Yugoslavia 79
alignment see alliances
alliances 3, 6, 9, 11-14, 18-20, 36, 40-2,
45-7, 49, 54—5, 59, 62-3, 65, 71-6,
78-9, 80-1, 86, 90, 92-7, 101, 103-4,
109-11, 113-14, 117, 119-22, 124-6,
136- 7, 140-1, 143; defection 47; for-
mation 36, 74, 119, 121, 141, 147-8
Anschluss 53, 56֊7, 59, 77, 81, 91, 94, 95
Anti-Comintern Pact 82, 92
Antonescu, Ion 88, 98
appeasement 3, 12, 15, 51, 55, 57, 61,
63- 4, 146, 148
Aquino III, Benigno S. 133, 139
armament 3, 6-7, 12, 18, 20, 22, 36,
49-51, 53, 56, 58-9, 62-5, 76, 78, 80,
82, 83, 86-7, 89, 90, 93-5, 97, 101, 148
Asia 65, 117, 118, 120, 123, 128, 136, 142,
143, 146, 149; see also Southeast Asia
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank 129
Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN) 11, 116, 125-7, 129-30,
137- 9, 141
ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) 127,
138- 9, 141
Austria 37, 72-3, 75, 97, 107, 110, 124,
142; and the Anschluss 53, 55, 57, 59,
64— 5, 81, 91; see also Austria-Hungary
Austria-Hungary 100; see also Austria
Axis 81-5, 88, 92, 93^1, 97, 146
Balance of Power Theory 17, 19
Balance of Threat Theory 9, 67, 109, 114
balancing 1-14, 16-48, 55, 63—4, 67-75,
79, 86, 89, 92-6, 99-104, 106-7, 109-
14, 118-24, 126, 130, 136-7, 140-1,
144—9; asymmetric/soft 2, 14; automatic
18-19, 25, 39; against capabilities/pow-
er 18, 21-2; against intentions 1-3, 5-7,
10, 12, 16, 18, 21-2, 24—6, 28-9, 31,
35-7, 39^44, 44-8, 74; against threats
1—2, 6-7, 17-18, 21-2; external see al-
liances; collective see alliances; internal
see armament
balancer(s) 1-3, 5, 7, 9-11, 13, 16, 19-22,
24, 30-5, 37, 39^14, 46, 48, 65, 68,
71-2, 74, 94, 100, 104, 106, 109,
111- 13, 118, 120, 123-4, 145-8
Baldwin, Stanley 51, 58
Balkan Entente 79, 82, 86, 94; see also
Balkan Pact
Balkan Pact 97; see also Balkan Entente
Balkans 73, 82-4, 97
bandwagoning 1-2, 8-9, 11-13, 17, 19-20,
47, 64, 67-71, 73-5, 79, 88-9, 91-6,
99-107, 109-13, 118, 120-2, 126-7,
130, 140, 146-9; for protection 9, 79;
for spoils 9, 67, 79, 89, 91-2; for ter-
ritorial vs. non-territorial spoils 103-6,
109-13
bargaining 3, 20, 26, 68, 83, 105, 113, 138,
146; bargaining theories of war 99,
112- 13
Beck, Jozef 55, 76-8, 96, 97
Belgium 17, 37, 51, 71, 76, 100, 102, 103,
107
beliefs 1, 24, 43—4, 47-8, 52-3, 57-8, 62-3,
93
Bene§, Edvard 55, 57, 80-1
Bessarabia 83, 85, 88-9
Biddle, Drexel 65, 76-7
Blum, Leon 80
Bonnet, Georges 54—6, 61
Britain 7, 10, 12, 17, 24, 37, 47, 63, 64, 65,
71, 73, 75, 93, 94, 100, 102, 107, 114,
Index 165
123, 142, 146, 147, 148; relations with
Hungary 91-2; relations with Poland
77-8; and the Rhineland Crisis 48,
50-3; relations with Romania 86, 87,
97; Sudetenland Crisis 53^4, 56-8,
60-3, 66, 122; relations with
Yugoslavia 80, 84, 97
British Dominions 57
Brunei 13, 122, 125, 131, 143
buck-passing 12, 19-20, 64, 118, 137, 145;
to other states 2-3, 6, 10, 39, 43, 46-7,
122; to the future see delay
