Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London
rh Books
2016
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 340 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781847947154 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Superforecasting |b the art and science of prediction |c Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
| 264 | 1 | |a London |b rh Books |c 2016 | |
| 300 | |a 340 Seiten |b Diagramme | ||
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| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
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| 650 | 4 | |a Wirtschaft | |
| 650 | 4 | |a BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting | |
| 650 | 4 | |a SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies | |
| 650 | 4 | |a PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Economic forecasting | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Forecasting | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Sozialer Wandel |0 (DE-588)4077587-2 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Wirtschaftsentwicklung |0 (DE-588)4066438-7 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804176158817779712 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
1. An Optimistic Skeptic 1
2. Illusions of Knowledge 24
3. Keeping Score 46
4. Superforecasters 81
5. Supersmart? 105
6. Superquants? 128
7. Supernewsjunkies? 153
8. Perpetual Beta 174
9. Superteams 193
10. The Leader’s Dilemma 212
11. Are They Really So Super? 231
12. What’s Next? 250
Epilogue 271
An Invitation 275
Appendix: Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters 277
Acknowledgments 287
Notes 291
Index 329
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Gardner, Dan 1968- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)134174186 (DE-588)1079037500 |
| author_facet | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Gardner, Dan 1968- |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- |
| author_variant | p e t pe pet d g dg |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043515432 |
| classification_rvk | MR 2950 ST 302 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)949957490 (DE-599)BVBBV043515432 |
| dewey-full | 303.49 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 303 - Social processes |
| dewey-raw | 303.49 |
| dewey-search | 303.49 |
| dewey-sort | 3303.49 |
| dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
| discipline | Informatik Soziologie |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV043515432 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:27:44Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781847947154 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028931501 |
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| physical | 340 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2016 |
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| publisher | rh Books |
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| spelling | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Verfasser (DE-588)134174186 aut Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner London rh Books 2016 340 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wirtschaft BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology Economic forecasting Forecasting Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 s DE-604 Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 s Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s 1\p DE-604 Gardner, Dan 1968- Verfasser (DE-588)1079037500 aut Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028931501&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Gardner, Dan 1968- Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Wirtschaft BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology Economic forecasting Forecasting Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4077587-2 (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4202171-6 |
| title | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_auth | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_exact_search | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_full | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
| title_fullStr | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
| title_full_unstemmed | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
| title_short | Superforecasting |
| title_sort | superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_sub | the art and science of prediction |
| topic | Wirtschaft BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology Economic forecasting Forecasting Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaft BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology Economic forecasting Forecasting Sozialer Wandel Wirtschaftsentwicklung Prognose Entscheidungsunterstützung |
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