Ethnic politics and state power in Africa: the logic of the coup-civil war trap
"Why are some African countries trapped in vicious cycles of ethnic exclusion and civil war, while others experience relative peace? In this groundbreaking book, Philip Roessler addresses this question. Roessler models Africa's weak, ethnically-divided states as confronting rulers with a c...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cambridge, United Kingdom
Cambridge University Press
2016
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Zusammenfassung: | "Why are some African countries trapped in vicious cycles of ethnic exclusion and civil war, while others experience relative peace? In this groundbreaking book, Philip Roessler addresses this question. Roessler models Africa's weak, ethnically-divided states as confronting rulers with a coup-civil war trap--sharing power with ethnic rivals is necessary to underwrite societal peace and prevent civil war, but increases rivals' capabilities to seize sovereign power in a coup d'état. How rulers respond to this strategic trade-off is shown to be a function of their country's ethnic geography and the distribution of threat capabilities it produces. Moving between in-depth case studies of Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo based on years of field work and statistical analyses of powersharing, coups and civil war across sub-Saharan Africa, the book serves as an exemplar of the benefits of mixed methods research for theory-building and testing in comparative politics"--Publisher description |
| Beschreibung: | xxvii, 389 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781107176072 9781316628218 |
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| 505 | 8 | |a Part I. Motivation and central argument -- Part II. Puzzle and theory -- A meso-level approach to the study of civil war -- Theories of ethno-political exclusion -- The strategic logic of war in Africa -- Part III. Theory-building case study -- Political networks, brokerage and cooperative counterinsurgency : civil war averted in Darfur -- The strategic logic of ethno-political exclusion : the breakdown of Sudan's Islamic movement -- Political exclusion and civil war : the outbreak of the Darfur Civil War -- Part IV. Testing the argument -- Empirical analysis of the coup-civil war trap -- A model-testing case : explaining Africa's Great War -- Part V. Extensions -- The strategic logic of peace in Africa -- Conclusion -- Appendix 1: A note on the book's qualitative methods -- Appendix 2: Data variable dictionary -- Appendix 3: Data on ethnic transfers of power and ethnicity of coup conspirators and insurgents | |
| 520 | 3 | |a "Why are some African countries trapped in vicious cycles of ethnic exclusion and civil war, while others experience relative peace? In this groundbreaking book, Philip Roessler addresses this question. Roessler models Africa's weak, ethnically-divided states as confronting rulers with a coup-civil war trap--sharing power with ethnic rivals is necessary to underwrite societal peace and prevent civil war, but increases rivals' capabilities to seize sovereign power in a coup d'état. How rulers respond to this strategic trade-off is shown to be a function of their country's ethnic geography and the distribution of threat capabilities it produces. Moving between in-depth case studies of Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo based on years of field work and statistical analyses of powersharing, coups and civil war across sub-Saharan Africa, the book serves as an exemplar of the benefits of mixed methods research for theory-building and testing in comparative politics"--Publisher description | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804177035048779776 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures page xi
