Counterfactuals and causal inference: methods and principles for social research
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York, NY
Cambridge University Press
2015
|
| Ausgabe: | Second edition, reprinted with corrections |
| Schriftenreihe: | Analytical methods for social research
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke |
| Beschreibung: | xxiii, 499 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781107065079 9781107694163 |
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| adam_text |
COUNTERFACTUALS AND CAUSAL INFERENCE
METHODS AND PRINCIPLES FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH
SECOND EDITION
STEPHEN L. MORGAN
JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY
CHRISTOPHER WINSHIP
HARVARD UNIVERSITY
CAMBRIDGE
UNIVERSITY PRESS
CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF TABLES
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS FOR FIRST EDITION
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS FOR SECOND EDITION
I CAUSALITY AND EMPIRICAL RESEARCH IN THE SOCIAL SCIENCES
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 THE POTENTIAL OUTCOME MODEL OF CAUSAL INFERENCE
1.2 CAUSAL ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATIONAL SOCIAL SCIENCE
1.3 EXAMPLES USED THROUGHOUT THE BOOK
1.4 OBSERVATIONAL DATA AND RANDOM-SAMPLE SURVEYS
1.5 CAUSAL GRAPHS AS AN INTRODUCTION TO THE REMAINDER OF THE BOOK
II COUNTERFACTUALS, POTENTIAL OUTCOMES, AND CAUSAL GRAPHS
2 COUNTERFACTUALS AND THE POTENTIAL OUTCOME MODEL
2.1 DEFINING THE CAUSAL STATES
2.2 POTENTIAL OUTCOMES AND INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL TREATMENT EFFECTS
2.3 TREATMENT GROUPS AND OBSERVED OUTCOMES
2.4 THE AVERAGE TREATMENT EFFECT
2.5 THE STABLE UNIT TREATMENT VALUE ASSUMPTION
2.6 TREATMENT ASSIGNMENT AND OBSERVATIONAL STUDIES
2.7 AVERAGE CAUSAL EFFECTS AND NAIVE ESTIMATION
2.8 OVER-TIME POTENTIAL OUTCOMES AND CAUSAL EFFECTS
2.9 THE POTENTIAL OUTCOME MODEL FOR MANY-VALUED TREATMENTS
2.10 CONCLUSIONS
2.11 APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 2: POPULATION AND DATA GENERATION MODELS
3 CAUSAL GRAPHS
3.1 IDENTIFICATION
3.2 BASIC ELEMENTS OF CAUSAL GRAPHS
3.3 GRAPHS AND STRUCTURAL EQUATIONS
3.4 CAUSAL GRAPHS AND THE POTENTIAL OUTCOME MODEL
PAGE XM
XVII
XXI
XXIII
3
4
6
14
27
29
37
37
43
44
46
48
53
54
62
70
73
74
77
78
79
84
90
IX
X CONTENTS
3.5 CONCLUSIONS 94
3.6 APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 3: GRAPHS, INTERVENTIONS, AND POTENTIAL OUTCOMES
95
III ESTIMATING CAUSAL EFFECTS BY CONDITIONING ON OBSERVED VARIABLES TO
BLOCK
BACK-DOOR PATHS
4 MODELS OF CAUSAL EXPOSURE AND IDENTIFICATION CRITERIA
FOR CONDITIONING ESTIMATORS 105
4.1 CONDITIONING AND DIRECTED GRAPHS 105
4.2 THE BACK-DOOR CRITERION 109
4.3 MODELS OF CAUSAL EXPOSURE AND POINT IDENTIFICATION BASED ON THE
POTENTIAL
OUTCOME MODEL 118
4.4 CONDITIONING TO BALANCE AND CONDITIONING TO ADJUST 128
4.5 CONCLUSIONS 130
4.6 APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 4: THE BACK-DOOR AND ADJUSTMENT CRITERIA,
DESCENDANTS, AND COLLIDERS UNDER MAGNIFICATION 130
5 MATCHING ESTIMATORS OF CAUSAL EFFECTS 140
5.1 ORIGINS OF AND MOTIVATIONS FOR MATCHING 141
5.2 MATCHING AS CONDITIONING VIA STRATIFICATION 143
5.3 MATCHING AS WEIGHTING 150
5.4 MATCHING AS A DATA ANALYSIS ALGORITHM 158
5.5 REMAINING PRACTICAL ISSUES IN MATCHING ANALYSIS 181
5.6 CONCLUSIONS 187
6 REGRESSION ESTIMATORS OF CAUSAL EFFECTS 188
6.1 REGRESSION AS A DESCRIPTIVE TOOL 188
6.2 REGRESSION ADJUSTMENT AS A STRATEGY TO ESTIMATE CAUSAL EFFECTS 194
6.3 REGRESSION AS CONDITIONAL-VARIANCE-WEIGHTED MATCHING 206
6.4 REGRESSION AS AN IMPLEMENTATION OF A PERFECT STRATIFICATION 214
6.5 REGRESSION AS SUPPLEMENTAL ADJUSTMENT WHEN MATCHING 215
6.6 EXTENSIONS AND OTHER PERSPECTIVES 217
6.7 CONCLUSIONS 224
7 WEIGHTED REGRESSION ESTIMATORS OF CAUSAL EFFECTS 226
7.1 WEIGHTED REGRESSION ESTIMATORS OF THE ATE 227
7.2 WEIGHTED REGRESSION ESTIMATORS OF THE ATT AND THE ATC 231
7.3 DOUBLY ROBUST WEIGHTED REGRESSION ESTIMATORS 234
7.4 REMAINING PRACTICAL ISSUES IN WEIGHTED REGRESSION ANALYSIS 238
7.5 AN EXTENDED EXAMPLE 243
7.6 CONCLUSIONS 262
IV ESTIMATING CAUSAL EFFECTS WHEN BACK-DOOR CONDITIONING IS INEFFECTIVE
8 SELF-SELECTION, HETEROGENEITY, AND CAUSAL GRAPHS 267
8.1 NONIGNORABILITY AND SELECTION ON THE UNOBSERVABLES REVISITED 268
8.2 SELECTION ON THE UNOBSERVABLES AND THE UTILITY OF ADDITIONAL
POSTTREATMENT MEASURES OF THE OUTCOME 269
CONTENTS
8.3 CAUSAL GRAPHS FOR COMPLEX PATTERNS OF SELF-SELECTION
AND HETEROGENEITY
8.4 CONCLUSIONS
9 INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATORS OF CAUSAL EFFECTS
9.1 CAUSAL EFFECT ESTIMATION WITH A BINARY IV
9.2 TRADITIONAL IV ESTIMATORS
9.3 INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATORS IN THE PRESENCE OF INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL
HETEROGENEITY
9.4 CONCLUSIONS
10 MECHANISMS AND CAUSAL EXPLANATION
10.1 THE DANGERS OF INSUFFICIENTLY DEEP EXPLANATIONS
10.2 THE FRONT-DOOR CRITERION AND IDENTIFICATION OF CAUSAL EFFECTS BY
MECHANISMS
10.3 THE APPEAL FOR GENERATIVE MECHANISMS
10.4 THE PURSUIT OF EXPLANATION WITH MECHANISMS THAT BOTTOM OUT