Bukovina 83, 88-9, 98
Bulgaria 74, 75, 79, 83, 97, 107, 114, 121;
relations with Romania 85, 86, 88, 97,
98, 110, 124, 125
Bullitt, William 55, 60, 62
Cadogan, Alexander 58
Cambodia 107, 108, 125, 139
Carol II, King of Romania 56, 85—8, 96, 97
Carpatho—Ukraine 78, 87, 91-2, 97
challenger(s) 1-3, 5-11, 13-14, 16, 19,
21-46, 67-74, 102, 142, 145-8; nature
of 69, 73, 102
Chamberlain, Neville 52-4, 57-8, 60-1,
65, 66, 77, 122
China 1, 4, 10-11, 13, 14, 107, 140-4,
146; and ASEAN 126-7, 137-40;
compared to 1930s Europe 120-6;
economic ties 127—30; relations with
United States 132-7; and the South
China Sea 115-20, 130-2
Chłapowski, Alfred 76
Churchill, Winston 58, 65, 83, 97, 98
Ciano, Galeazzo 82
Cincar-Marković, Aleksandar 83
Clinton, Hillary 127
coalition see alliances
Cold War 6, 14, 25, 72, 129, 136
collective action problems 19, 43, 118
commitment problems 1—4, 6, 10-11,
13-14, 16, 18-21,25-6,31-2,35-6,
38^10, 64
couverture 49—50
credibility 38, 71
Csáky, István 92
Cvetkovič, Dragiša 82, 84
Czechoslovakia 36, 66, 75, 95, 96, 97,
107, 122, 124—6, 133; relations with
Hungary 89-93; relations with Poland
76-8; and the Rhineland Crisis 49-52;
relations with Romania 85-7; and the
Sudetenland Crisis 54-7, 59-63; rela-
tions with Yugoslavia 79-82
Daladier, Edouard 54, 60-2, 80, 122
delay 2, 6-7, 10, 12, 35, 39, 41, 44, 46-8,
62-3, 65, 100-1, 105, 114, 122, 142,
145, 147
dependence see economic relationships
deterrence 3, 14, 18-20, 33, 45, 61, 66,
135-7, 145, 147-8; dual 135-7
diplomacy 44, 76, 78, 81, 100, 142-3, 146
distribution of power/capabilities/forces
see balancing of power
Dobruja 85, 88, 98, 110
domestic politics, effect on balancing 8,
14, 46, 64, 96, 125, 144; elections 14,
65
dominant power see hegemon
Dowdling, Hugh 58
Duterte, Rodrigo 133
East China Sea 116, 142, 143, 144
economic (interdependence, effect on
balancing 9, 11, 72, 94-5, 127-8, 141,
146
Eden, Anthony 51—3, 71, 80, 83
Europe 5, 13, 25, 37, 49, 52, 53, 64, 71,
80, 90, 95, 96, 102, 107, 114, 142; East
Central 2, 9, 11, 53, 55, 57, 62, 65,
71, 73, 75-8, 82, 86, 89-94, 118, 119,
120-30, 136, 143, 146-7; Western 19,
25, 36, 48, 79
Fabricius, Wilhelm 87
Felvidék 82
First Vienna Award 91
France 7, 10, 12, 14, 17, 25, 37, 47, 71,
73, 75, 93-4, 97, 100, 107, 110, 114,
122-5, 143, 146-9; relations with
Hungary 90, 92; relations with Poland
76-8; and the Rhineland Crisis 48-53;
relations with Romania 85-8; and the
Sudetenland Crisis 53-65; relations
with Yugoslavia 79-83
Franco-Polish Alliance 76
Franco-Yugoslav Accord 80
free riding 6, 136-7
freedom of navigation 124, 127, 134-5,
143
Gafencu, Grigore 87
Gamelin, Maurice 50, 53, 58-60, 63
geography, effect on balancing 57, 67, 71,
74, 94, 121-2, 146; isolation 9, 11, 71,
146; proximity 9, 11, 36, 70-1, 73, 75,
166 Index
79, 93, 113, 123; small states 63, 68,
71, 73—4. 94, 113, 116, 118, 120, 123,
126—7, 130, 134, 137-8, 146-7