List of Tables
List of Maps xiv
Preface and Acknowledgments xv
List of Abbreviations xxvi
i Introduction i
1.1 The Purge: Juba, December 2013 1
1.2 Civil War in Weak States: Existing Approaches,
Unanswered Questions 7
1.3 The Institutional Basis of Peace in Weak States 11
1.4 Central Argument: Ethnic Powersharing, Strategic
Uncertainty, and the Coup-Civil War Trap in Africa 16
r.5 Theoretical Expectations 20
1.6 Research Design and Key Findings 21
1.7 A Look Ahead 28
PARTI PUZZLE AND THEORY 3 I
2 A Meso-level Approach to the Study of Civil War 33
2.1 Introduction 33
2.2 The Weak State Paradigm of Civil War 36
2.3 The Microcomparative Turn in the Study of Civil War and
Its Limitations 41
2.4 The Institutional Basis of Peace in Weak States: The
Political Networks Hypothesis 44
vn
viii
Contents
2.5 Personal Rule, Ethnopolitical Networks, and Societal
Peace in Africa
2.6 Conclusion
3 Theories of Ethnopolitical Exclusion
3.1 Introduction
3.2 What Is Ethnopolitical Exclusion?
3.3 Instrumental Theories of Ethnopolitical Exclusion
3.4 Cultural Theories of Ethnopolitical Exclusion
3.5 Strategic Theories of Ethnopolitical Exclusion
3.6 Conclusion: The Primacy of Strategic Models of
Ethnopolitical Exclusion
4 The Strategic Logic of War in Africa
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Building Blocks of a Strategic Theory of Civil War
4.3 Summary and Hypotheses
4.4 Empirical Strategy
PART II THEORY-BUILDING CASE STUDY
5
6
Political Networks, Brokerage, and Cooperative
Counterinsurgency: Civil War Averted in Darfur
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Historical Background
5*3 The Origin and Organization of Sudan s Islamic ¡Movement
5.4 The Tanzim in Darfur
5.5 Al-Ingaz and the Pacification of Darfur
5.6 A Disaffected Islamist and the Coalescence of
a Dissident Group
5.7 Insurgency versus Counterinsurgency in Darfur,
1991-1992
5.8 Analysis and Theoretical Implications: Exploring the
Political Networks Hypothesis
5.9 Conclusion: Political Networks and the Feasibility of
Armed Rebellion 7
The Strategic Logic of Ethnopolitical Excl
Breakdown of Sudan’s Islamic Movement
/£ t TntrorlncHon
6.1 Introduction
6.z The Sheikh versus the Field Marshal
6.3 The Ethnoregional Dimension to the Elite Conflict
6.4 Ethnic Exclusion and Ethnic Balancing
6.5 Analysis and Theoretical Implications: Exploring the
Strategic Logic of Ethnopolitical Exclusion
6.6 Conclusion
46
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Contents x
7 Political Exclusion and Civil War: The Outbreak of the
Darfur Civil War 17g
7.1 Introduction I7g
7.2 The Origins of the Second Darfur Rebellion 181
7.3 A Critical Juncture in Darfur: Non-cooperative
Counterinsurgency
7.4 The Outbreak of Full-Scale Civil War 1^0
7.5 Analysis of Link between Political Exclusion and the
Second Darfur Rebellion
7.6 Conclusion 203
PART III TESTING THE ARGUMENT 205
8 Empirical Analysis of the Coup—Civil War Trap 207
8.1 Introduction 2.07
8.2 Empirical Strategy: Using the Ethnic Power Relations
Dataset to Capture Ethnopolitical Networks in Sub-
Saharan Africa 208
8.3 Testing the Coup-Civil War Trap 211
8.4 Empirical Analysis: Access to Power and the Coup-Civil
War Trade-Off 215
8.5 Testing the Strategic Logic of Ethnopolitical Exclusion,
Part I: Regime Breakdown in Africa’s Ethnically Divided
Regimes 2.21
8.6 Testing the Strategic Logic of Ethnopolitical Exclusion,
Part II: Africa’s Co-conspirator Civil Wars 228
8.7 Co-conspirator at War 2.35
8.8 Conclusion 241
9 A Model-Testing Case: Explaining Africa’s Great War 243
9.1 introduction 243
9.2 From Comrades-in-Arms to Belligerents at
War: Explaining the Political Dynamics of Africa’s
Great War 24^
9.3 Instrumentalist Theories of Conflict and Africa’s
Great War z52
9.4 Kabila, His Co-conspirators, and the Commitment Problem 256
9.5 Endgame z^z
9.6 Conclusion z^$
PART IV EXTENSIONS z67
10 The Strategic Logic of Peace in Africa z 9
10.1 introduction z^
10.2 Threat Capabilities and Self-Enforcing Powersharing 2.71
X
Contents
10.3 Empirical Evidence: The Effect of Balance of Threat
Capabilities on Ethnopolitical Bargaining 2.7 5
10.4 Discussion and Sensitivity Analysis ¿7#
10.5 Implications iXS
10.6 Conclusion ¿Ky
11 Conclusion 291
11.1 Summary of the Argument and Evidence 19 1
11.2 Contributions 29$
11.3 Avenues for Future Research 299
11.4 Beyond Africa: Insights from the Coup—Civil War Trap
for Understanding State Failure in Iraq and Syria
11.5 Policy Implications: Ending the Coup-Cavil War Trap
in Africa
Appendix 1 A Note on the Book s Qualitative Methods 1 7
Appendix z Data Variable Dictionary ^ L
Appendix 3 Data on Ethnic Transfers of Power and Ethnicity
of Coup Conspirators and Insurgents ^ 2 s
References ^
Index
r^9
|
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| contents | Part I. Motivation and central argument -- Part II. Puzzle and theory -- A meso-level approach to the study of civil war -- Theories of ethno-political exclusion -- The strategic logic of war in Africa -- Part III. Theory-building case study -- Political networks, brokerage and cooperative counterinsurgency : civil war averted in Darfur -- The strategic logic of ethno-political exclusion : the breakdown of Sudan's Islamic movement -- Political exclusion and civil war : the outbreak of the Darfur Civil War -- Part IV. Testing the argument -- Empirical analysis of the coup-civil war trap -- A model-testing case : explaining Africa's Great War -- Part V. Extensions -- The strategic logic of peace in Africa -- Conclusion -- Appendix 1: A note on the book's qualitative methods -- Appendix 2: Data variable dictionary -- Appendix 3: Data on ethnic transfers of power and ethnicity of coup conspirators and insurgents |