10.5 CONCLUSIONS
11 REPEATED OBSERVATIONS AND THE ESTIMATION OF CAUSAL EFFECTS
.1 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODELS
.2 REGRESSION DISCONTINUITY DESIGNS
PANEL DATA
CONCLUSIONS
11.5 APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 11: TIME-VARYING TREATMENT REGIMES
V ESTIMATION WHEN CAUSAL EFFECTS ARC NOT POINT-IDENTIFIED BY OBSERVABLES
12 DISTRIBUTIONAL ASSUMPTIONS, SET IDENTIFICATION, AND SENSITIVITY
ANALYSIS
12.1 DISTRIBUTIONAL ASSUMPTIONS AND LATENT VARIABLE SELECT.ON-B.AS
MODELS
12.2 SET IDENTIFICATION WITH MINIMAL ASSUMPTIONS
12.3 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS FOR PROVISIONAL CAUSAL EFFECT ESTIMATES
12.4 CONCLUSIONS
VI CONCLUSIONS
13 COUNTERFACTUALS AND THE FUTURE OF EMPIRICAL RESEARCH IN OBSERVATIONAL
SOCIAL SCIENCE
13.1 OBJECTIONS TO ADOPTION OF THE COUNTERFACTUAL APPROACH
13.2 MODES OF CAUSAL INQUIRY IN THE SOCIAL SCIENCES
REFERENCES
INDEX
278
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291
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305
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325
326
330
338
346
352
354
355
360
363
392
392
419
420
422
429
434
437
438
446
451
497 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Morgan, Stephen L. 1971- Winship, Christopher 1950- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)133718859 (DE-588)137382731 |
| author_facet | Morgan, Stephen L. 1971- Winship, Christopher 1950- |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Morgan, Stephen L. 1971- |
| author_variant | s l m sl slm c w cw |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043696950 |
| classification_rvk | MR 2000 MR 1100 QH 253 SK 850 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)897146492 (DE-599)BVBBV043696950 |
| dewey-full | 300.72 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-raw | 300.72 |
| dewey-search | 300.72 |
| dewey-sort | 3300.72 |
| dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
| discipline | Soziologie Mathematik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | Second edition, reprinted with corrections |
| format | Book |
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| indexdate | 2024-08-15T00:04:06Z |
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| isbn | 9781107065079 9781107694163 |
| language | English |
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| physical | xxiii, 499 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme |
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| series2 | Analytical methods for social research |
| spelling | Morgan, Stephen L. 1971- Verfasser (DE-588)133718859 aut Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research Stephen L. Morgan (Johns Hopkins University), Christopher Winship (Harvard University) Second edition, reprinted with corrections New York, NY Cambridge University Press 2015 xxiii, 499 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Analytical methods for social research Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd rswk-swf Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd rswk-swf Kausalanalyse (DE-588)4163511-5 gnd rswk-swf Kontrafaktisches Denken (DE-588)4577003-7 gnd rswk-swf Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 s Kausalanalyse (DE-588)4163511-5 s Kontrafaktisches Denken (DE-588)4577003-7 s DE-604 Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 s 1\p DE-604 Winship, Christopher 1950- Verfasser (DE-588)137382731 aut SWB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029109488&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Morgan, Stephen L. 1971- Winship, Christopher 1950- Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd Kausalanalyse (DE-588)4163511-5 gnd Kontrafaktisches Denken (DE-588)4577003-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4038971-6 (DE-588)4055916-6 (DE-588)4163511-5 (DE-588)4577003-7 |
| title | Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research |
| title_auth | Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research |
| title_exact_search | Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research |
| title_full | Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research Stephen L. Morgan (Johns Hopkins University), Christopher Winship (Harvard University) |
| title_fullStr | Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research Stephen L. Morgan (Johns Hopkins University), Christopher Winship (Harvard University) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research Stephen L. Morgan (Johns Hopkins University), Christopher Winship (Harvard University) |
| title_short | Counterfactuals and causal inference |
| title_sort | counterfactuals and causal inference methods and principles for social research |
| title_sub | methods and principles for social research |
| topic | Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd Kausalanalyse (DE-588)4163511-5 gnd Kontrafaktisches Denken (DE-588)4577003-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Methode Sozialwissenschaften Kausalanalyse Kontrafaktisches Denken |
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