Germany 7, 8, 10-11, 13, 14, 17, 39, 47,
63-4, 65, 66, 69, 71, 73, 75, 93-6, 97,
100, 101, 107, 110, 120—8, 142, 145-9;
relations with Hungary 89-92; relations
with Poland 76-9; and the Rhineland
Crisis 48-53; relations with Romania
85-9; and the Sudetenland Crisis 53-7,
60-2; relations with Yugoslavia 79-81,
83-4
Goebbles, Joseph 90
Gömbös, Gyula 85, 89-90, 96, 98
Göring, Hermann 81-2, 90
Great Depression 49, 95, 128-9
Greece 73, 75, 79, 83, 84, 86, 93, 97, 102,
107, 113, 124
Greenert, Jonathan W. 137
Hailsham, Lord Viscount 52
Halifax, Lord 56-8, 61, 77, 91
Harris, Harry B. 134
hedging 66, 82, 84, 86, 118, 120-1, 124,
130-1, 137, 141-2, 144, 147, 149
hegemon 17-18, 24, 43, 91
Henlein, Konrad 54, 61
Hitler, Adolf 5, 10, 47, 63-4, 69, 75, 94,
96, 133, 142, 146, 148—9; and Hungary
90-2, 94; and Poland 78-9, 93, 94;
and the Rhineland Crisis 48-9, 51-2;
and Romania 88, 94, 98, 126; and the
Sudetenland Crisis 54, 56-7, 59, 61-2,
66; and Yugoslavia 84-5, 94, 97, 126
Horthy, Miklós 89-92, 98
Hungary 12, 36, 55, 56, 75, 77, 78, 89-93,
94, 95, 96, 97, 98; relations with Ro-
mania 85-9; relations with Yugoslavia
79, 81—4
Iceland 71
Imrédy, Béla 91-2, 96, 98
India 115, 127, 135
Indonesia 122, 125, 131, 134, 141, 143
information 1, 3-4, 14, 16, 20-31, 33-5,
37, 40, 43-4, 47, 99, 102, 104, 111-14,
149
international institutions 9, 13, 67, 71-4.
94֊5, 118, 121, 126-7. 130, 137-41,
143—4, 146
international law 50. 116-17, 134, 137-41,
144
intervention 12-13, 19, 65, 100-1, 103-7,
109-12, 113-14, 123, 149
Iran 4, 7-8, 14, 71, 108
Italy 51, 52, 54, 56, 65, 66, 86, 95, 96, 97,
107, 110, 113, 114, 126; invasion of
Greece 83, 93; relations with Yugosla-
via 79, 80, 81, 82-3
Jamalul Kiram III 125
Japan 100, 102, 107, 108, 109, 110, 126,
142-3; and 1930s Europe 52, 54, 65;
and Southeast Asia 122-3, 124, 127,
135, 137, 142, 143, 144
Jungerth-Amóthy, Mihály 90
Kánya, Kálmán 90-2, 96
Kerry, John 134
Krofta, Kamil 82
League of Nations 11, 50, 78, 82, 88, 92,
94-5, 126-7
Lee Kuan Kew 138
Lipski, Józef 78
Little Entente 59, 79-82, 85-7, 90-1,
93-4,97, 126, 127
Litvinov, Maxim 90
MacMillan, Harold 58
Malaysia 13, 115, 117, 122, 125, 130-1,
134, 141, 143
Manila Declaration 133
Mediterranean Sea 52, 80
Michael I, King of Romania 88
Middle East 1, 4, 8, 14, 73, 136, 149
militarization see armament
Mischief Reef 115, 142
Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact 87-8, 92, 94
Munich Pact 82
Mussolini, Benito 80, 95, 97, 98
nature of the challenge/challenger’s move
see opportunity type
nature of the challenger see challenger
Netherlands 17, 37, 71, 74, 102, 107
nine-dash line 115, 119
Noel, Léon 77
North Atlantic Treaty Organization
(NATO) 19,72
North Korea 136
Norway 71, 102
Obama, Barak 134-5
opportunity type 8, 10-12, 15,21,25-6.
35, 40-1, 45-7, 54, 63, 67, 69, 73, 93,
96, 99, 102, 112, 118, 145-6; intrinsic
value/absolute gains 7-8, 10, 16, 22-3.