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| spelling | Roessler, Philip Verfasser (DE-588)1124715584 aut Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap Philip Roessler, College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia Cambridge, United Kingdom Cambridge University Press 2016 xxvii, 389 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Part I. Motivation and central argument -- Part II. Puzzle and theory -- A meso-level approach to the study of civil war -- Theories of ethno-political exclusion -- The strategic logic of war in Africa -- Part III. Theory-building case study -- Political networks, brokerage and cooperative counterinsurgency : civil war averted in Darfur -- The strategic logic of ethno-political exclusion : the breakdown of Sudan's Islamic movement -- Political exclusion and civil war : the outbreak of the Darfur Civil War -- Part IV. Testing the argument -- Empirical analysis of the coup-civil war trap -- A model-testing case : explaining Africa's Great War -- Part V. Extensions -- The strategic logic of peace in Africa -- Conclusion -- Appendix 1: A note on the book's qualitative methods -- Appendix 2: Data variable dictionary -- Appendix 3: Data on ethnic transfers of power and ethnicity of coup conspirators and insurgents "Why are some African countries trapped in vicious cycles of ethnic exclusion and civil war, while others experience relative peace? In this groundbreaking book, Philip Roessler addresses this question. Roessler models Africa's weak, ethnically-divided states as confronting rulers with a coup-civil war trap--sharing power with ethnic rivals is necessary to underwrite societal peace and prevent civil war, but increases rivals' capabilities to seize sovereign power in a coup d'état. How rulers respond to this strategic trade-off is shown to be a function of their country's ethnic geography and the distribution of threat capabilities it produces. Moving between in-depth case studies of Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo based on years of field work and statistical analyses of powersharing, coups and civil war across sub-Saharan Africa, the book serves as an exemplar of the benefits of mixed methods research for theory-building and testing in comparative politics"--Publisher description Geschichte 1900-2000 Politik Putsch (DE-588)4193176-2 gnd rswk-swf Ethnizität (DE-588)4220764-2 gnd rswk-swf Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 gnd rswk-swf Afrika Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 gnd rswk-swf Africa / Politics and government / 1960- Africa / Ethnic relations / Political aspects Ethnicity / Political aspects / Africa Coups d'état / Africa Civil war / Africa Power (Social sciences) / Africa Africa / History, Military / 20th century Africa / History, Military / 21st century Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 g Ethnizität (DE-588)4220764-2 s Putsch (DE-588)4193176-2 s Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 s DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029438793&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Roessler, Philip Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap Part I. Motivation and central argument -- Part II. Puzzle and theory -- A meso-level approach to the study of civil war -- Theories of ethno-political exclusion -- The strategic logic of war in Africa -- Part III. Theory-building case study -- Political networks, brokerage and cooperative counterinsurgency : civil war averted in Darfur -- The strategic logic of ethno-political exclusion : the breakdown of Sudan's Islamic movement -- Political exclusion and civil war : the outbreak of the Darfur Civil War -- Part IV. Testing the argument -- Empirical analysis of the coup-civil war trap -- A model-testing case : explaining Africa's Great War -- Part V. Extensions -- The strategic logic of peace in Africa -- Conclusion -- Appendix 1: A note on the book's qualitative methods -- Appendix 2: Data variable dictionary -- Appendix 3: Data on ethnic transfers of power and ethnicity of coup conspirators and insurgents Politik Putsch (DE-588)4193176-2 gnd Ethnizität (DE-588)4220764-2 gnd Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4193176-2 (DE-588)4220764-2 (DE-588)4008784-0 (DE-588)4000695-5 |
| title | Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap |
| title_auth | Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap |
| title_exact_search | Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap |
| title_full | Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap Philip Roessler, College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia |
| title_fullStr | Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap Philip Roessler, College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Ethnic politics and state power in Africa the logic of the coup-civil war trap Philip Roessler, College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia |
| title_short | Ethnic politics and state power in Africa |
| title_sort | ethnic politics and state power in africa the logic of the coup civil war trap |
| title_sub | the logic of the coup-civil war trap |
| topic | Politik Putsch (DE-588)4193176-2 gnd Ethnizität (DE-588)4220764-2 gnd Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Politik Putsch Ethnizität Bürgerkrieg Afrika |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029438793&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT roesslerphilip ethnicpoliticsandstatepowerinafricathelogicofthecoupcivilwartrap |