Russian futures: Horizon 2025
"Predicting Russia's future is a perilous exercise. Many, indeed perhaps most, of those who have ventured to make such predictions in the past have erred in one way or another. At the moment the danger of getting things wrong is perhaps particularly high since quite a number of short-term...
Gespeichert in:
| Weitere Verfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
EU Institute for Security Studies
[2016]
|
| Schriftenreihe: | ISS report
26 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/Report_26_Russia_Future_online..pdf |
| Zusammenfassung: | "Predicting Russia's future is a perilous exercise. Many, indeed perhaps most, of those who have ventured to make such predictions in the past have erred in one way or another. At the moment the danger of getting things wrong is perhaps particularly high since quite a number of short-term uncertainties with long-term consequences for the European continent -- in both Russia and the EU -- could make the next few years, let alone the next decade, radically different. From regional wars, refugees and their impact on the EU, to the falling oil price and Russia's infatuation with military power as a quick fix to its foreign or domestic policy problems -- the strategic environment is not simply unpredictable, but dangerously volatile. Yet it is precisely in such moments of uncertainty and crisis that planning for the future is more needed than ever. With this in mind, a group of prominent analysts and experts on Russia have sought to predict how Russia is likely to evolve over the next decade. The intellectual groundwork for this publication was thus laid in a series of meetings of an EUISS Task Force on Russia that took place in autumn 2015 and brought together experts and officials from the EU, Russia, the US and Ukraine. They decided to set about this exercise the hard way, choosing to go beyond the relative analytical safety of outlining the usual triptych of good, bad and middle-of-the-road scenarios. Scenarios are a good way to structure thinking and plan potential responses. But more often than not they allow experts to avoid placing bets and making judgements. In this publication experts are making considered judgements as to where Russia will stand a decade from now"--Publisher's web site |
| Beschreibung: | "March 2016." |
| Beschreibung: | 81 pages color illustrations, color map |
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| 505 | 8 | |a Introduction : Russian futures / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu -- Section 1. The domestic foundations of Russian power. The future of domestic politics / Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov -- The future of the economy and the energy sector / Vladislav Inozemtsev and Yulia Zhuchkova -- The future of the military / Gustav C. Gressel -- Section 2. The drivers of Russian foreign policy. Future approaches to the US / Samuel A. Greene -- Future approaches to China / Alexander Gabuev -- Future approaches to the greater Middle East / Pavel K. Baev -- Section 3. Russia as a European power. Future approaches to the shared neighbourhood / Carolina Vendil Pallin -- The future of EU-Russia relations / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu | |
| 520 | |a "Predicting Russia's future is a perilous exercise. Many, indeed perhaps most, of those who have ventured to make such predictions in the past have erred in one way or another. At the moment the danger of getting things wrong is perhaps particularly high since quite a number of short-term uncertainties with long-term consequences for the European continent -- in both Russia and the EU -- could make the next few years, let alone the next decade, radically different. From regional wars, refugees and their impact on the EU, to the falling oil price and Russia's infatuation with military power as a quick fix to its foreign or domestic policy problems -- the strategic environment is not simply unpredictable, but dangerously volatile. Yet it is precisely in such moments of uncertainty and crisis that planning for the future is more needed than ever. With this in mind, a group of prominent analysts and experts on Russia have sought to predict how Russia is likely to evolve over the next decade. The intellectual groundwork for this publication was thus laid in a series of meetings of an EUISS Task Force on Russia that took place in autumn 2015 and brought together experts and officials from the EU, Russia, the US and Ukraine. They decided to set about this exercise the hard way, choosing to go beyond the relative analytical safety of outlining the usual triptych of good, bad and middle-of-the-road scenarios. Scenarios are a good way to structure thinking and plan potential responses. But more often than not they allow experts to avoid placing bets and making judgements. In this publication experts are making considered judgements as to where Russia will stand a decade from now"--Publisher's web site | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804177414892290048 |
|---|---|
| any_adam_object | |
| author2 | Haukkala, Hiski Popescu, Nicu |
| author2_role | edt edt |
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| author_GND | (DE-588)141782374 |
| author_facet | Haukkala, Hiski Popescu, Nicu |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV044248503 |
| contents | Includes bibliographical references Introduction : Russian futures / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu -- Section 1. The domestic foundations of Russian power. The future of domestic politics / Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov -- The future of the economy and the energy sector / Vladislav Inozemtsev and Yulia Zhuchkova -- The future of the military / Gustav C. Gressel -- Section 2. The drivers of Russian foreign policy. Future approaches to the US / Samuel A. Greene -- Future approaches to China / Alexander Gabuev -- Future approaches to the greater Middle East / Pavel K. Baev -- Section 3. Russia as a European power. Future approaches to the shared neighbourhood / Carolina Vendil Pallin -- The future of EU-Russia relations / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu |
| ctrlnum | (DE-599)BVBBV044248503 |
| era | Prognose 2015-2025 gnd |
| era_facet | Prognose 2015-2025 |
| format | Book |
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| geographic | Russia eclas European Union eclas United States of America eclas China eclas Middle East eclas Russie eclas Union européenne eclas Etats-Unis d'Amérique eclas Chine eclas Moyen-Orient eclas Naher Osten Russland Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Russia European Union United States of America China Middle East Russie Union européenne Etats-Unis d'Amérique Chine Moyen-Orient Naher Osten Russland |
| id | DE-604.BV044248503 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:47:42Z |
| institution | BVB |