index 167
31, 33^t, 36, 40, 42, 65, 70; relational
valuc/relative gains 10, 31 —4, 42, 63,
65
Pacific Ocean 52, 54, 102, 107, 108, 110,
114, 124, 130, 132. 134, 143
Paracel Islands 115, 129, 131, 142
passing the buck see buck-passing
Paul, Prince of Yugoslavia 80, 82-4, 96
People’s Liberation Army (PLA) 132, 143
People’s Liberation Army Navy 119, 140
Permanent Court of Arbitration 11, 139
Peter II, King of Yugoslavia 85
Petrescu-Comnene, Nicolae 66, 98
Philippines 10, 13, 117, 122, 125, 127,
130—2, 139, 143, 147; relations with
United States 132-5; and the Vietnam
War 70, 105, 107
Piłsudski, Józef 76
Poland 10, 12, 63, 65, 75, 79, 81, 83, 85,
93, 96, 97, 100, 121-2, 124-5, 143,
147; relations with Hungary 90, 92, 10;
and the Rhineland Crisis 49, 51, 76-7;
relations with Romania 86, 87-8, 97;
Sudetenland Crisis 54—5, 56, 77-8
Polish Corridor 76, 78-9, 93֊4
Portugal 71, 107
preemption 22, 69, 101
Purić, Boźidar 80-2
rearmament see armament
remilitarization see armament
resolve 34, 55, 78-9, 86-7, 89-90
respondent see balancer
revisionism 68—9, 75-6, 81, 85—6, 88-90
revisionist state/power see challenger
rewards see spoils
Rhineland 10, 12, 37, 39, 47, 48-55, 61-5,
76, 90, 93-4, 97, 148; and Romania 86,
89; and Yugoslavia 80-1
Rhodes, Ben 135, 137
Romania 12, 54-6, 59, 65, 66, 74, 75, 77,
85-9, 93-6, 97, 98, 99, 107, 110, 114,
121—2, 124—6, 143, 146; relations with
Hungaiy 89—92; relations with Yugosla-
via 79. 81-2,83, 85
Roosevelt, Eleanor 51
Russia 1. 5. 8, 14, 56. 57. 60, 65. 72-3. 78,
83. 100. 107. 108. 131. 136. 149; see
also Soviet Union
salami-slicing tactics 38. 136
Salonika 83. 84. 85
Sarraut. Albert 50
Scarborough Shoal 131, 133, 139
Schacht, Hjalmar 128
Second Vienna Award 83, 88, 92, 94
security dilemma 7, 74, 136
signal 7, 31, 34, 37, 43-5, 136
Simon, John 52
Simovič, Dušan 85
Singapore 13, 116, 133-4, 137-8, 141,
143
Singh, Vi kram J. 135
Škoda munition works 54, 57. 81, 87
Slovakia 86, 90—1, 98, 113
South China Sea 1-2, 4, 10-11, 13,
113, 115-20, 130, 132, 140-4, 146;
compared to 1930s Europe 121-30;
international law and organizations
137-40; and the United States 132-7
Southeast Asia 4, 10-11, 13, 116-18, 140,
142, 147; economic ties 127-30; and
international law and organizations
137-8, 140; military aid 121-4;
regional organizations 126-7; and the
South China Sea 131-2; territorial dis-
putes 124—5; and types of uncertainty
119-21; and the United States 135-6;
see also Asia
South Johnson Reef 139
South Korea 70, 105, 107, 124
Soviet Union 6, 19, 25, 36, 37, 76, 78,
83, 84, 93, 96, 97, 102, 107, 110, 111,
122, 125, 129, 136, 143; relations with
Hungary 90, 92; relations with Roma-
nia 85, 86, 88-9; and the Sudetenland
Crisis 54, 65, 78—9; see also Russia
spoils 1-2, 8-9, 12-13. 20, 35, 46, 67-74,
89, 92, 103-7, 109, 111-14, 118, 148;
non-territorial 70, 103, 105-7. 109.
111,113; territorial 70, 103-4, 106-7,
109
Spratly Islands 115-16, 129. 131
Stalin, Joseph 37. 65, 97, 98
status quo state/power see balancer
Stojadinovič. Milan 80-2, 86. 96, 97. 98,
126
strategic interaction 16. 19. 33
Subi Reef 115, 134
Sudetenland 10, 12, 39, 47. 48, 53-6. 59.
