Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments: connecting the dots
This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we a...
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York
Cambridge University Press
2016
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | BSB01 FHN01 UBY01 Volltext |
| Summary: | This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses |
| Item Description: | Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 08 Aug 2016) |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages) |
| ISBN: | 9781316388488 |
| DOI: | 10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |
Staff View
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| 520 | |a This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses | ||
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Record in the Search Index
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| dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| discipline | Politologie Psychologie |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| id | DE-604.BV043940117 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:39:12Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781316388488 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029349087 |
| oclc_num | 967694682 |
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| physical | 1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages) |
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| publishDate | 2016 |
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| spelling | Tecuci, Gheorghe Verfasser aut Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu New York Cambridge University Press 2016 1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 08 Aug 2016) This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing Schum, David A. Sonstige oth Marcu, Dorin Sonstige oth Boicu, Mihai Sonstige oth Erscheint auch als Druckausgabe 978-1-107-12260-4 https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Tecuci, Gheorghe Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing |
| title | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_auth | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_exact_search | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_full | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_fullStr | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_full_unstemmed | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_short | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments |
| title_sort | intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence hypotheses and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_sub | connecting the dots |
| topic | Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing |
| topic_facet | Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |
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