| institution_GND | (DE-588)5086769-6 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029653638 |
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| owner | DE-Re13 DE-BY-UBR |
| owner_facet | DE-Re13 DE-BY-UBR |
| physical | 81 pages color illustrations, color map |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateSearch | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | EU Institute for Security Studies |
| record_format | marc |
| series | ISS report |
| series2 | ISS report |
| spelling | Russian futures Horizon 2025 edited by Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu ; with contributions by Pavel K. Baev [and 8 others] Paris EU Institute for Security Studies [2016] 81 pages color illustrations, color map txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier ISS report 26 "March 2016." Includes bibliographical references Introduction : Russian futures / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu -- Section 1. The domestic foundations of Russian power. The future of domestic politics / Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov -- The future of the economy and the energy sector / Vladislav Inozemtsev and Yulia Zhuchkova -- The future of the military / Gustav C. Gressel -- Section 2. The drivers of Russian foreign policy. Future approaches to the US / Samuel A. Greene -- Future approaches to China / Alexander Gabuev -- Future approaches to the greater Middle East / Pavel K. Baev -- Section 3. Russia as a European power. Future approaches to the shared neighbourhood / Carolina Vendil Pallin -- The future of EU-Russia relations / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu "Predicting Russia's future is a perilous exercise. Many, indeed perhaps most, of those who have ventured to make such predictions in the past have erred in one way or another. At the moment the danger of getting things wrong is perhaps particularly high since quite a number of short-term uncertainties with long-term consequences for the European continent -- in both Russia and the EU -- could make the next few years, let alone the next decade, radically different. From regional wars, refugees and their impact on the EU, to the falling oil price and Russia's infatuation with military power as a quick fix to its foreign or domestic policy problems -- the strategic environment is not simply unpredictable, but dangerously volatile. Yet it is precisely in such moments of uncertainty and crisis that planning for the future is more needed than ever. With this in mind, a group of prominent analysts and experts on Russia have sought to predict how Russia is likely to evolve over the next decade. The intellectual groundwork for this publication was thus laid in a series of meetings of an EUISS Task Force on Russia that took place in autumn 2015 and brought together experts and officials from the EU, Russia, the US and Ukraine. They decided to set about this exercise the hard way, choosing to go beyond the relative analytical safety of outlining the usual triptych of good, bad and middle-of-the-road scenarios. Scenarios are a good way to structure thinking and plan potential responses. But more often than not they allow experts to avoid placing bets and making judgements. In this publication experts are making considered judgements as to where Russia will stand a decade from now"--Publisher's web site Europäische Union Prognose 2015-2025 gnd rswk-swf Foreign policy eclas EU/EC External relations eclas Politique étrangère eclas UE/CE Relations extérieures eclas Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd rswk-swf Russia eclas European Union eclas United States of America eclas China eclas Middle East eclas Russie eclas Union européenne eclas Etats-Unis d'Amérique eclas Chine eclas Moyen-Orient eclas Naher Osten Russland Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 g Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 s Prognose 2015-2025 z DE-604 Haukkala, Hiski (DE-588)141782374 edt Popescu, Nicu edt Europäische Union Institut für Sicherheitsstudien Sonstige (DE-588)5086769-6 oth ISS report 26 (DE-604)BV035330908 26 http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/Report_26_Russia_Future_online..pdf |
| spellingShingle | Russian futures Horizon 2025 ISS report Includes bibliographical references Introduction : Russian futures / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu -- Section 1. The domestic foundations of Russian power. The future of domestic politics / Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov -- The future of the economy and the energy sector / Vladislav Inozemtsev and Yulia Zhuchkova -- The future of the military / Gustav C. Gressel -- Section 2. The drivers of Russian foreign policy. Future approaches to the US / Samuel A. Greene -- Future approaches to China / Alexander Gabuev -- Future approaches to the greater Middle East / Pavel K. Baev -- Section 3. Russia as a European power. Future approaches to the shared neighbourhood / Carolina Vendil Pallin -- The future of EU-Russia relations / Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu Europäische Union Foreign policy eclas EU/EC External relations eclas Politique étrangère eclas UE/CE Relations extérieures eclas Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4003846-4 (DE-588)4076899-5 |
| title | Russian futures Horizon 2025 |
| title_auth | Russian futures Horizon 2025 |
| title_exact_search | Russian futures Horizon 2025 |
| title_full | Russian futures Horizon 2025 edited by Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu ; with contributions by Pavel K. Baev [and 8 others] |
| title_fullStr | Russian futures Horizon 2025 edited by Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu ; with contributions by Pavel K. Baev [and 8 others] |
| title_full_unstemmed | Russian futures Horizon 2025 edited by Hiski Haukkala and Nicu Popescu ; with contributions by Pavel K. Baev [and 8 others] |
| title_short | Russian futures |
| title_sort | russian futures horizon 2025 |
| title_sub | Horizon 2025 |
| topic | Europäische Union Foreign policy eclas EU/EC External relations eclas Politique étrangère eclas UE/CE Relations extérieures eclas Außenpolitik (DE-588)4003846-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Europäische Union Foreign policy EU/EC External relations Politique étrangère UE/CE Relations extérieures Außenpolitik Russia European Union United States of America China Middle East Russie Union européenne Etats-Unis d'Amérique Chine Moyen-Orient Naher Osten Russland |
| url | http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/Report_26_Russia_Future_online..pdf |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV035330908 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT haukkalahiski russianfutureshorizon2025 AT popescunicu russianfutureshorizon2025 AT europaischeunioninstitutfursicherheitsstudien russianfutureshorizon2025 |