61-4. 77. 87. 90. 93, 94. 133. 148; and
Yugoslavia 81—2
Sweden 71
Switzerland 71. 74
Taiwan 115. 120. 130. 133. 143
Teschen 55. 66; see also TčŠin
168 Index
TêSin 66, 77; see also Teschen
Thailand 70, Î05, 107, 125, 141
Titulescu, Nicolae 85-6, 97
trade see economic interdependence
transcending 17, 72, 79, 121, 141, 149
Transylvania 83, 85, 88, 92, 98
Treaty of Locarno 53, 76, 86
Treaty of Trianon 89
Tripartite Pact 83-5, 88, 92
Trump, Donald 133
Turkey 65, 71, 73, 79, 86, 97, 107
uncertainty 28, 31, 34, 37, 39-43, 45-8,
63-4, 67, 74, 99, 118-20, 133, 140,
145, 147, 149; balance of power/
capabilities 40, 44-6, 52, 63, 74, 119,
145, 149; challenger intentions/type
35, 40, 43-4, 52, 61, 64, 119; external
balancing/coalition size 40, 45, 47, 63,
119; opportunity type/challenge 21, 40,
45, 47, 119; timing/value of delay 41,
45—6, 53
United Nations 11, 14, 116, 127, 139
United Nations Convention on the Law of
the Sea (UNCLOS) 116-17, 134, 140
United States 14, 19, 24, 35-6, 37, 70,
73, 102, 105, 107, 111, 113; and 1930s
Europe 51, 54, 59; and Southeast Asia
117-24, 127, 128, 130-42, 143, 144
United States Navy 119, 132, 134, 140
Vansittart, Robert 51, 66, 77
Versailles, Treaty of 48, 49
Vietnam 10, 13, 70, 105, 108, 115, 117,
119, 122, 125, 127, 128, 130-2, 142,
143, 147; relations with the United
States 133-5
Wang Yi 116, 134
White, Hugh 136
World Trade Organization (WTO) 129
World War I 25, 65, 71, 74, 79, 89, 95,
100, 103, 110, 113, 114, 122, 126. 127,
146
World War II 12, 17, 25, 37, 71, 73-4, 85,
96, 99, 102, 105, 107, 110, 111. 114,
132, 133
Xi Jinping (President) 143
Yugoslavia 12, 54, 59, 66, 75, 77, 79-85,
93-6, 97, 98, 99, 102, 121-2, 124-6;
relations with Hungary 89-92; relations
with Romania 85-6
/ Bayensche
[ Staatsbibliofnek
München
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Savic, Ivan Shirkey, Zachary C. |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1133511406 (DE-588)139855068 |
| author_facet | Savic, Ivan Shirkey, Zachary C. |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Savic, Ivan |
| author_variant | i s is z c s zc zcs |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV044309330 |
| callnumber-first | J - Political Science |
| callnumber-label | JZ6009 |
| callnumber-raw | JZ6009.S644 |
| callnumber-search | JZ6009.S644 |
| callnumber-sort | JZ 46009 S644 |
| callnumber-subject | JZ - International Relations |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)992542982 (DE-599)BVBBV044309330 |
| dewey-full | 355/.033059 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 355 - Military science |
| dewey-raw | 355/.033059 |
| dewey-search | 355/.033059 |
| dewey-sort | 3355 533059 |
| dewey-tens | 350 - Public administration and military science |
| discipline | Militärwissenschaft |
| era | Geschichte 1930-1939 gnd |
| era_facet | Geschichte 1930-1939 |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>03813nam a2200685 c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV044309330</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20170609 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">170514s2017 xxu|||| |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="010" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">016049727</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9781472483201</subfield><subfield code="c">hbk.</subfield><subfield code="9">978-1-4724-8320-1</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)992542982</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV044309330</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="044" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">xxu</subfield><subfield code="c">US</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-12</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="050" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">JZ6009.S644</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">355/.033059</subfield><subfield code="2">23</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">OST</subfield><subfield code="q">DE-12</subfield><subfield code="2">fid</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">HIST</subfield><subfield code="q">DE-12</subfield><subfield code="2">fid</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Savic, Ivan</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)1133511406</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Uncertainty, threat, and international security</subfield><subfield code="b">implications for Southeast Asia</subfield><subfield code="c">Ivan Savic and Zachary C. Shirkey</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="246" ind1="1" ind2="3"><subfield code="a">Uncertainty, threat, & international security</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">London and New York</subfield><subfield code="b">Routledge</subfield><subfield code="c">2017</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">168 Seiten</subfield><subfield code="b">Diagramme</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Rethinking Asia and international relations</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Includes bibliographical references and index</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is paid to the nature of the rising state's actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay"...</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="648" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Geschichte 1930-1939</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Außenpolitik</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Security, International</subfield><subfield code="z">Southeast Asia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Comparative government</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Gleichgewichtspolitik</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4157518-0</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Südostasien</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Southeast Asia</subfield><subfield code="x">Foreign relations</subfield><subfield code="y">21st century</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Southeast Asia</subfield><subfield code="x">Foreign relations</subfield><subfield code="z">China</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">China</subfield><subfield code="x">Foreign relations</subfield><subfield code="z">Southeast Asia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Südostasien</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4058448-3</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Europa</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4015701-5</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Europa</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4015701-5</subfield><subfield code="D">g</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Gleichgewichtspolitik</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4157518-0</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="2"><subfield code="a">Geschichte 1930-1939</subfield><subfield code="A">z</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Südostasien</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4058448-3</subfield><subfield code="D">g</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="1" ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Gleichgewichtspolitik</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4157518-0</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Shirkey, Zachary C.