Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments: connecting the dots
This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we a...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York
Cambridge University Press
2016
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | BSB01 FHN01 UBY01 Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses |
| Beschreibung: | Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 08 Aug 2016) |
| Beschreibung: | 1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages) |
| ISBN: | 9781316388488 |
| DOI: | 10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nmm a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV043940117 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20230227 | ||
| 007 | cr|uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 161206s2016 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d | ||
| 020 | |a 9781316388488 |c Online |9 978-1-316-38848-8 | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (ZDB-20-CBO)CR9781316388488 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)967694682 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV043940117 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rda | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-12 |a DE-92 |a DE-706 | ||
| 082 | 0 | |a 327.12 |2 23 | |
| 084 | |a CM 4400 |0 (DE-625)18955: |2 rvk | ||
| 084 | |a CP 4000 |0 (DE-625)18984: |2 rvk | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Tecuci, Gheorghe |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments |b connecting the dots |c Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York |b Cambridge University Press |c 2016 | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages) | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 08 Aug 2016) | ||
| 520 | |a This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Datenverarbeitung | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Intelligence service / Methodology | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Evidence | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Inference | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Reasoning / Data processing | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Schum, David A. |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Marcu, Dorin |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Boicu, Mihai |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Druckausgabe |z 978-1-107-12260-4 |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |x Verlag |z URL des Erstveröffentlichers |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a ZDB-20-CBO | ||
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029349087 | ||
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |l BSB01 |p ZDB-20-CBO |q BSB_PDA_CBO |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |l FHN01 |p ZDB-20-CBO |q FHN_PDA_CBO |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |l UBY01 |p ZDB-20-CBO |q UBY_PDA_CBO_Kauf22 |x Verlag |3 Volltext | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804176880162570240 |
|---|---|
| any_adam_object | |
| author | Tecuci, Gheorghe |
| author_facet | Tecuci, Gheorghe |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Tecuci, Gheorghe |
| author_variant | g t gt |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043940117 |
| classification_rvk | CM 4400 CP 4000 |
| collection | ZDB-20-CBO |
| ctrlnum | (ZDB-20-CBO)CR9781316388488 (OCoLC)967694682 (DE-599)BVBBV043940117 |
| dewey-full | 327.12 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 327 - International relations |
| dewey-raw | 327.12 |
| dewey-search | 327.12 |
| dewey-sort | 3327.12 |
| dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
| discipline | Politologie Psychologie |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |
| format | Electronic eBook |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>02990nmm a2200505zc 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV043940117</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230227 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr|uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">161206s2016 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9781316388488</subfield><subfield code="c">Online</subfield><subfield code="9">978-1-316-38848-8</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1017/CBO9781316388488</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ZDB-20-CBO)CR9781316388488</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)967694682</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV043940117</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-12</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-92</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-706</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">327.12</subfield><subfield code="2">23</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">CM 4400</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-625)18955:</subfield><subfield code="2">rvk</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">CP 4000</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-625)18984:</subfield><subfield code="2">rvk</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Tecuci, Gheorghe</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments</subfield><subfield code="b">connecting the dots</subfield><subfield code="c">Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">New York</subfield><subfield code="b">Cambridge University Press</subfield><subfield code="c">2016</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 08 Aug 2016)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Datenverarbeitung</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Intelligence service / Methodology</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Evidence</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Inference</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Reasoning / Data processing</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Schum, David A.</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Marcu, Dorin</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Boicu, Mihai</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Druckausgabe</subfield><subfield code="z">978-1-107-12260-4</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="z">URL des Erstveröffentlichers</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-20-CBO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029349087</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488</subfield><subfield code="l">BSB01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-20-CBO</subfield><subfield code="q">BSB_PDA_CBO</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488</subfield><subfield code="l">FHN01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-20-CBO</subfield><subfield code="q">FHN_PDA_CBO</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488</subfield><subfield code="l">UBY01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-20-CBO</subfield><subfield code="q">UBY_PDA_CBO_Kauf22</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV043940117 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:39:12Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781316388488 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029349087 |
| oclc_num | 967694682 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-92 DE-706 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-92 DE-706 |
| physical | 1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages) |
| psigel | ZDB-20-CBO ZDB-20-CBO BSB_PDA_CBO ZDB-20-CBO FHN_PDA_CBO ZDB-20-CBO UBY_PDA_CBO_Kauf22 |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateSearch | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | Cambridge University Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Tecuci, Gheorghe Verfasser aut Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu New York Cambridge University Press 2016 1 online resource (xxii, 262 pages) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 08 Aug 2016) This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing Schum, David A. Sonstige oth Marcu, Dorin Sonstige oth Boicu, Mihai Sonstige oth Erscheint auch als Druckausgabe 978-1-107-12260-4 https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Tecuci, Gheorghe Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing |
| title | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_auth | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_exact_search | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_full | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_fullStr | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_full_unstemmed | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_short | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments |
| title_sort | intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence hypotheses and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_sub | connecting the dots |
| topic | Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing |
| topic_facet | Datenverarbeitung Intelligence service / Methodology Evidence Inference Reasoning / Data processing |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT tecucigheorghe intelligenceanalysisasdiscoveryofevidencehypothesesandargumentsconnectingthedots AT schumdavida intelligenceanalysisasdiscoveryofevidencehypothesesandargumentsconnectingthedots AT marcudorin intelligenceanalysisasdiscoveryofevidencehypothesesandargumentsconnectingthedots AT boicumihai intelligenceanalysisasdiscoveryofevidencehypothesesandargumentsconnectingthedots |