</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)139855068</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Online-Ausgabe, e-book</subfield><subfield code="z">978-1-315-61065-8</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltsverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000005&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Literaturverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000006&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Register // Gemischte Register</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="940" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="n">oe</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029713022</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="942" ind1="1" ind2="1"><subfield code="c">909</subfield><subfield code="e">22/bsb</subfield><subfield code="f">09043</subfield><subfield code="g">4</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="942" ind1="1" ind2="1"><subfield code="c">909</subfield><subfield code="e">22/bsb</subfield><subfield code="f">090512</subfield><subfield code="g">59</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| geographic | Südostasien Southeast Asia Foreign relations 21st century Southeast Asia Foreign relations China China Foreign relations Southeast Asia Südostasien (DE-588)4058448-3 gnd Europa (DE-588)4015701-5 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Südostasien Southeast Asia Foreign relations 21st century Southeast Asia Foreign relations China China Foreign relations Southeast Asia Europa |
| id | DE-604.BV044309330 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:49:23Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781472483201 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 016049727 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029713022 |
| oclc_num | 992542982 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 |
| physical | 168 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publishDateSearch | 2017 |
| publishDateSort | 2017 |
| publisher | Routledge |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Rethinking Asia and international relations |
| spelling | Savic, Ivan (DE-588)1133511406 aut Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia Ivan Savic and Zachary C. Shirkey Uncertainty, threat, & international security London and New York Routledge 2017 168 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Rethinking Asia and international relations Includes bibliographical references and index "The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is paid to the nature of the rising state's actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay"... Geschichte 1930-1939 gnd rswk-swf Außenpolitik Security, International Southeast Asia Comparative government Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 gnd rswk-swf Südostasien Southeast Asia Foreign relations 21st century Southeast Asia Foreign relations China China Foreign relations Southeast Asia Südostasien (DE-588)4058448-3 gnd rswk-swf Europa (DE-588)4015701-5 gnd rswk-swf Europa (DE-588)4015701-5 g Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 s Geschichte 1930-1939 z DE-604 Südostasien (DE-588)4058448-3 g Shirkey, Zachary C. (DE-588)139855068 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe, e-book 978-1-315-61065-8 Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000005&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Literaturverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000006&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Register // Gemischte Register |
| spellingShingle | Savic, Ivan Shirkey, Zachary C. Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia Außenpolitik Security, International Southeast Asia Comparative government Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4157518-0 (DE-588)4058448-3 (DE-588)4015701-5 |
| title | Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia |
| title_alt | Uncertainty, threat, & international security |
| title_auth | Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia |
| title_exact_search | Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia |
| title_full | Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia Ivan Savic and Zachary C. Shirkey |
| title_fullStr | Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia Ivan Savic and Zachary C. Shirkey |
| title_full_unstemmed | Uncertainty, threat, and international security implications for Southeast Asia Ivan Savic and Zachary C. Shirkey |
| title_short | Uncertainty, threat, and international security |
| title_sort | uncertainty threat and international security implications for southeast asia |
| title_sub | implications for Southeast Asia |
| topic | Außenpolitik Security, International Southeast Asia Comparative government Gleichgewichtspolitik (DE-588)4157518-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Außenpolitik Security, International Southeast Asia Comparative government Gleichgewichtspolitik Südostasien Southeast Asia Foreign relations 21st century Southeast Asia Foreign relations China China Foreign relations Southeast Asia Europa |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000005&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029713022&sequence=000006&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT savicivan uncertaintythreatandinternationalsecurityimplicationsforsoutheastasia AT shirkeyzacharyc uncertaintythreatandinternationalsecurityimplicationsforsoutheastasia AT savicivan uncertaintythreatinternationalsecurity AT shirkeyzacharyc uncertaintythreatinternationalsecurity |